The spatial extent of the areas experiencing decreased
vegetation carbon increases monotonically with warming above +3 °C, as does the intermodel agreement on these reductions.
For example, at 4 °C of global land surface warming (510 — 758 ppm of CO2),
vegetation carbon increases by 52 — 477 Pg C (224 Pg C mean), mainly due to CO2 fertilization of photosynthesis.
Not exact matches
The simulations suggested that the indirect effects of
increased CO2 on net primary productivity (how much
carbon dioxide
vegetation takes in during photosynthesis minus how much
carbon dioxide the plants release during respiration) are large and variable, ranging from less than 10 per cent to more than 100 per cent of the size of direct effects.
The researchers believe the greening is a response to higher atmospheric
carbon dioxide inducing decreases in plant stomatal conductance — the measure of the rate of passage of
carbon dioxide entering, or water vapor exiting, through the stomata of a leaf — and
increases in soil water, thus enhancing
vegetation growth.
«If ozone continues to
increase,
vegetation will take up less and less of our
carbon dioxide emissions, which will leave more CO2 in the atmosphere, adding to global warming,» Sitch says.
She has already found a large
increase in soil
carbon two years after a single application of compost, probably due to enhanced
vegetation growth.
an emerging body of science indicates that rapidly
increasing atmospheric
carbon dioxide may be boosting the onrushing waves of woody
vegetation.
Desertification also contributes to climate change, with land degradation and related loss of
vegetation resulting in
increased emissions and reduced
carbon sink.
For instance, the sensitivity only including the fast feedbacks (e.g. ignoring land ice and
vegetation), or the sensitivity of a particular class of climate model (e.g. the «Charney sensitivity»), or the sensitivity of the whole system except the
carbon cycle (the Earth System Sensitivity), or the transient sensitivity tied to a specific date or period of time (i.e. the Transient Climate Response (TCR) to 1 %
increasing CO2 after 70 years).
Worldwide,
vegetation carbon storage and leaf cover are
increasing in response to rising CO2.
Complete restoration of deforested areas is unrealistic, yet 100 GtC
carbon drawdown is conceivable because: (1) the human - enhanced atmospheric CO2 level
increases carbon uptake by some
vegetation and soils, (2) improved agricultural practices can convert agriculture from a CO2 ource into a CO2 sink [174], (3) biomass - burning power plants with CO2 capture and storage can contribute to CO2 drawdown.
Besides food production, another benefit of
increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is the lush
vegetation that results.
Decaying
vegetation increases the levels of ammonia and
carbon dioxide; nobody wants that!
The resulting
increased / decreased ice is amplified by «various feedbacks, including ice - albedo, dust,
vegetation and, of course, the
carbon cycle which amplify the direct effects of the orbital changes.»
Yet, as Ashley Ballantyne's work shows, current
vegetation levels are still soaking up about have the
carbon emissions, even as emission rates have
increased.
This is due to
vegetation growth in the Northern Hemisphere sucking down
carbon faster than the average 2.06
increase in C in the atmosphere.
Considering the
carbon - cycle feedback, some models (e.g. Cox et al.) estimate large positive
vegetation feedback (
increased soil respiration, lower photosynthesis due to
increased vegetation stress,
increased fire frequency...) and some of the most extreme scenarios predict the CO2 concentration to be up to 980 ppm.
The study, which appears in November's issue of Energy Policy, determined that while
increases in temperature and
carbon dioxide levels may actually benefit
vegetation in the short run, rising ozone levels would more than offset those gains by harming crops.
As Arctic and sub-Arctic regions warm more than the global average, the
increase in temperature could lead to more regular fire damage to
vegetation and soils and
carbon release.
More generally,
increased vegetation cover lowers albedo, meaning that more of the sun's light is absorbed which in turn warms the climate locally (another positive feedback), as well as
increasing evapotranspiration and
carbon uptake.
According to a new study in PNAS, in some regions more than a quarter of the warming from
increased carbon dioxide is due to its direct impact on
vegetation.
Wårlind, D., Smith, B., Hickler, T., and Arneth, A.: Nitrogen feedbacks
increase future terrestrial ecosystem
carbon uptake in an individual - based dynamic
vegetation model, Biogeosciences, 11, 6131 - 6146, doi: 10.5194 / bg -11-6131-2014, 2014 link
This caused a rapid
increase in
vegetation in 2011, which the team thought might have a significant effect on
carbon uptake.
The sink swallowed up roughly 0.77 gigaton of
carbon per year, persisting despite a significant
increase in biomass burning emissions that occurred during the dry season of 2011, fueled by the rapid growth of
vegetation that year.
These facts help explain why, in spite of the Earth's air temperature
increasing to a level that the IPCC claims is unprecedented in the the past millennium or more, a recent study by Randall et al. (2013) found that the 14 % extra
carbon dioxide fertilization caused by human emissions between 1982 and 2010 caused an average worldwide
increase in
vegetation foliage by 11 % after adjusting the data for precipitation effects.
Some of these plants are consumed for food, fiber, and timber while others are replenishing or
increasing carbon in soils and
vegetation.
Peter Cox is the originator / author of the Triffid dynamic global
vegetation model which was used to predict dieback of the Amazonian rain forest by 2050 and as a consequence a strong positive climate -
carbon cycle feedback (i.e., an acceleration of global warming) with a resultant
increase in global mean surface temperature by 8 deg.
In addition, it has been reported that Amazonian rain forests are
increasing their
vegetation by about 900 pounds of
carbon per acre per year (113), or approximately 2 tons of biomass per acre per year.»
As temperatures continue to rise around the globe, more
vegetation will spring up in the frigid region, potentially pulling even more
carbon dioxide from the atmosphere due to
increased plant productivity.
If we stopped letting cattle graze on federal land and allowed the
vegetation there to naturally regrow, we'd save on emissions from lowered beef production and
increase the capacity of the land to serve as a
carbon sink.
We find, when all seven models are considered for one representative concentration pathway × general circulation model combination, such uncertainties explain 30 % more variation in modeled
vegetation carbon change than responses of net primary productivity alone,
increasing to 151 % for non-HYBRID4 models.
But if
vegetation wilts, and soils turn to dust over large areas of already parched land, then the
carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere will
increase even more.
Most land supports
increased vegetation carbon, with simulations agreeing on this
increase in many locations.
They include the physical, chemical and biological processes that control the oceanic storage of
carbon, and are calibrated against geochemical and isotopic constraints on how ocean
carbon storage has changed over the decades and
carbon storage in terrestrial
vegetation and soils, and how it responds to
increasing CO2, temperature, rainfall and other factors.
Agreement nevertheless emerges on
increases in future global
vegetation carbon, with large regional
increases across much of the boreal forest, western Amazonia, central Africa, western China, and southeastern Asia.
Future global
vegetation carbon change calculated by seven global
vegetation models using climate outputs and associated
increasing CO2 from five GCMs run with four RCPs, expressed as the change from the 1971 — 1999 mean relative to change in global mean land temperature.
Although
increased vegetation would sequester additional
carbon, this would be more - than - offset by the loss of the albedo effect, whereby sunlight bounces off white (snow and ice covered) parts of the Earth.
Previous modeling studies have also consistently predicted
increased global
vegetation carbon under future scenarios of climate and CO2, but with considerable variation in absolute values (2 — 4).
Vegetation carbon -LRB--RRB- was predicted to
increase by an average of 270 Pg C from preindustrial levels across the models by 2100, but saturating NPP and
increasing heterotrophic respiration led to a reduction in NEP after 2050.
Policies which include improving
carbon storage by
increasing vegetation and biodiversity, along with reduction in
carbon emissions, will help to balance global atmospheric
carbon.
As a result, the new model found that the
increase in
carbon uptake by more
vegetation will be overshadowed by a much larger amount of
carbon released into the atmosphere.
The
carbon loss occurred first through the removal of the original
vegetation, which stored much
carbon in its leaves, stems and trunks; then through the oxidation of
carbon in newly exposed soils; and finally through
increased soil erosion, which carried away much of the organic - rich sediment during flooding.
Impacts ranged from a strong
increase to a severe loss of
vegetation carbon (cv), depending on differences in climate projections, as well as the physiological response to rising [CO2].
Complete restoration of deforested areas is unrealistic, yet 100 GtC
carbon drawdown is conceivable because: (1) the human - enhanced atmospheric CO2 level
increases carbon uptake by some
vegetation and soils, (2) improved agricultural practices can convert agriculture from a CO2 ource into a CO2 sink [174], (3) biomass - burning power plants with CO2 capture and storage can contribute to CO2 drawdown.
This in turn
increases the biomass in
vegetation and soils and so fosters a
carbon sink on land.
... Maybe some one should have a look at the disappearing
vegetation as a cause for the
increasing carbon...
Double CO2 climate scenarios
increase wildfire events by 40 - 50 % in California (Fried et al., 2004), and double fire risk in Cape Fynbos (Midgley et al., 2005), favouring re-sprouting plants in Fynbos (Bond and Midgley, 2003), fire - tolerant shrub dominance in the Mediterranean Basin (Mouillot et al., 2002), and
vegetation structural change in California (needle - leaved to broad - leaved trees, trees to grasses) and reducing productivity and
carbon sequestration (Lenihan et al., 2003).
«Replacing the native
vegetation by sown pastures or crops might
increase the meat yield and reduce the
carbon footprint but generates negative impacts on the use of nutrients, pesticide contamination, soil erosion and use of fossil fuels,» said Modernel.
For negative lags, the
increased fire leads to reduction in the
vegetation carbon.
Including a match with other observations like the mass balance, the 13C / 12C and 14C / 12C trends, the oxygen balance, the
increase of
carbon species in the ocean surface and
vegetation, etc...