It is also important to note that projections for this century should not be
viewed as predictions.
Eric says: If we make predictions — or statements that are
viewed as predictions by the public — and it then becomes obvious that they won't be borne out, then science loses credibility and we all lose.
Not exact matches
Such
predictions are the equivalent of an educated guess and should not be
viewed as fact.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions,
views,
predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or coin picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational or educational purposes only and should not be construed
as personal investment advice.
Economic
predictions should not be
viewed as facts, but
as an educated guess.
It would seem that Lawrence interprets this
as a vision and
prediction of a nonphysical cosmos in place of the «mixed» mental and physical cosmos in which,
as White - head (on this
view) concedes, we find ourselves.
Africans, who were living in a period of rapid social change gradually came to feel that their traditional world -
view was no longer adequate
as a method of «explanation,
prediction and control.»
As documented by Jonathan Wells's short book The Myth of Junk DNA, it was Dembski's
prediction, not the Darwinian conventional wisdom, that provided a more accurate
view of biological reality.
On Hesse's
view theories are not to be conceived
as arranged in layers such that higher levels are generalizations from lower ones and allow
predictions on the lower levels to be deduced.
Asked about the result, press secretary Jay Carney said, «Special elections are often unique and their outcomes don't tell you very much about future regularly scheduled elections... You can make those
predictions and look foolish in 14 months or not, I'm simply saying we do not
view them that way [
as a referendum].»
[10] Following the result (in which the national turnout was a mere 15.1 %, even lower than the Society's
prediction), the Society branded the Government's approach to elections
as a «comedy of errors»,
views that were reiterated by Shadow Home Secretary Yvette Cooper.
This story lends itself to several teaching and learning endeavors such
as: (1) the use of personification; (2) great vocabulary instruction; (3) sequencing; (4) point of
view; (5) Descriptive Writing; (6) research and investigation of several different states discussed in the story; (7) the use of similes to make comparisons; and (8) making
predictions about what will happen next in the story based on the context clues provided!
They measures students» attainment of skills such
as understanding story events, drawing conclusions, making
predictions, identifying the main idea, using vocabulary strategies, identifying supporting details, identifying point of
view, evaluating ideas, understanding features that distinguish genres, and using figurative language to interpret text.
Such
predictions are the equivalent of an educated guess and should not be
viewed as fact.
In the
view of John Maynard Keynes, stock valuation is not a
prediction but a convention, which serves to facilitate investment and ensure that stocks are liquid, despite being underpinned by an illiquid business and its illiquid investments, such
as factories.
This is one of those
predictions that is only made in that the off chance it actually does happen, the person is
viewed as some sort of genius.
When considering the work on
view and the exhibition
as a whole, the exhibition text holds some
predictions for the exhibition in the realm of the commercial.
My own
prediction is that,
as temperatures fail to increase over the next five years, attention will turn to Ray Ladbury's «bite» — the resonant absorption of outgoing radiation by CO2 and H2O in the radiation spectrum
viewed from space.
But in no case should a reporter who wishes to portray with accuracy the debates about global warming, present a minority
view unbacked by science and promoted by businesses with a small, old dog in a very tough dog fight,
as equivalent to hard science from unbiased scientists with no economic interest in anything but getting the facts and
predictions right.
On my
view they are no more careful than those who made the mistake of misconstruing a projection
as a
prediction.
An alternative along these lines which seems fairly popular nowadays is known
as Bayesian calculus, where if a given theory is
viewed as relatively unlikely but makes a
prediction which is also seen
as highly improbable (given the rest of what we believe we know) the theory is
viewed as more likely and the alternatives to it which predicted something else are
viewed as less likely, including the alternative which was dominant.
As far as I know, there are not many others who has a similar view on this subject, but you can only convince the society through predictions and verifications through empirical evidenc
As far
as I know, there are not many others who has a similar view on this subject, but you can only convince the society through predictions and verifications through empirical evidenc
as I know, there are not many others who has a similar
view on this subject, but you can only convince the society through
predictions and verifications through empirical evidence.
In 1990 the IPCC's central business -
as - usual
prediction for the medium term was equivalent to 0.28 K per decade, so, on any
view, Karl's paper is an admission that the models have been exaggerating by well over double.
Please don't
view my extrapolations
as predictions, there's a difference.
Under a logical approach to validation, each
prediction that is made by a predictive model is
viewed as making a claim about the outcome of a statistical event and this claim is
viewed as a logical proposition.
To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see
as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat
as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because,
as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full
view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and
predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
But in practice this (in my
view) does stand
as a good falsifiable
prediction, without strong preconditions on the scenarios.
It is not legitimate and certainly of no scientific value (although there may be political value) to attack a
prediction because you don't like the consequences, or you don't like the sort of people who are happy with the
prediction, or you don't like the people who made the
prediction, or you don't like the sort of policy responses that
prediction might suggest or encourage, or even if you simply see yourself
as a challenger of consensus
views in the name of some ideal or other.
In an interview with The Guardian on March 30 and another with the BBC on April 3, Lovelock, the geophysicist best known
as the originator of the Gaia Hypothesis, said environmentalism has «become a religion» for many, and suggested that the IPCC has virtually copied his own exaggerated
predictions from eight years ago —
views that he has since repudiated.
Finally, there's consensus that we can not look at climate forecasts — in particular, probabilistic forecasts — the same way we
view weather
predictions, and none of us would sell climate - model output, either at face value or after statistical analysis,
as a reliable representation of the complete range of possible futures.
The study included several
predictions, many of which, in my
view, are best characterized
as «the more things change, the more they stay the same.»
Although finding a compound patent valid based on actual utility after construing a low Promise, Mr. Justice Rennie recognized (in obiter) there would be problems with a sound
prediction of any higher Promise, and referred to the «common
view» of the disclosure requirement of AZT
as follows:
The CCLA submits, correctly in our
view, that these
predictions may include whether anyone is home, the approximate time at which the occupants go to bed and wake up, and guesses
as to particular appliances being used.
Prediction: In 2018, Wilson - Raybould will table an omnibus justice bill that promises of transformational criminal justice reform, but the bill will ultimately be
viewed as a disappointment.
I prefer the
view that events such
as the Trump lunacy, the 2017 UK Parliamentary Election and Brexit should teach us about the foolishness of making
predictions about the future; more than likely we will be wrong.
Bloq Economist and Bitcoin Hivemind creator Paul Sztorc has been fascinated with
prediction markets for many years, and he
views these mechanisms for the creation of «event derivatives»
as an essential public good.
Now that we've sorted out the Bitcoin Cash price
prediction and the Bitcoin Cash futures, let's broaden our
view to the cryptocurrency market
as a whole, and examine options that I think could be great investments — certainly better than BCH.
If you are a firm believer in the potential of bitcoin and if you believe that bitcoin experts» price
predictions carry weight, then you should not get spooked when the price of bitcoin drops but, instead,
view it
as an opportunity to buy more bitcoin at a cheaper price for your digital currency investment portfolio.
Such
predictions are the equivalent of an educated guess and should not be
viewed as fact.