The Market Climate remains on a Crash Warning, characterized by extremely unfavorable valuations, unfavorable trend uniformity, and hostile yield trends, particularly long - term bond yields and
various measures of risk premiums.
Not exact matches
While it's normal for
various measures of volatility and
risk aversion to spike during a selloff or correction, my view is th...
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort
of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion
of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period
of internal divergence as
measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as
measured by
various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling
risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more
of a factor if we observe a substantial widening
of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
In a richly valued market, that sort
of risk control is most appropriately established using call options having a strike price situated at about the point where
various trend - following
measures would turn negative — what is known in finance as a «contingent position» because the position creates its own exit if the market deteriorates further without an interim recovery - and particularly if it deteriorates abruptly.
Lung function was
measured at the ages
of 7, 13, 18, 45, 50 and 53 years old, and participants» exposure to
various risk factors was also recorded.
Across two studies in the lab and field, women observed images and real life situations that varied in the
risk of crime, such as crime hotspots and safespots, and were asked to rate their perceived
risk of victimisation — a
measure of fear
of crime —
of various crimes.
We've added a biomarker, 8 - Hydroxy -2-deoxyguanosine (8 - OHdG), which
measures the effect
of endogenous oxidative damage to DNA and estimates
risk for
various cancers and degenerative diseases.
In addition, our Advisors help you identify
various areas
of risk so that you can take preventative
measures to fully secure your device.
Credit scores are designed to
measure the
risk of someone defaulting by taking into account
various factors in a person's financial history.
These are not real 5 %
risk levels, but constructed wholly out
of our ignorance aka uncertainty
measures in
various parameters.
In separate warnings, the Confederation
of British Industry (CBI) and the Association
of British Insurers (ABI) said that the handling
of the Northern Rock crisis, reaction to the credit crunch and the fallout from
various measures contained in last October's Pre-Budget Report have all put the position
of the financial services sector at
risk.
Furthermore, the owner proposed
various changes that would significantly lower the security
risk, but the board did not «give the appropriate weight» to these alternative
measures; • The board's refusal to consent to the changes unless the owner hired a full - time security guard unfairly disregarded the interests
of the unit owner under section 135
of the Act.
It then looks at a number
of risk factors for poor health
measured at
various points.
For example, longitudinal studies show that growing up in poverty increases lifelong
risk for
various negative life events and negative health outcomes.12 - 14 Peer rejection and lack
of friends are associated with the development
of many disorders.15 - 17 Poor school performance in childhood is associated with poor outcomes in adulthood, such as unemployment.18 Witnessing community violence has been shown to be a mental health hazard for adults and children.19, 20 These major childhood adversities are not currently
measured by the ACE scale.