Althought it's still
very warm this time of the year (love it!)
Warmer water means more rain but, as even the paper points out, the waters in the Gulf of Mexico are already
very warm this time of year.
Not exact matches
Brussles sprout season is only three weeks this
year in Massachusetts because
of the
warm early fall we had, so for a *
very * limited
time, Clover Food Labs is serving up this Brussels Sprout Sandwich — hurry in, you don't want to miss it!
I am pissed today hearing about Olivier Giroud three
year contract and salary he is earning.That is unfair because Giroud does not deserve it.He has not worked to show that he deserves it.We should look at the quality snd output
of our players before paying them.Well its too late now so we should look forward.We do nt need stats to even tell us that Girouf is usually average for arsenal than good at most times.I would have sold him if i was Wenger because he does not deserve to be leading the line still after 3
years and i doubt he will like to
warm the bench.He is
very lucky to have Wenger as a coach
of arsenal london fc.Arsenal has not moved forward because we think getting rid
of players is a bad thing.We always hesitate when it comes to selling players we do nt need.Arsenal need a world class cf not a world class cf.Its is
time to move forward by addressing our mistakes.Since Van persie left we have needed a cf and ifBenzema is available we need to get rid
of who we do nt need so that we move forward.Arsenal do not need Giroud though many may be against my speech.Once the premier league starts and Giroud is our main cf it shows that Wenger has not learnt from his mistakes.Just as we got Cech who to me was a need he needs to just find as a reliable and clinical cf.
no wonder wenger has gotten away with his dozen
years of failure when fans deliver this kind
of ludicrous assessment... get
of the wenger juice and get yourself cleaned up... anyway this was a tale
of two
very different halves so average score is basically like saying the guy who took a bath in ice water and then in scolding water had a good
time as on average he was in
warm water!!!
Hygge, best translated as «cosiness,» is a
very important part
of daily life; people like to sit together and talk around cups
of coffee and cakes in a cosy atmosphere,
warm and bright with lots
of candles at any
time of year.
The draft report says it is «
very likely» that the past three decades have all been
warmer than any
time in the past 800
years; that we could see almost 9 °C
of warming by 2300; and that «a large fraction
of climate change is largely irreversible on human timescales».
I can understand that approaching equilibrium takes a long, long
time, while TCR gives a better measure
of what will happen over the next few decades (and that technology and society may be
very different in 200
years time); but on the other hand, I thought nations had agreed to try to limit global
warming to less than 2 degrees C overall, and not just to limit it to less than 2 degrees C by 2100.
The last few million
years have been generally colder with ice ages, but if you go way back in
time for many millions
of years, there are much
warmer climates on Earth and we are
very interested in modelling these.
Given the atmospheric lifetime
of carbon dioxide is many hundreds to thousands
of years, we can now understand that long - lived greenhouses will also continue to exert a
warming influence on the worlds oceans for a
very long
time.
Brussles sprout season is only three weeks this
year in Massachusetts because
of the
warm early fall we had, so for a *
very * limited
time, Clover Food Labs is serving up this Brussels Sprout Sandwich — hurry in, you don't want to miss it!
If you are a travelling freak like me, you must know for sure that spring is the perfect
time to go to that vacation spot you have been dreaming for so long.While travelling in winter could be
very uncomfortable for most
of the people as you have to travel with all that pile
of sweaters and other
warm clothes to keep you safe from the chilly weather, spring on the other hand is just that pleasant
time of the
year when you can enjoy travelling to almost any place.
On a
warm night in early July
of that long - evaporated
year, the Interestings gathered for the
very first
time.
Many people THINK THE BEST
TIME OF YEAR TO VISIT IS winter, BECAUSE the weather is
warm with clear blue skies giving you the energy to do so many things — but my personal favourite is the
very hot summers that we have, cooled by a gentle sea breeze.
Depending on what
time of year you attempt the trek, it can be
very cold at night so make sure you take plenty
of warm clothes.
-- is it right to say that this study doesn't show any significative influence
of anthropogenic, post -1970
warming on SLR, since the SLR reacts mainly with a
very large
time constant and averages the temperature over a
time much longer than 40
years?
Jorge Sarmiento and his group here at Princeton have discussed this paper and Jorge can give you more details on reservations that he has..., but one bottom line is that 9
years is obviously a
very short
time for detection
of global
warming trends.
But the evidence shows this can't be true; temperature changes before CO2 in every record
of any duration for any
time period; CO2 variability does not correlate with temperature at any point in the last 600 million
years; atmospheric CO2 levels are currently at the lowest level in that period; in the 20th century most
warming occurred before 1940 when human production
of CO2 was
very small; human production
of CO2 increased the most after 1940 but global temperatures declined to 1985; from 2000 global temperatures declined while CO2 levels increased; and any reduction in CO2 threatens plant life, oxygen production, and therefore all life on the planet.
The water temperature is still extremely
warm for this
time of year, and the visibility is
very limited because
of a large amount
of biological material (easy to see when you are diving).
These other reconstructions do tend to show some more variability than MBH98, ie the handle
of the hockey stick is not as straight, but they * all * support the general conclusions that the IPCC TAR came to in 2001: the late 20th century
warming is anamolous in the last one or two thousand
years and the 1990's are
very likely
warmer than any other
time in the last one or two thousand
years.»
These analyses indicate that it is likely that greenhouse gases alone would have caused more than the observed
warming over the last 50
years of the 20th century, with some
warming offset by cooling from natural and other anthropogenic factors, notably aerosols, which have a
very short residence
time in the atmosphere relative to that
of well - mixed greenhouse gases (Schwartz, 1993).
«All science is contention — we continue to learn, we must be humble at all
times about what we know — but it seems to me
very much sticking your head in the sand,» Beyer retorted, adding that debating over which
year is the hottest was «silly» since 10
of the last 15
years were record
warm years.
[13] According to Arctic researcher Jennifer Francis, «The Arctic warmth is the result
of a combination
of record - low sea - ice extent for this
time of year, probably
very thin ice, and plenty
of warm / moist air from lower latitudes being driven northward by a
very wavy jet stream.»
I'm
very convinced that the physical process
of global
warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically significant increase
of the global surface and tropospheric temperature anomaly over a
time scale
of about 20
years and longer and also as trends in other climate variables (e.g., global ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
To point out just a couple
of things: — oceans
warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long -
time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to
warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more
time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water
warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same
time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last
years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands»
warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters
warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU
of last
years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is
very small worldwide, so the global effect is
very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small
warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get
very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night -
time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade
of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60
years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part
of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view
of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead
of GW, maybe even that a small part
of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
Variance
of two daily temperature is pretty dependent on latitidude and month (
very limited change at this
time of the
year in the NH but considerable differences in the
warmer months), also dependent on amount
of sunshine.
It is
very worth remembering that the
year 2100 is not the end
of time and ice sheets are one
of the slower components
of the climate system to respond to
warming.
Then it
warmed again for a
very short period
of time, for about five
years.
Temperatures at the start
of this week were well within the boundaries
of what most
of the world would describe as
very cold at — 6C (20F), but that was still up to 10C (18F)
warmer than expected for this
time of year.
4) the end results on the bottom
of the first table (on maximum temperatures), clearly showed a drop in the speed
of warming that started around 38
years ago, and continued to drop every other period I looked / /... 5) I did a linear fit, on those 4 results for the drop in the speed
of global maximum temps, versus
time, ended up with y = 0.0018 x -0.0314, with r2 = 0.96 At that stage I was sure to know that I had hooked a fish: I was at least 95 % sure (max) temperatures were falling 6) On same maxima data, a polynomial fit,
of 2nd order, i.e. parabolic, gave me y = -0.000049 × 2 + 0.004267 x — 0.056745 r2 = 0.995 That is
very high, showing a natural relationship, like the trajectory
of somebody throwing a ball... 7) projection on the above parabolic fit backward, (10
years?)
The 350 -
year long
warming trend since the bottom
of the LIA is undeniable, and unlikely to be undone in a
very long
time.
I am
very curious about another glaring error in the making, which is the continuance
of MSU graphs not showing 2005 as the
warmest year in history at all, if there is a scandal in atmospheric science that's the biggest one I know
of at this
time.
Interestingly, Patzelt finds that over most
of the past 10,000
years, temperature was
warmer than today, and the
time around 1850 was
very likely the period
of maximum glacial extent over the 10,000
years.
There has not been shown to be a density variation
of significance that correlates with average temperature variation (e.g, the recent high average temperature came from a small
very hot area over the ocean and a small northern area, and more normal to even colder temperatures everywhere else, not global temperatures being
warmer), and Solar activity has been shown to correlate
very well with much
of the long term (thousands
of years time scale) global temperature trend.
I suspect that, BAU, the rate
of warming from 1970 to 2070 could be
very unusual for 100 -
year periods for a long
time into the past, though I'd defer to others who have studied climate records in more detail... (the sustained rate
of increase in GHG forcing already is quite a bit larger than what occured in at least the last deglaciation — see graphs in ch 6
of IPCC AR4 WGI)
I can understand that approaching equilibrium takes a long, long
time, while TCR gives a better measure
of what will happen over the next few decades (and that technology and society may be
very different in 200
years time); but on the other hand, I thought nations had agreed to try to limit global
warming to less than 2 degrees C overall, and not just to limit it to less than 2 degrees C by 2100.
What is new this week is an effort to evaluate the impact
of future
warming on Greenland by looking at what happened to it last
time it got
very warm — namely during the Last InterGlacial (LIG) period, about 125,000
years ago.
How is the public going to react when they find out that «Plausible changes in emissions will have
very little effect over the actual
warming in that
time frame [30
years] but could affect the «committed response»
of further decades.»