The equity market is well above where long - term
valuation measures like the Q - ratio, and CAPE10 would value it.
Valuation measures like Yale professor Robert Shiller's Cyclically Adjusted P / E Ratio (CAPE) also warn that stocks are a bit pricey, which only heightens investors» concerns.
Not exact matches
So if we look at a range of market
valuation measures, whether it's Shiller CAPE, whether its price - to - book, whether it's price - to - trailing earnings, price - to - peak earnings, when we look at these
measures, they look
like they're in the, what we would call, the 10th decile, meaning generally,
valuations are cheaper 90 % of the time.
It turns out that he is still right, and the effect of being right is that equities are far more overvalued than may be evident even on
measures like the Shiller CAPE (see An Open Letter to the FOMC: Recognizing the
Valuation Bubble in Equities).
In conjunction with stock
valuation ratios
like the price - to - earnings ratio and the price - to - earnings - growth ratio, a stock's
measure of volatility known as beta can help investors build a diversified...
As I've noted in recent weeks (see in particular the March 27 comment, my assertion that stocks are about double their normal historical
valuations also applies to earnings - based
measures like P / E ratios.
It usually does, and longer - term
measures like the Q - ratio and CAPE10 showed that
valuations at the peak were severely high.
What I'd
like to have is a way to
measure the relative
valuation of different factors / styles (possibly could be done for sectors, etc. too.
In conjunction with stock
valuation ratios
like the price - to - earnings ratio and the price - to - earnings - growth ratio, a stock's
measure of volatility known as beta can help investors build a diversified...
If you're a technical investor, consider adding other
measures like valuation and profitability to your tool chest.
The Fed model seems
like an intuitive
measure of market
valuation, but how predictive has it been historically?
And it's not just U.S. indexes
like the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 that are at elevated levels, other
measures of stock
valuations are at or near record highs.