Not exact matches
However, the existence
of natural
variability in
storminess confounds reliable detection
of anthropogenic effects.
This is an excerpt from «Millennial - scale
storminess variability in the northeastern United States during the Holocene epoch,» the 2002 paper using lake - bed sediment cores from around the Northeast to generate a Holocene history
of storminess:
Reconstructed centennial
variability of Late Holocene
storminess from Cors Fochno, Wales, UK Future anthropogenic climate forcing is forecast to increase storm intensity and frequency over Northern Europe, due to a northward shift
of the storm tracks, and a positive North Atlantic Oscillation.
Climate
variability associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) determines many physical coastal processes in Europe (Hurrell et al., 2003, 2004), including variations in the seasonality
of coastal climates, winter wind speeds and patterns
of storminess and coastal flooding in north - west Europe (Lozano et al., 2004; Stone and Orford, 2004; Yan et al., 2004).
It's not really obvious how all
of this relates to the «
variability» issue, but right now I don't think we have a satisfactory handle on how mid-latitude
storminess might change in a new climate, in terms
of frequency or intensity.
In addition, human - induced climate change may alter atmospheric circulation, dislocating historical patterns
of natural
variability and
storminess.