(2) low to mid-latitude coastal regions are already facing a greater likelihood of
very intense tropical cyclones that are drawing energy from significantly warmer ocean waters.
Not exact matches
It is
very rare for a
tropical cyclone to make landfall from the south in the state, although the remnants have sometimes brought
intense rain to the region as the storms break up and move into the southwest U.S.
There is
very good evidence to support the conclusion that continued unmitigated climate change will lead to more
intense tropical cyclones, and there is even some evidence (see the Nature paper above) that on average
cyclones are already getting stronger and more devastating.
The report cites Bangladesh, already threatened by frequent floods and extreme weather, as just one of more «potential impact hotspots» threatened by «extreme river floods, more
intense tropical cyclones, rising sea levels and
very high temperatures».
Based on our published results and as well as those of other modeling groups, we conclude that at the global scale: a future increase in
tropical cyclone precipitation rates is likely; an increase in
tropical cyclone intensity is likely; an increase in
very intense (category 4 and 5)
tropical cyclones is more likely than not; and there is medium confidence in a decrease in the frequency of weaker
tropical cyclones.
Key findings from these experiments include: fewer
tropical cyclones globally in a warmer late - twenty - first - century climate (Figure 8), but also an increase in average
cyclone intensity, the number and occurrence days of
very intense category 4 and 5 storms in most basins (Figure 9) and in
tropical cyclone precipitation rates (Figure 10).