Sentences with phrase «very marginal seat»

Like Derby South, this is a very marginal seat where it is very difficult to believe that the Tories would have won if they had had the competence and / or honesty to admit before the election that Midland Mainline Electrification would have to be postponed because of therrpobelms which have arisen with electrification of the Great Western line.

Labour MP @Chris Bryant: As for the rumours that Boris would go for the very marginal seat of corby - an inverted pyramid of piffle!

@ChrisBryantMP: As for the rumours that Boris would go for the very marginal seat of corby - an inverted pyramid of piffle!

Stroud has been relative to others a very marginal seat since 1992 as well as a swing seat as its winner's majority has not exceeded 9.1 % of the vote since the 19.2 % majority won in that year.

Perhaps I did it because I was in a very marginal seat and felt that the interaction with people on social media was important.

Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very marginal seats: eleven were won by fewer than 100 votes.

Regular readers will recall that before the election it looked as if the boundary reviews would have favoured the Tories more — I suspect this change is largely because the 2017 election happened to produce a lot of very marginal seats, and that small boundary changes have flipped some of these in Labour's favour.

Not exact matches

It clearly shows that in these marginal seats, the key battleground seats where the general election will be won and lost, voters are very concerned about threats to religious liberty and free speech.

The Liberal candidate for the new WA seat of Burt is «very, very hopeful» of winning, despite marginal seat polling showing it is the most likely electorate in the state to go to Labor.

Respondents were asked to rate «a pact with UKIP that avoids the two parties standing against each other in marginal seats» on a scale of -5 to +5 (where +5 equalled a «very positive impact» and -5 equalled a «very bad impact».)

A little - reported result of the 2015 general election was a substantial reduction in the number of marginal seats, and a consequent increase in the number of very safe ones for both the Conservatives and Labour.

It would be very sad if the two right - of - centre Eurosceptic parties at the general election were not able to find some way, at least in marginal seats, of reaching an accommodation so that anti-referendum candidates don't get in with a minority of votes.

In 1997 and 2001 the seat was a very close Conservative / Labour marginal, but in 2005 the Conservatives managed to turn it into a relatively safe seat.

The Conservative party chairman said:» Labour should be very worried that in a week when Gordon Brown has dominated the news, the Conservatives have made a crucial gain from Labour in the north and achieved a swing in three marginal seats which would mean three strong Conservative gains in a general election.»

«In the very close marginal seats... you will effectively lose the election for the Labour sitting candidate and get the Tory elected,» he said.

It's not a very exciting finding — swing in Conservative marginals not vastly different to other seats — but it's one that gives me some confidence in the poll.

If they behave differently to the national polls, and if different groups of marginal seats behave differently to one another, it's obviously a very big deal.

Among other results, Lord Ashcroft's polls suggested that the growth in SNP support would translate into more than 50 seats; [124] that there was little overall pattern in Labour and Conservative Party marginals; [125] that the Green Party MP Caroline Lucas would retain her seat; [126] that both Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and UKIP leader Nigel Farage would face very close races to be elected in their own constituencies; [127] and that Liberal Democrat MPs would enjoy an incumbency effect that would lose fewer MPs than their national polling implied.

Brown is a very cautious man (despite throwing Prudence to wind) and a large number of his MPs in marginal seats will adopt the Macawber principle and will hope (as Major did in 1997) that by hanging on something will turn up to save them.

If history is any guide we might expect the Conservatives to do a little better as most of the battleground seats have new Conservative incumbents, but only by a very small amount — the reality is that Con - Lab marginals do tend to behave in pretty much the same way as the nation as a whole does.

It's certainly true, as I observed earlier, that BME voters are concentrated in such seats but there are significant — and increasing — BME communities in many marginal seats (including one very important south London marginal!)

Seats are divided into six types: Hopeless — lost by more than 20 points; Little Chance — those lost by 10 - 20 points; Marginal Lost — lost by 0 - 10 points; Marginal Won — won by 0 - 10 points; Safe — won by 10 - 20 points; and Very Safe — won by more than 20 points.

I don't think UKIP are going to win seats but they could split the Conservative vote if they are very strong and let Labour through in those marginal seats.

The country became more polarised between the two largest parties in 2015 than was the case at any previous post-1945 election: the Conservatives and Labour have more Very Safe seats than before, and are contesting fewer marginal ones — and of the 56 seats won by the SNP in 2015, 28 are classified as Very Safe and a further 18 as Safe.

Whereas in marginal seats with two or three parties very close to each other, the behaviour of small numbers of voters could change the result and so every vote counts.

Thus anyone wavering will think, «It's worth voting for UKIP, they can win this time» whereas with FTTP as used for Westminster they will be lucky to hold Castle Point and in a marginal seat such as Reading West if I want to unseat Labour MP Martin Salter I will have to vote Tory as the UKIP candidate will be very lucky to make 4 figures.

Polling by former the Tory backer Lord Ashcroft, however, had very good news for Labour, showing the party well ahead in crucial marginal seats that it will need to take in 2015.

Politics: Unlike the other two Lewisham seats with their past history of being Lab - Con marginals, Deptford has a long history of very solid Labour support.

That to me is the great unknown — it's a good bet UKIP are going to double or triple their national vote share but it might be very uneven, with big votes in safe seats and more modest performances in marginal seats due to a stronger campaign from the other parties.

But this is still a pretty small car — rear - seat leg room is marginal for two adults, and three adults will be hoping for a very short trip — and the interior trim, all vinyl and hard plastic, looks and feels economy - car.

It's a very tough business because the marginal cost of a seat is practically nothing, you have these huge fixed costs and if you take one more person on board there's virtually no cost to it, so you're very tempted to sell that last seat too cheap, and if you sell the last seat too cheap it becomes the first seat in a way... the hope is that they keep orders [of aircraft] in reasonable relationship to potential demand and lately they've been operating at 80 % [load factors] for a while.