I just finished the initial stages of an analysis that will be available to my clients highlighting
the value of momentum strategies.
Not exact matches
Our stock and dividend reports together can provide a unique picture
of each firm's investment potential, from
value through income through
momentum strategies and beyond.
In addition, we take a look at combining
value and
momentum for a winning
strategy and review the dismal track record
of stock market forecasters.
«Our estimates... imply that implementation costs erode almost the entirety
of the return to
value and
momentum strategies...
momentum profits, in particular, may be out
of reach for the typical asset manager.»
In the November 2015 version
of their paper entitled «Dissecting Investment
Strategies in the Cross Section and Time Series», Jamil Baz, Nicolas Granger, Campbell Harvey, Nicolas Le Roux and Sandy Rattray explore time - series and cross-sectional carry, momentum and value strategies as applied to multiple asse
Strategies in the Cross Section and Time Series», Jamil Baz, Nicolas Granger, Campbell Harvey, Nicolas Le Roux and Sandy Rattray explore time - series and cross-sectional carry,
momentum and
value strategies as applied to multiple asse
strategies as applied to multiple asset classes.
How do the behaviors
of time - series (absolute) and cross-sectional (relative) carry,
momentum and
value strategies differ?
The
strategy selects equity securities
of REITs exhibiting a favorable combination
of factor characteristics, including quality,
momentum, and
value.
But, with smart beta
strategies, investment exposure to specific elements
of return (quality,
value,
momentum, size) is transparent to investors.
In the absence
of foresight, a diversified
strategy that combines different information sources (fundamentals,
value, risk appetite and technicals), trading
strategies (
momentum and contrarian) and holding periods (daily, weekly and monthly) far outperforms narrower approaches over the longer term.
Equity smart beta
strategies like
momentum,
value, quality and minimum volatility are by far the most adopted factor
strategies and often serve as the gateway to this type
of investing.
These are going to be the confluent
value areas that you watch for price action
strategies to form near to trade back in the direction
of the dominant market
momentum, or in the case
of a consolidating market, towards the opposite boundary
of the range.
In addition to equal - and
value - weighted
momentum strategies, we derive a liquidity - weighted
strategy designed to reduce the cost
of trades.
Ultimately, the equity investor will haul in a larger alpha catch by emulating the skilled fisherman: first, identifying a promising location (i.e., small cap stocks), then using multiple lines and hooks (i.e., implementing
value,
momentum, and quality
strategies to exploit the chum
of risk and mispricing in each), and lastly, dangling the lure
of skilled active management to tease out the smallest trading costs possible.
The obvious way to combine
strategies is to use leverage: for example, to reduce the market risk
of a
momentum strategy as much as possible, to do the same thing with a
value strategy, and then to borrow money at a low rate in order to get exposure to both.
«Our estimates... imply that implementation costs erode almost the entirety
of the return to
value and
momentum strategies...
momentum profits, in particular, may be out
of reach for the typical asset manager.»
Viewed as one
of eight possibly efficacious
strategies around the world, we can not come close to rejecting that
momentum's Sharpe ratio in Japan is ex ante equal to
momentum and
value's average Sharpe ratio everywhere.»
Putting the 12 individual
strategies together in a single portfolio6 delivers a package
of carry,
momentum, and
value that provides the potential for strong absolute returns at moderate levels
of risk and leverage.
The results
of our analysis are generally a bit stronger when the aggregate valuation measure is used, but three
of eight factors (
value blend,
momentum, and investment) and two
of eight smart beta
strategies (Fundamental Index and dividend index) show a stronger correlation when the P / B valuation measure is used.11 The aggregate valuation measure is likely stronger because it captures differences in profitability that can be missed by P / B.
Smart beta
strategies capture the power
of factors — broad and historically rewarded drivers
of returns such as
value (buying cheap) and
momentum (trending upward)-- to seek higher returns or lower risk.
Factor - based
strategies, use scientific, rules - based technology to focus on specific drivers
of return such as
momentum,
value, quality, size and lower volatility.
In addition, the
strategy engages in country - industry pairs selection using the same six sets
of signals and industry selection using only
value and
momentum.
Jordan Kimmel, like many
of our featured experts, has his own unique take on investing and has built his
strategy with a combination
of value, growth and
momentum investment styles.
It's important to note that «RAFI Size Factor» is not the same as the RAFI 1500 for small companies, but rather is a blend
of four factor - tilt
strategies, each formed within the universe
of small - cap stocks: small
value, small
momentum, small low volatility, and small quality (a factor that combines profitability and investment metrics).
Robert Litterman, managing director and head
of quantitative resources, said
strategies such as those which focus on price rises in cheaply -
valued stocks, which latch onto market
momentum or which trade currencies, had become very crowded.
Simple
value screens like Joel Greenblatt's «Magic Formula» have beaten the market by a wide margin, and research has shown that a
strategy of screening stocks based on simple
momentum criteria also beats the market over time.
Small size alone does not guarantee excess return, but implementing an outperforming
strategy, such as
value or
momentum, in the universe
of small company stocks increases alpha - producing opportunities.
In the early 2000s, Record championed currency as a separate asset class for its clients to invest in... nothing like the barrow boy approach to FX trading, rather a systematic medium / long - term approach to mining excess returns from currency markets, via the Forward Rate Bias (the tendency
of higher interest rate currencies to outperform lower rate currencies — i.e. the carry trade), and other
strategies (like
value &
momentum).
A variety
of levered market - neutral equity hedge funds were running into trouble in August 2007 as they all pursued similar
Value plus
Momentum strategies, and as some fund liquidated, a self reinforcing panic ensued.
The phenomenal Zero Hedge has an article, Goldman Claims
Momentum And
Value Quant
Strategies Now Overcrowded, Future Returns Negligible, discussing Goldman Sachs head of quantitative resources Robert Litterman's view that «strategies such as those which focus on price rises in cheaply - valued stocks... [have] become very crowded» since August 2007 and therefore unp
Strategies Now Overcrowded, Future Returns Negligible, discussing Goldman Sachs head
of quantitative resources Robert Litterman's view that «
strategies such as those which focus on price rises in cheaply - valued stocks... [have] become very crowded» since August 2007 and therefore unp
strategies such as those which focus on price rises in cheaply -
valued stocks... [have] become very crowded» since August 2007 and therefore unprofitable.
Combining
value and
momentum in order to exploit their typically negative correlation in stock holdings and alpha can improve a portfolio's Sharpe ratio over those
of either
strategy alone.
Not surprisingly,
value and
momentum strategies are usually negatively correlated both in terms
of stock holdings and alpha.
Momentum has consistently added
value across markets, with the widely known exception
of Japan, an outlier we would expect for any
strategy with inherent randomness.
As a stock becomes cheaper, a
value strategy suggests buying more
of it, the exact opposite
of what a
momentum strategy suggests.
Jordan Kimmel — «MAGNET» Stock Screener Jordan Kimmel, like many
of our featured experts, has his own unique take on investing and has built his
strategy with a combination
of value, growth and
momentum investment styles.
Random sidenote: A
strategy based on weighting stocks on factors such as dividends,
value,
momentum etc all come under the category
of «smart beta», which was in vogue for the past couple
of years (until Bitcoin came and became the Queen Bee, Mean Girls style).
There are
strategies targeting single risk - factor exposure (e.g.,
value, low volatility,
momentum, quality, or size), those employing alternative weighting methods (e.g., fundamental, dividend, or equal weight) and a smaller, but expanding, set
of multifactor
strategies coming to market.
The Nintendo Switch once again proves the
value of changing the game if you can't win by the existing rules, and there's not much Microsoft or Sony can do to gain the same
momentum with
strategies that focus on raw power.