The satellite temps are more sensitive (higher swings) to ENSO and yearly
variation than the surface temperatures, and the 5 - year average for 1982 (1979 - 1984) is one of the highest peaks above trend for the UAH record.
Not exact matches
Some scientists believe that as they meander around the world, their activities can be better weather predictors
than variations in sea
surface temperatures.
Since we know that the earth's
surface is significantly warmed by geothermal heat, that geothermal heat is variable, that truly titanic forces are at work in the earth's core changing its structure and alignment, and that geothermal heat flux has a much greater influence on
surface temperatures than variations in carbon dioxide can possibly have, it makes sense to include its effects in a compendium of global warming discussion parameters.
The attached figure shows the tropospheric
temperature trends versus the
surface temperature trends in units of K per decade for 1979 — 2004: the tropospheric
temperature trends are astonishingly uniform along the equator with a
variation of about a factor of 5 smaller
than that in the
surface temperature trends.
But if the optical thickness in that band is sufficiently smaller
than in another band (depending on wavelengths), adding some absorption to the optically - thinner band would tend to result in warming of the colder layers (as there would be less
temperature variation over height in radiative equilbrium for that band, given the same
surface (+ tropospheric)
temperatures.
But it does say; «Natural climate
variations, which tend to involve localized changes in sea
surface temperature, may have a larger effect on hurricane activity
than the more uniform patterns of global warming...»
While working for estimation of IWV using GPS, I learned that the diurnal
variations in GPS - IWV can be obtained if we use high resolution (better
than 6 hours i.e. 3 hourly)
surface temperature and pressure values.
The results are shown in the second part of Figure 4 (click the «from UAH button»), and show the same pattern but with a rather muted signal - this is because the geographical
variation in LT
temperature anomalies is rather smaller
than for
surface temperatures.
El Ni o an irregular
variation of ocean current that, from January to February, flows off the west coast of South America, carrying warm, low - salinity, nutrient - poor water to the south; does not usually extend farther
than a few degrees south of the Equator, but occasionally it does penetrate beyond 12 S, displacing the relatively cold Peruvian current; usually short - lived effects, but sometimes last more
than a year, raising sea -
surface temperatures along the coast of Peru and in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean, having disastrous effects on marine life and fishing
The lack of buffering is why airless bodies and the skins of spacecraft display much greater
temperature variations than the
surface of planets like the Earth.
The higher cloud density near the tropics would result in
variation in ocean
surface temperatures more in the tropics
than in
temperature regions.
This is achieved through the study of three independent records, the net heat flux into the oceans over 5 decades, the sea - level change rate based on tide gauge records over the 20th century, and the sea -
surface temperature variations... We find that the total radiative forcing associated with solar cycles
variations is about 5 to 7 times larger
than just those associated with the TSI
variations, thus implying the necessary existence of an amplification mechanism, although without pointing to which one.
http://www.agci.org/docs/lean.pdf «Global (and regional)
surface temperature fluctuations in the past 120 years reflect, as in the space era, a combination of solar, volcanic, ENSO, and anthropogenic influences, with relative contributions shown in Figure 6.22 The adopted solar brightness changes in this scenario are based on a solar
surface flux transport model; although long - term changes are «50 % larger
than the 11 - year irradiance cycle, they are significantly smaller
than the original estimates based on
variations in Sun - like stars and geomagnetic activity.
Alternatively, Solomon et al. claim that the Global
Temperature Increase of 0.7 oC between 1900 and 2000 (i.e. 0.007 oC p.a.) was enough to increase evaporation and thereby [H2O] by more
than any annual
variation in solar
SURFACE radiation.
-- It seems perfectly reasonable to me that if we imagine the
surface never emits that energy in the first place, - energy that is stored in the
surface and just below, i.e. oceans, lakes, rivers, ground, and air, — just to mention a few, then any
surface temperature change would be completely reliant on
variations in Solar irradiation and advection mainly by Water Vapor (WV) but also by other GHGs that have the ability to contain more heat
than the rest of the atmospheric gases.
It seems perfectly reasonable to me that if we imagine the
surface never emits that energy in the first place, - energy that is stored in the
surface and just below, i.e. oceans, lakes, rivers, ground, and air, — just to mention a few, then any
surface temperature change would be completely reliant on
variations in Solar irradiation and advection mainly by Water Vapor (WV) but also by other GHGs that have the ability to contain more heat
than the rest of the atmospheric gases.
Paleo - climate * There is a problem, 2nd Half 20th Century climate
variation is unique: — Last 50 - yrs
temperature increase unprecedented — Coincides with increased ACO2 concentrations — CO2 is a major GHG — CO2 higher today
than in last 650,000 years —
Surface temperatures higher today
than in the last 1,000 possibly 2,000 years
As noted in my earlier reply, the annual
variations in monthly global land
surface temperatures are 4 times higher
than those of TLT.
the annual
variations in monthly global land
surface temperatures are 4 times higher
than those of TLT.