Then again, in cyclical industries, it is always a question of
value over the cycle.
Not exact matches
Estimates of prospective long - term returns for the S&P 500 reflect our standard valuation methodology, focusing on the relationship between current market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability
over the economic
cycle (see for example Investment, Speculation, Valuation, and Tinker Bell, The Likely Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade and
Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings).
We forget that the most popular large - cap speculative leaders at the 2000 peak lost 92 % of their
value over the completion of the
cycle.
We adhere to a conservative,
value - oriented investment approach that has yielded attractive results
over a variety of market
cycles.
Over the full
cycle, the market recognizes reasonably -
valued stocks that throw off a reliable stream of cash to shareholders (especially those that exhibit enough investor sponsorship so that future cash flows aren't called into question on the basis of others» information).
In short, an informed view of market history easily admits the likelihood that the S&P 500 will lose half of its
value over the completion of the present
cycle.
Investment managers attempt to outperform the market by predicting market activity, and can add
value to portfolios by anticipating market
cycles and continuously changing asset allocation
over time.
The Balanced Asset Class Index which included large caps, small caps,
value stocks and bonds fared much better than the all - stock options and outperformed the other options
over the full
cycle 4 out of 5 times.
The Fund will attempt to produce a total return in excess of the return of the S&P 500 Index, and secondarily, the Russell 1000
Value Index
over a full market
cycle.
Looking back through history, whenever
value stocks have gotten this cheap, subsequent long - term returns have generally been strong.3 From current depressed valuation levels,
value stocks have in the past, on average, doubled
over the next five years.4 Not that we necessarily expect returns of this magnitude this time around, but based on the data and our six decades of experience investing through various market
cycles, we believe the current risk / reward proposition is heavily skewed in favor of long - term
value investors.
And, because you can not tell what the market is going to do, a
value investment discipline is important because it is the only approach that produces consistently good investment results
over a complete market
cycle» Seth Klarman
I expect the S&P 500 to lose approximately two - thirds of its
value over the completion of this
cycle.
A month ago, I noted that prevailing valuation extremes implied negative total returns for the S&P 500 on 10 - 12 year horizon, and losses on the order of two - thirds of the market's
value over the completion of the current market
cycle.
Considered a pilot for other Olympic sports, the plan called for the
cycling union to record the results of riders» blood tests
over time and track the changes of several key
values, including hematocrit and reticulocyte levels.
It may be pertinent to mention that the book
value of the power plant which is currently estimated at USD 325 million after five (5) years, with a life
cycle of around 15 -20 years, will be handed
over to the Government as a debt free asset which can be used to leverage and raise financing as a collateral or else the Government may choose to sell the operating asset to any investor who may not like to take any development risk, hence the plant being operational and in its best conditions.
The decision criteria should adopt a whole life
value for money approach considering costs, benefits and risks
over the life
cycle of buildings assets.
This portfolio is made up of companies that have consistently demonstrated the ability to increase sales and earnings, and improve their cash flow and book
values over multiple economic
cycles.
A: In the coming weeks I will share the history of small cap
value returns
over many different market
cycles.
volatility could fall after the first short option expires, lowering the time
value of your LEAP as well as future short - term options you would want to sell, making it harder (or impossible) to achieve your profit goal
over several option
cycles
Because of the relative attractiveness of our portfolio, as highlighted on the following page, and the context of how
value and growth investing
cycles have worked
over time, we expect to deliver attractive long - term results to Euclidean's investors.
He would study how earnings and asset
values fluctuated
over various
cycles.
For investors seeking long - term investment returns in
value - focused stocks
over the complete investment
cycle (bull and bear markets combined), with added emphasis on reducing exposure to general market fluctuations in conditions viewed by the Advisor as unfavorable to stocks.
But the reward for patience and discipline can be substantial because, as we've seen time and time again,
value stocks tend to outperform
over long - term, full market
cycles.
Different factors outperform at different stages of the market
cycle, so diversifying across factors, with an emphasis on quality and
value, can lead to stronger, more consistent risk - adjusted returns
over the long - term.
QEP International
Value targets gross returns of +3 % above international indices such as the MSCI ACWI ex US **
over the full economic
cycle.
Studies quarterly and annual reports, looking for companies that have demonstrated the ability to grow sales, earnings, cash flows and book
values consistently
over multiple economic
cycles.
For this reason, and in the context of how
value and growth investing
cycles have worked
over time, we expect to deliver attractive long - term results to Euclidean's investors.
We forget that the most popular large - cap speculative leaders at the 2000 peak lost 92 % of their
value over the completion of the
cycle.
I noted back in 2007, during a similar period of frustration, that less than half of the typical bull market gain is retained by the end of the subsequent bear market - «Once stocks become richly
valued, the remaining gains achieved by the market are almost always purely speculative - they are generally erased
over the remaining course of the market
cycle.
the European periphery is a bubble («The Euro crisis is not
over... the European economies are not going to change for the better for years to come despite all the cheating and breaking of laws»),
Value investors need to venture to Russia («when you look at today's opportunity set, you're left with a set of assets where nothing looks attractive from a valuation point of view») or buy gold mining stocks -LRB-» The down
cycle could be much bigger than anybody believes if the market realizes that all the actions taken in recent years do not work.»)
They are looking for companies that they believe are «reasonably priced, and have strong fundamental business characteristics, sustainable earnings growth and the ability to outperform peers
over a full market
cycle and sustain the
value of their securities in a market downturn, while [trying to] avoid investments in companies that it believes have low profit margins or unwarranted leverage, and companies that it believes are particularly cyclical, unpredictable or susceptible to rapid earnings declines.»
Again, the reason that the (Investment — Foreign Savings) term adds little variation to profits
over the business
cycle is that variations in gross domestic investment as a share of GDP are tightly and inversely correlated with variations in the current account deficit (a chart is presented in Taking Distortion at Face
Value).
These bonds are bought by investors on the open market for less than their face
value, and the company uses the cash it raises for whatever purpose it wants, before paying off the bondholders at term's end (usually by paying each bond at face
value using money from a new package of bonds, in effect «rolling
over» the debt to the next
cycle, similar to you carrying a balance on your credit card).
This approach generally has been vindicated in the past, as
value investors tended to outperform a majority of money managers
over full market
cycles; and this outperformance has been achieved principally during bear markets, by losing less than most.
I don't particularly like these business models, as they tend to produce mediocre returns on capital
over the full
cycle, but occasionally they do offer opportunities to buy them well below their net asset
values.
Style - neutral framework including both
value and growth investments can help lessen exposure to the
value / growth
cycle over time.
Assets must be selected that will grow their
value including dividend payments
over a reasonable time horizon, corresponding to a market
cycle or so (4 - 8 years).
Through practical experience, Brandywine has determined that
value - style investing — whether in equity or fixed income markets, in the US or internationally — can provide excellent risk - adjusted returns
over full investment
cycles, and it is a particularly important strategy in today's global markets.
Baird Equity Asset Management's Small / Mid Cap
Value portfolio invests in small - to medium - cap U.S. companies and seeks to provide superior risk - adjusted returns and consistently outperform the benchmark Russell 2500
Value Index
over a full market
cycle (typically 3 — 5 years).
Under his leadership, Heartland's
Value Fund has been noted by Forbes as having «done well... in both bear and bull markets
over two market
cycles.»
A linear regression fit to your smoothed data in the graph sampled every 3 years or so gives a downward trend with a
value of about 7 % of the size of a solar
cycle over the 40 - year span observed.
This graphic suggests the following changes in OHC 0 - 2000m
over the various time periods of the proposed BNO (S)
cycle, with the final 5 years - to - 2014
values taken from Levitus 0 - 2000m.
So the 3.7 W m - 2 calculation for global radiative forcing could be refined perhaps by an improved experimental design (not necessarily by improved radiative transfer models) running RT models at each grid cell
over the globe,
over the diurnal
cycle and the annual
cycle for say 30 years, for the two different CO2 concentrations, such a detailed calculation would refine the 3.7
value.
These
values were used to produce a comprehensive net present
value for the standard based on the full national impact
over the lifetime of units affected, including monetized full fuel
cycle emissions impacts.
A model of the Earth's carbon
cycle over the past 570 Myr suggests that, compared to its present
value, the partial pressure of CO2 (Pco2) may have been an order of magnitude higher in the early Palaeozoic, and about 4 — 6 times higher in the middle Mesozoic1, 2.
After privatization, after the Market has exercised the genius of its democracy, and waste is squeezed out, and there is a knowable price level and we can see clearly how much people
value the carbon
cycle, then maybe there might be a reason for experts and partisans to quibble
over how to change the world.
So is there an excess
value for DLR
over L at the tropics when one considers the diurnal
cycle and as one moves away from the tropics, the seasonal
cycle?
Seasonal
cycle Δαs / ΔTs
values are the difference between 20th - century mean April and May αs averaged
over Northern Hemisphere continents divided by the difference between April and May Ts averaged
over the same area and time period.
EUV
values vary by 30 - 100 % across the range
over the solar
cycle, and have the most potential to modulate atmospheric chemistry, size and temperature.
Actually, by the time you approach 200ppmv for CO2, you have already reached the break point in the curve, beyond which additional CO2 has much less impact on the RF — and this is close to the glacial
value — suggesting that CO2 changes do not drive the glacial
cycles (CO2 changes are supposed to amplify T rise during deglaciation, but there is scant evidence for this and the assumption that it did also underlay the IPCC belief — and a great many references in academic papers give a T degrees C per ppmv CO2 without stating
over which range of concentrations this is meant to apply.