For that reason, there's far more
value betting against the public on the spread as opposed to the total.
This one seems like a straightforward win for the hosts, but we think we've found some good
value bets on this clash.
Once again the stats from that sample size point to the draw being the
best value bet in this fixture.
This causes a false sense of security for bettors and can create
excellent value betting against the nation's top ranked teams.
During the regular season there has been historical
value betting underdogs and visitors, but that trend completely changes during the postseason.
It also gives square bettors more time to place their bets, which typically leads to an influx of public money and
additional value betting against the public.
Roughly six weeks ago we published an article which explained how there was
tremendous value betting against low - scoring underdogs during the postseason.
After
discovering value betting against the public at the 30 % level, our goal was to layer additional filters to improve the overall ROI of our system.
What you don't and couldn't know is that I am a betting man and understand odds and good /
bad value bets.
This is a
solid value bet, but you'll likely find a better price by waiting several weeks.
However, it's not worth backing them on the win market, but there are
other value bets to consider on this game.
In the past we have explained that there's
value betting on contrarian favorites or, as it's also known, fading the trendy underdog.
That trend fits well into our contrarian philosophy, which shows that there's been
excellent value betting against the public.
With football season over and more casual bettors jumping into college basketball, there's
additional value betting against the public in these later months.
Our team of tipsters will assess all the above in order to pick out the very best
value bets for each game we cover.
Dead cert: Manchester United to win is 1.43 with
Betfair Value bet: Manchester United to win to nil is 2.00 with Bet365
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting Against the Public article, there is
great value betting on teams who are receiving less than 30 % of spread wagers as they have a winning percentage of 50.9 %...
Historically there has been
more value betting overs when there's a low total, and that trend persists on the second half line.
NFL Preseason betting strategies don't usually work in Week 3 but there is
still value betting big underdogs.
The 2016 MLB season commences on Sunday April 3rd with a World Series rematch between the New York Mets and Kansas City Royals, but we're not waiting until then to start examining
potential value bets.
Best bet: Manchester United to win 1 - 5 is 2.04 with
Bet365 Value bet: Manchester United to win to nil is 20/21 with Bet365
It's also entirely possible that it's the public perception that is
creating value betting on these East Coast teams.
Although the NCAA Tournament is the holy grail of the College Basketball season, there is typically more
value betting during conference tournament week.
The Cavs will be fine without Love in the lineup and there could be
value betting Cleveland in the first few games that the team plays without its All - Star forward as casual bettors overreact to the injury news.
Now that we've had most of the summer to analyze the futures market, let's take a look at a
couple value bets for Win Totals based on fading the public.
Value betting means betting when you regard the risk: reward ration as being heavily in your favor.
Our initial analysis revealed that there was
limited value betting totals during late - round tournament games as both the over and under produced records of 74 - 74.
With the NFL season kicking off tonight, David and Dan breakdown the most interesting Week 1 games and
top value bets.
When this article was first posted, another
small value bet that I identified was Kris Dunn (+240) to be selected ahead of Jamal Murray (+160), Dragan Bender (+220) and Buddy Hield at TopBet.
This week there are a lot of big favorites which makes things a little trickier, but I do think there are a couple
value bets around the league.
Friday's edition of The Daily Steam includes special promotions, a betting guide, sharp money and
EPL value bets to ensure you're fully prepared for a huge holiday weekend of action.
Houston looked dreadful in a 33 - 7 loss to the Los Angeles Rams but historically there has been
value betting dogs after a blowout.
He said that there has been
value betting road favorites in April against non-playoff teams.
With the game expected to be high scoring and the Vikings small favorites, there is
value betting Minnesota at home.