Sentences with phrase «voting intention»

This invaluable research showed voting intentions in the seats that actually matter at a level implying a 84 seat majority for Labour.

The strongest indicator of voting intentions among pastors is their political party preference.

We shall then review the way we ask our general election voting intention question.

Third, vote intention polls do not suggest that the Labour lead is robust, despite the government's difficulties.

Because the polling stayed broadly positive, I assumed this was having very little impact on voting intentions.

This is certainly a story that fits the main pattern of change in the general election vote intention opinion polls.

As well as voting intention, there will be daily topical questions on whatever issues arise at the conferences.

However, because the hypothetical questions include the names of party leaders, and normal voting intention questions don't, these polls haven't been directly comparable.

Since our previous poll, we have made a change to our headline voting intention.

In my view, the European election results will make little difference to voting intentions at the general election.

On the subject of public and private sector workers, note the main voting intention question.

This gender gap used to exist in SNP voting intentions but was closed at the 2011 Scottish election in spectacular fashion.

If you really wanted to get people's local voting intentions, you needed to first give them the opportunity to express their national support and then ask them their local support.

One of the reasons for measuring voting intentions daily is to find these things out.

If vote intentions in the referendum aren't a result of objective evaluations of the pros and cons of Scottish independence, where do these opinions come from?

Second, the wording of the question used to ascertain voting intentions on the list vote is markedly different from the one that the company has used previously.

Something of a mixed bag there then, hopefully we will see the effect on actual voting intentions later tonight.

The questions involve voting history, interest in the current campaign, and likely voting intentions.

This all suggests we might expect bigger changes in vote intention amongst middle - aged and elderly women.

Notes The numbers in Figure 1 do not add up to 100 % because a proportion of each party's 2015 vote intention comes from people who join between 2010 and 2015.

A couple of decades ago voting intention was heavily correlated with class.

We're currently conducting monthly polling to monitor voting intentions of this group and what issues will determine where they put their cross on the ballot paper.

It is possible that this boosted her personal vote in the subsequent voting intention question.

However, sometimes voting intention is that last thing to change.

This is surprising, given that the party is polling at about a third of its 2010 level of support, in terms of voting intentions.

On voting intention the Conservative lead is down to 2 points, the lowest since the election campaign.

Normal voting intention questions don't mention party leaders, just the party names.

The graphs below show how changes in the shares of council seats won by each party are strongly correlated with changes in general election vote intentions.

Using a split sample they asked three questions — one was a normal voting intention question.

The topline voting intention figures with changes from YouGov's previous poll are CON 40 % -LRB--3), LAB 35 % (+4), LDEM 15 % -LRB--1).

The topline voting intention figures for the poll in the Sunday Times are CON 38 % (nc) LAB 35 % -LRB--1) LDEM 19 % (+1).

Meanwhile what this poll particularly makes clear is the impact that this alignment of Westminster vote intentions with referendum vote has had on Labour support.

Our new poll also asked once again about voting intentions for the National Assembly.

Anyway, I'll leave you to read Lord Ashcroft's report for yourselves, but for the record it also contained Westminster voting intention figures for Scotland, concucted earlier this month.

Since Cameron became leader, every time a hypothetical poll about voting intention with Gordon Brown as leader has been asked, it has shown either the parties neck and neck or a Tory lead, and the majority have shown Brown doing worse than Blair.

Initially, Populus Polls for Lord Ashcroft asked voting intention in Sheffield Hallam not naming candidates (fair enough of course as there were none then then for 2015 bar Nick Clegg).

In three of the seats I found UKIP ahead by up to six points on the standard voting intention question, and they were tied with Labour in Dudley.

This was accompanied by a decrease in the Conservatives» average voting intention lead during the same period from 19 % to just 9 %.

The latest voting intention figures from our daily poll for the Sun have the Conservatives on 37 %, Labour on 43 % and the Liberal Democrats... (Comments: 0)

The latest YouGov voting intention figures for the Sun show the Conservatives on 34 %, Labour on 43 % and the Liberal Democrats on 11 %.

The latest Populus poll is only the third national voting intention survey from the firm to be published since the general election and gives a slightly different picture although well within the margin or error on all three party shares.

Current voting intentions in London, with changes since the last General Election, are CON 34 % -LRB--1), LAB 50 % (+13), LIB DEM 9 % -LRB--13).

UKIP now regularly pips the Liberal Democrats to third place in national voting intention polls.

See all of our political trackers, including voting intention and party image perceptions, here

Polls asking referendum voting intention including the wording of the proposed referendum.

In most seats this is only a marginal difference — in Lib Dem held seats it can be substantial, as repeatedly shown in polls of Lib Dem marginal seats using a two - stage national - then - constituency voting intention questions (see here by Lord Ashcroft, and here by YouGov).

Adjusted rolling average of voting intentions from several pollsters, compiled by Britain Elects

Obviously we can only speculate at this stage, but the similar patterns of voting intention between the 2011 Scottish election and the upcoming general election suggest that what made the SNP successful in 2011 is working again.

At the time Andrew Cooper of Populus pointed out — correctly — that it was worth looking at but if there was a problem it shouldn't affect voting intention as past vote weighting should sort that out.