Predictions of future sea - level rise and reduction in
volume of ice sheets are consistent with what the evidence indicates during the Last Interglacial.
While it's important to know
the volume of an ice sheet - or how much space it takes up - it can change without affecting the amount of ice that is present.
The volume of the ice sheet is its asset.
Not exact matches
«That may not sound like a lot, but consider the
volume of ice now locked up in the planet's three greatest
ice sheets,» she writes in a recent issue
of Scientific American.
«This new, huge data
volume records how the
ice sheet evolved and how it's flowing today,» said Joe MacGregor, the study's lead author, a glaciologist at The University
of Texas at Austin Institute for Geophysics (UTIG), a unit
of the Jackson School
of Geosciences.
With a
volume of more than 700,000 cubic miles and an average thickness
of 4,000 feet, the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet (WAIS) holds enough water to raise sea levels by 15 to 20 feet — and it is already sweating off 130 billion tons of ice per ye
Ice Sheet (WAIS) holds enough water to raise sea levels by 15 to 20 feet — and it is already sweating off 130 billion tons
of ice per ye
ice per year.
During a record melting jag this past summer, the Greenland
ice sheet lost 552 billion tons (19 billion tons lower than the previous low), and the
volume of sea
ice fell to half the
volume it had four years ago.
Around 6 million years ago, the East Antarctic
Ice Sheet expanded, stabilized and ceased producing large
volumes of meltwater.
But the large
volumes of data on Arctic sea and land
ice that IceBridge has collected during its nine years of operations there have also enabled scientific discoveries ranging from the first map showing what parts of the bottom of the massive Greenland Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models for all of Greenla
ice that IceBridge has collected during its nine years
of operations there have also enabled scientific discoveries ranging from the first map showing what parts
of the bottom
of the massive Greenland
Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models for all of Greenla
Ice Sheet are thawed to improvements in snowfall accumulation models for all
of Greenland.
What is alarming is that the
volume of water and the extent and rapidity
of its movement is suprisingly much greater than previously believed, and that a possible, perhaps likely, effect
of this on
ice sheet dynamics is to make the
ice sheets less stable and more likely to respond more quickly to global warming than previously expected.
Greenland's
ice sheet melted nearly 19 billion tons more than the previous high mark, and the
volume of Arctic sea
ice at summer's end was half what it was just four years ago, according to new NASA satellite data obtained by the Associated Press (AP).
«Conversely, there is more and better evidence across Iceland that when the
ice sheet underwent major reduction at the end
of the last glacial period, there was a large increase in both the frequency and
volume of basalt erupted — with some estimates being 30 times higher than the present day.
Scientists have long suspected that the network
of cracks in Europa's
ice sheet could indicate a large
volume of water underneath, and recent analysis
of magnetic field data from the Galileo probe seems to confirm there is a salty ocean down there.
Measurements
of ice sheet elevation changes indicate the
volume of ice lost, and hence the contribution to sea levels, he tells Carbon Brief.
Further, melt - water
of the floating
ice -
sheets will reoccupy same
volume of the displaced water by floating
ice -
sheets causing no sea - level rise.
The latter is almost linearly related to changes in
ice sheet volume; the former, however, is influenced by a range
of factors, including atmosphere / ocean dynamics and changes in Earth's gravitational field, rotation, and crustal and the mantle deformation associated with the redistribution
of mass between land
ice and the ocean.
The typical estimate
of the sea - level change is five metres, a value arrived at by taking the total
volume of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, converting it to water and spreading it evenly across the oceans.
It must be pointed out that the
ice has been thinning more appreciatively in west Greenland
of late and that
ice sheet melting can only contribute a moderate amount
of freshwater
volume each year.
So unless the perimeter
of the Greenland
ice sheet is the exact same thickness as the entire
ice sheet (say 3 km on average), an area loss there,
of 15 %, will produce a much smaller %
volume loss, than say if this area loss were smack dab in the middle
of the Greenland
ice sheet.
This could also happen locally, such as with the the demise
of a Greenland
ice sheet after it reaches a certain critical
volume.
Greenland's
ice sheet has a total
volume of 2,850,000 km ³ (so sayeth Wikipedia).
It would be interesting to compare the numbers, if any, for
volume and time span
of an
ice sheet failure (are there any for how fast it could happen)?
The thermal inertia
of the thousands
of meter thick Greenland
Ice sheet makes its integrative time constant even longer (> 20x
volume, > 1000x thermal path length, nonlinear function due to rate dependencies).
The net loss in
volume and hence sea level contribution
of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (GIS) has doubled in recent years from 90 to 220 cubic kilometers / year has been noted recently (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, 2007).
There are certainly better indicators
of global warming trends —
ice sheet volume, sea
ice extent and sea surface temperatures all come to mind — but hurricanes get people's attention.
However, because they are partly submerged, their direct contribution to sea level rise is much smaller than the contribution made by the melting
of an equivalent
volume of (land - based)
ice sheets.
The West Antarctic
ice sheet has lost nearly two - thirds
of its mass during this period, a
volume sufficient to raise sea level 33 feet (10 m).»
[2] «If Earth's climate continues to warm, then the
volume of present - day
ice sheets will decrease.
On decadal and longer time scales, global mean sea level change results from two major processes, mostly related to recent climate change, that alter the
volume of water in the global ocean: i) thermal expansion (Section 5.5.3), and ii) the exchange
of water between oceans and other reservoirs (glaciers and
ice caps,
ice sheets, other land water reservoirs - including through anthropogenic change in land hydrology, and the atmosphere; Section 5.5.5).
Previous studies
of the Antarctic
ice sheet used satellite data to measure the
volume of ice loss.
Scientists estimate the past
volume of ice -
sheets in the following way: As water freezes, different isotopes (types
of chemicals) tend to freeze out at different rates.
Then in 2003 the launch
of two new satellites, ICESat and GRACE, led to vast improvements in one
of the methods for mass balance determination,
volume change, and introduced the ability to conduct gravimetric measurements
of ice sheet mass over time.
Already 80 per cent by
volume of summer sea -
ice has been lost, and regional warming
of up to 5 ˚C may have already pushed the Greenland
ice -
sheet past its tipping point.
Let's assume
ice volume was lost to a depth
of one kilometer (the depth
of the «grounding line» where the
ice -
sheet meets the earth).
Sorry — there is a fairly basic approximate
volume calculation and a broad estimate
of current
ice sheet (not glacier) losses.
Some parts
of the Antarctic
ice sheet are also losing significant
volume (very high confidence).
In the Arctic, there has been increased Eurasian river discharge to the Arctic Ocean, and continued declines in the
ice volume of Arctic and sub-Arctic glaciers and the Greenland
ice sheet (very high confidence).
Mercer (1968, 1978) proposed that atmospheric warming could cause the
ice shelves of western Antarctica to disintegrate and that as a consequence the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet (10 % of the antarctic ice volume) would lose its land connection and come afloat, causing a sea level rise of about five metr
ice shelves
of western Antarctica to disintegrate and that as a consequence the entire West Antarctic
Ice Sheet (10 % of the antarctic ice volume) would lose its land connection and come afloat, causing a sea level rise of about five metr
Ice Sheet (10 %
of the antarctic
ice volume) would lose its land connection and come afloat, causing a sea level rise of about five metr
ice volume) would lose its land connection and come afloat, causing a sea level rise
of about five metres.
The new study, accordingly, uses a computer model
of Antarctica to study the consequences
of adding huge
volumes of salt water to different portions
of the
ice sheet.
In subsequent millennia, as climate warmed and this
ice sheet decayed, large
volumes of meltwater flooded to the oceans [Tarasov and Peltier, 2006; Wickert, 2016].
«This height difference corresponds to roughly twice the
volume from the melting
ice sheets of Greenland,» said one
of the authors, Roelof Rietbroek
of the University
of Bonn.
The global decline in glacial and
ice -
sheet volume is predicted to be one
of the largest contributors to global sea level rise during this century (Ch.
Loss
of glacial
volume in Alaska and neighboring British Columbia, Canada, currently contributes 20 % to 30 % as much surplus freshwater to the oceans as does the Greenland
Ice Sheet — about 40 to 70 gigatons per year, 66,78,63,57,64,58 comparable to 10 % of the annual discharge of the Mississippi River.79 Glaciers continue to respond to climate warming for years to decades after warming ceases, so ice loss is expected to continue, even if air temperatures were to remain at current leve
Ice Sheet — about 40 to 70 gigatons per year, 66,78,63,57,64,58 comparable to 10 %
of the annual discharge
of the Mississippi River.79 Glaciers continue to respond to climate warming for years to decades after warming ceases, so
ice loss is expected to continue, even if air temperatures were to remain at current leve
ice loss is expected to continue, even if air temperatures were to remain at current levels.
Although the surface
of the Greenland
ice sheet can react rapidly to day - to - day weather changes, the melting
of the
volume of ice below is actually an inert process — driven by climatic changes instead
of single meteorological events.
To say nothing
of the warming trends also noticed in, for example: * ocean heat content * wasting glaciers * Greenland and West Antarctic
ice sheet mass loss * sea level rise due to all
of the above * sea surface temperatures * borehole temperatures * troposphere warming (with stratosphere cooling) * Arctic sea
ice reductions in
volume and extent * permafrost thawing * ecosystem shifts involving plants, animals and insects
They use a range
of techniques to track changes in the
volume of the
ice -
sheet over a 500 - year period, and compare it with measurements
of ice - accumulation obtained by deep boring undertaken by Lonnie Thompson
of Ohio State University.
Our simple scaling approximation implicitly assumes that
ice sheets are sufficiently responsive to climate change that hysteresis is not a dominant effect; in other words,
ice volume on millennial time scales is a function
of temperature and does not depend much on whether the Earth is in a warming or cooling phase.
Ice - sheet volume is controlled by the balance between mass input and mass loss; mass input is almost entirely due to snowfall, and mass loss is from iceberg calving supplied by flow of the ice sheet, or runoff of melt wat
Ice -
sheet volume is controlled by the balance between mass input and mass loss; mass input is almost entirely due to snowfall, and mass loss is from iceberg calving supplied by flow
of the
ice sheet, or runoff of melt wat
ice sheet, or runoff
of melt water.
To a first approximation, sea - level changes reflect the
volume of ocean water bound in continental
ice sheets during the
ice ages.
Shackleton (2000); changes
of CO2 preceding changes in
ice sheet volume were reported in Shackleton and Pisias (1985).