Playoff bettors become increasingly willing to take the points and hope for a competitive game and, as a result, these types of large favorites have historically provided more
value during the postseason than they have during the regular season.
The results were immediately positive, with favorites providing tremendous
value during the postseason.
Not exact matches
During the regular season there has been historical value betting underdogs and visitors, but that trend completely changes during the posts
During the regular season there has been historical
value betting underdogs and visitors, but that trend completely changes
during the posts
during the
postseason.
The
value derived from betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of bets placed on the game so, naturally, it's more lucrative to bet against the public when the volume of bets increases
during the
postseason.
During the
postseason when the volume of bets increases significantly, that
value is magnified.
However,
during the
postseason, the
value is flipped with favorites covering the spread at a much higher rate.
Based on our analysis of contrarian betting
during the NHL
postseason, it would appear that the Columbus Blue Jackets (+160 at Pittsburgh) and Dallas Stars (+150 at Anaheim) are offering
value to bettors.
Bettors may not see many teams receiving at least 75 % of spread dollars, but there's plenty of
value capitalizing on these artificially inflated lines
during the
postseason.
It's also important to note that the
value of betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of bets placed, and the volume increases substantially
during the
postseason.
We've also detailed the
value of small home favorites
during the
postseason — particularly if that team is also a top - 4 seed.
This is not the first time we have found
value on the under
during the NBA
postseason, as detailed in an earlier blog post.