Not exact matches
On the other hand they seem to be smaller in high -
volatility environments (possibly a side - effect of
mean -
reverting volatility).
In a previous post, we showed that the spot
volatility index, VIX, has a strong
mean reverting tendency.
Volatility will be higher than in the past, but it always
reverts to the
mean.
The forward market for 1 - year implied
volatility doesn't exist in any deep way, so the insurance company decides that it will have to take its chances, and assume that
volatility will
mean revert over longer periods of time.
For example, the idea that
volatility is
mean reverting.
As I understand it,
volatility is
mean reverting, but price isn't necessarily.
Price changes tend to
mean revert, so estimates of annualized realized
volatility drop as the length of the period rises.
People are putting money into XIV because they «know» that implied
volatility always
mean -
reverts, and so they will make easy money after a
volatility spike.
In a previous post, we showed that the spot
volatility index, VIX, has a strong
mean reverting tendency.
Anyway, currencies are
mean -
reverting much of the time — so despite high short - term FX
volatility, in the medium term the scale of your equity gains / losses is likely to far exceed any related currency gains / losses.