This study explores the causes of the recent decline of Atlantic major hurricane frequency over the period 2005 - 2015, using
various observational datasets and modeling results from a 500 - year control simulation of a fully coupled earth system model, GFD's ESM2G.
For the thirty - year period 1979 to 2009 (sometimes updated through 2010 or 2011),
the various observational datasets find, in the tropical lower troposphere (LT, see Chapter 2 for definition), an average warming trend ranging from 0.07 °C to 0.15 °C per decade.
Not exact matches
Because the differences between the
various observational estimates are largely systematic and structural (Chapter 2; Mears et al., 2011), the uncertainty in the observed trends can not be reduced by averaging the observations as if the differences between the
datasets were purely random.