The Bradley effect (less commonly the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between
voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.
To use Twitter as
a voter opinion poll, Makse's team had to detect all those bots and filter them out first.
Not exact matches
Opinion polls suggest a majority of
voters will opt to stay, but the post-referendum negotiations between the U.K. government and the E.U. could still sour market sentiment.
Wells suggests all this is happening because more
voters are appearing at the ballot box who are not detected by
opinion polls.
Drivers in Athens are honking their horns as
opinion polls suggest that «No»
voters are out in front
Last - minute
opinion polls indicated a knife - edge result, with
voters narrowly favouring Mr Tsipras's call for a No vote to reject a last - ditch bailout offer by Greece's creditors, even though it has already expired.
The Morning Consult Policy Index is an ongoing
poll of
voters»
opinions about economic, technology, health, and environmental issues.
An Angus Reid
opinion poll released in December found only 25 % of
voters supported the Tories, putting them in a tie for second with the Liberals.
According to the last seven
polls — spanning from July 2014 to November 2015 — conduced by the French public -
opinion institute Ifop, Le Pen has led each time when
voters are asked, «If the next presidential election was next week, which candidate would have the best chance of getting your vote?»
The release of new
opinion polls in Greece suggests a small lead by the New Democracy party, backed by 25.3 percent of
voters, versus the 25 percent who favor Syriza.
Plecas attributed the victory to Kinsella's careful attention to
opinion polls, which showed Bennett's message of restraint and fiscal responsibility resonated with
voters.
Opinion polls showed that
voters had opposed privatization at the outset (as did the press and many Conservative back benchers), but the Conservatives pointed out that Tony Blair rode to victory in part by abandoning «Clause Four» of the Labour Party's 1904 constitution, advocating state control over the means of production, distribution and exchange.
Forty - nine percent of
voters in the latest
poll said they have never heard of Pruitt or have no
opinion on him, down from 55 percent in mid-March and 50 percent in a
Forty - nine percent of
voters in the latest
poll said they have never heard of Pruitt or have no
opinion on him, down from 55 percent in mid-March and 50 percent in a
poll from Dec. 1 - 3, 2017.
An
opinion poll on Sunday showed 47 per cent of likely
voters saying they will back the treaty, 35 per cent saying they will vote No, and 18 per cent as undecided how to vote in the May 31 referendum.
In this context, early public
opinion polling has shown that Canadian
voters view the economy as the highest - priority issue in the 2008 election.
A
poll conducted by Illinois Policy found 42 percent of active likely
voters in Illinois oppose a progressive tax, with 29 percent unsure or having no
opinion, and 29 percent supporting.
Rubio never over-performed among Hispanic
voters in national
opinion polls.
An August 2010
poll by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press and the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life found that nearly half of Tea Party supporters (46 %) had not heard of or did not have an
opinion about «the conservative Christian movement sometimes known as the religious right»; 42 % said they agree with the conservative Christian movement and roughly one - in - ten (11 %) said they disagree (based on registered
voters).
Brock focused on using information technology to build first - rate fundraising,
voter - targeting, and
opinion polling operations.
The
opinion polls are putting the Tories roughly ten points below their
poll ratings in 2009, which suggests that there are ten per cent of
voters to be picked up by the other parties.
The researchers asked a selected group of
voters to state their
opinions on a variety of real public policy questions, and then presented them with fabricated
poll results on the same topics.
«Push
polls» are actually political telemarketing — telephone calls disguised as research that aim to persuade large numbers of
voters and affect election outcomes, rather than measure
opinions.
The
poll also asked New York
voters for their
opinion on President Obama.
«Where this hatred comes from and why we will have to determine,» the billionaire real estate mogul, who is leading in
opinion polls among likely Republican
voters, said in the statement.
Opinion polling shows that British
voters backed the principle of asylum even before the current crisis — in a May
poll by YouGov supporters outnumbered opponents by a margin of two to one.
But Cuomo's favorable rating remains well underwater in the district, where only 37 percent of
voters polled hold a favorable
opinion him, while 61 percent hold an unfavorable view.
Commenting on the TUC
opinion poll * showing that two thirds of
voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said:
Pasok is in turmoil as its 43 % at the 2009 elections has now dropped to around 11 % in the
opinion polls, with
voters blaming the Papandreou - led government for its handling of the deep crisis even more than they blame New Democracy which was in power and increased the deficit substantially from 2004 - 2009.
Lastly, according to a joint Wall Street Journal - NBC
opinion poll, American
voters overwhelming oppose free trade deals.
President Trump, who's never been very popular in New York, has reached an all - time low in the
opinions of
voters, according to a new
poll.
The latest
poll shows 26 percent of Suffolk
voters have an unfavorable
opinion of Bellone, and 27 percent have no
opinion.
According to a November Siena College
poll, just 31 percent of likely New York
voters had a favorable
opinion of the president.
The
poll found that 44 percent of Nassau
voters had an unfavorable
opinion of Mangano, a Bethpage Republican, while 42 percent had a favorable
opinion and 14 percent had no
opinion.
PollVault's user - friendly design allows
voters to crowd - source ballot advice, or crowd -
poll, seeing the ballot
opinions of organizations and people they trust.
Having worked for a
polling guru in the past, I read Andrew Hawkins» article with great interest, especially the part where he mentions two Muslim BNP
voters (TP
Opinion, April).
We will have to wait to find out what Scotland chooses: at the moment, the
opinion polls suggest that although there is support for further powers for the Scottish Parliament, creating a new state is something only about one 3rd the Scottish
voters actually want.
Several public -
opinion polls have recently shown Gillibrand with less than a 50 percent approval rating and with a large number of
voters saying they know little about her.
A recent
opinion poll also revealed that
voters do not trust Nick Clegg.
Retired Brig. Gen. Don Bacon led incumbent Democratic Rep. Brad Ashford 48 to 44 percent among registered
voters in a North Star
Opinion Research
poll, shared first with Roll Call.
Recent
polls have shown that most Republican
voters do not know enough about any of the three candidates to form an
opinion, with many saying they have not decided whom to support.
For a variety of reasons (including the impact of high levels of undecided
voters in a specific
poll), the actual result of an election contest may vary from the figures suggested by an
opinion poll, even if the
poll is carried out relatively close to election day, or on election day itself as in the case of exit
polls, but the likelihood of such variation is not something that can be factored into this model.
Voters» fears were exacerbated by the false impression in
opinion polls that the election was a neck - and - neck race between Labour and the Tories.
TUC
Opinion Poll on Regional Pay Commenting on the TUC opinion poll * showing that two thirds of voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said: «Only Michael Gove has expressed any support for local pay in te
Opinion Poll on Regional Pay Commenting on the TUC opinion poll * showing that two thirds of voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said: «Only Michael Gove has expressed any support for local pay in teach
Poll on Regional Pay Commenting on the TUC
opinion poll * showing that two thirds of voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said: «Only Michael Gove has expressed any support for local pay in te
opinion poll * showing that two thirds of voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said: «Only Michael Gove has expressed any support for local pay in teach
poll * showing that two thirds of
voters thought paying teachers less in lower - pay areas would make it harder for schools to recruit and retain good quality teachers, Christine Blower, General Secretary of the National Union of Teachers, the largest teachers» union, said: «Only Michael Gove has expressed any support for local pay in teaching.
Sixty - nine percent of
voters polled say they haven't heard enough about him to form an
opinion yet.
And the
poll found that while
voters hold a 17 % to 10.7 % favorable - to - unfavorable
opinion of Schneiderman, the bulk of the electorate either doesn't know him or have no
opinion of him.
Opinion polls suggest that David Cameron's lead will grow as soon as he succeeds Tony Blair, his Budget flopped with
voters, his nose excavation habits have become a pick of YouTube (thanks to Guido) and his former Cabinet colleague Charles Clarke is desperately organising a leadership challenge to him.
An
opinion poll suggests Welsh
voters prefer Jeremy Corbyn to Owen Smith.
The
poll found two - thirds of
voters don't know enough about the GOP candidate to even form an
opinion of him.
President Donald Trump, who's never been very popular in New York, has reached an all - time low in the
opinions of
voters, according to a new
poll.