Bonds do reduce
volatility risk though.
Not exact matches
Though I always like to specify that the
volatility or variability of a portfolio is not necessarily
risk to a lifetime investor, in order to objectively evaluate the
risk level of investment portfolios for research purposes, variability of portfolio returns is what is used.
Though this pedagogic assumption makes for easy teaching, it is dead wrong:
Volatility is far from synonymous with
risk.
Whatever your reaction,
though, now is an excellent time to complete a
risk tolerance test to gauge how much
volatility you can actually handle
What we can see
though is higher
volatility & bigger gains in good years for the all - value & small - cap tilted age - 25 target date portfolios, which fits with expectations of them having higher
risks and returns over time.
So while we don't believe that the record high gold / XAU ratio can be taken entirely at face value, there's no question that it is elevated even on a cyclical basis (that is, even allowing for a gradual structural increase over time), and there's no question in the data that cyclically elevated gold / XAU ratios have been associated with strong subsequent gains in the XAU index over a 3 - 4 year period on average,
though certainly not without
risk or
volatility.
Even
though the S&P 500 Bond Index offered the best
risk - adjusted return on a stand - alone basis, we see that the blend of stocks and TIPS captured most of the upside of the S&P 500 with a fraction of the
volatility.
At its heart is the somewhat counterintuitive,
though heavily documented, notion that lower
volatility stocks can offer superior
risk - adjusted returns over time.
What's important to remember,
though, is that greater
volatility typically comes with considerable downside
risk.
Therefore, a
risk - control strategy based on realized historical
volatility is likely to add value over the long run as well; even
though we do not forecast
volatility.
Though this pedagogic assumption makes for easy teaching, it is dead wrong:
Volatility is far from synonymous with
risk.
Even
though taking no
risk is completely valid (whatever lets you sleep at night), I prefer a moderate
risk portfolio that targets higher returns than buy and hold with lower
volatility and drawdowns — quite a tall order!
Teaching the next generation about cryptocurrency's potential,
though, should also include a word of warning about its
risks, both in terms of
volatility and security.