For such a long time British politics has felt predictable to
voters in safe seats and voting at all has felt pointless, but now we are seeing big political figures losing their seats as Scotland turns from red to yellow.
Not exact matches
Harper has spent the last four days campaigning
in the
voter - dense areas around Toronto and southwestern Ontario, venturing even into
safe Conservative
seats to try and counter the Liberal threat.
Ribble Valley
in Lancashire may have been one of the
safest Conservative
seats in the country, but
in 1991, the
voters were irate.
In Labour's safest seat in the country at the 2010 election, 28 % of voters still supported other partie
In Labour's
safest seat in the country at the 2010 election, 28 % of voters still supported other partie
in the country at the 2010 election, 28 % of
voters still supported other parties.
Based on past election results, enrollment figures, and fundraising totals, it's
safe to assume that, barring any unexpected retirements, arrests or other major surprises, 23
seats currently controlled by Democrats, 21
seats controlled by Republicans and each of the five districts held by the IDC will return members of the same party that
voters selected
in 2014:
Most constituencies are occupied by
safe seat politicians who see little need to engage with the
voters other than at election time or to get a front
seat position
in their parties.
The British Election Study found that Labour gained more Leave
voters from other parties than it lost to the Tories, including 18 percent of 2015 Ukip
voters - a proportion that must have been lower
in safe Tory
seats, but correspondingly higher
in the
safe Labour heartlands where scooping up Ukip
voters was the Tories» entire strategy for success.
As the BBC's political research editor, David Cowling, points out,
in Labour's
safest seat in the country at the 2010 election, 28 % of
voters still supported other parties.
Voters in marginal constituencies like Glenda Jackson's Hampstead and Kilburn know more about parties» policy positions than those
in safe seats like Gordon Brown's Kirkaldy and Cowdenbeath, according to research carried out by the University of Nottingham's Caitlin Milazzo.
BME
voters are more likely to live
in safe Labour
seats where there may not be an active Conservative Party and statistically they are over-represented
in lower socio - economic groups, so you would expect them to be more likely to vote Labour.
Obviously this site could have the opposite effect
in safe seats such as Knowsley where there voting power is roughly 100x weaker than the average UK
voter and hence could lead people not to vote.
Mrs Smith is a Conservative
voter, but living
in a
safe Labour
seat doesn't see much of her local MP.
The Tories may do well
in the south of England, where they're fighting marginal
seats against the Liberal Democrats — fleeing Lib Dem
voters will go to Labour, which should translate into
safer Tory
seats — but it's
in the north of England and the East Midlands where there are many Conservative MPs hanging onto their
seats against Labour challengers.
In fact, so - called
safe seats can change hands when local
voters decide they want change.
Differential turnout, with Labour
voters less likely to turnout both
in safe seats and
in unwinnable
seats.
The potential power of a
voter in a marginal
seat is thus much greater than that of a
safe seat.
By creating
safe seats where parties (whether incumbent
in the
seat or not) do not bother to campaign, the system creates
voters who consequently do not bother to vote.
As the loss of
safe seats is rare, parties target resources on a small number of floating
voters in marginal
seats.
As for
voters, a common refrain from users of the Dashboard when they see that they live
in a
safe seat of a party they don't support is «well, what's the point
in turning up then?».
This is a small improvement on our current system of first past the post, since it allows
voters to rank candidates and reduces the need to vote tactically, but it does not address the crucial unfairness at the heart of our democracy which is that a party's share of
seats in parliament does reflect the number of votes it receives across the country - a situation which leads to millions of wasted votes and a shameful system of «
safe seats» where a donkey could be elected so long as they were wearing the right coloured rosette.