Not exact matches
Their findings: natural
influences such as changes in the amount of sunlight or
volcanic eruptions did not explain the warming trends, but the results matched when
increasing levels of greenhouse gas emissions were added to the mix.
These temperature
increases can not be attributed easily to
volcanic influences and are most probably solar in origin.»
The red line incorporates natural
influences like changes in solar output and
volcanic activity but virtually all of the long - term warming is attributable to human - caused
increases in greenhouse gasses.
However, there is not compelling evidence that anthropogenic CO2 was sufficient to
influence Earth's temperatures prior to 1950, i.e. «Climate model simulations that consider only natural solar variability and
volcanic aerosols since 1750 — omitting observed
increases in greenhouse gases — are able to fit the observations of global temperatures only up until about 1950.»
Neely (2013 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50263/abstract): «Comparison of the model results to observations reveals that moderate
volcanic eruptions, rather than anthropogenic
influences, are the primary source of the observed
increases in stratospheric aerosol.»
92) If one factors in non-greenhouse
influences such as El Nino events and large
volcanic eruptions, lower atmosphere satellite - based temperature measurements show little, if any, global warming since 1979, a period over which atmospheric CO2 has
increased by 55 ppm (17 per cent).
Forster et al. (2007) described four mechanisms by which
volcanic forcing
influences climate: RF due to aerosol — radiation interaction; differential (vertical or horizontal) heating, producing gradients and changes in circulation; interactions with other modes of circulation, such as El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO); and ozone depletion with its effects on stratospheric heating, which depends on anthropogenic chlorine (stratospheric ozone would
increase with a
volcanic eruption under low - chlorine conditions).