Sentences with phrase «voting intention lead»

Typically people answer these questions along partisan lines — Tory voters pick the Tory leader, Labour voters pick the Labour leader, the best PM lead ends up being similar to the voting intention lead.

This was accompanied by a decrease in the Conservatives» average voting intention lead during the same period from 19 % to just 9 %.

Not exact matches

This measure is worth looking at in more detail as voting intention polls led many forecasters astray in 2015.

On European election voting intentions, Labour (32 per cent) lead Ukip (21 per cent) with the Conservatives and the Greens tied on 16 per cent each, and the LibDems on 8 per cent.

Much like yesterday's Panelbase poll in The Sunday Times today's poll suggests there might have been some narrowing of the SNP lead in voting intentions for May's Westminster election.

Projecting the changes in the Westminster vote intention on to seats with the regression method (final two columns) suggests the Conservatives will emerge (for the first time in a long time) with a substantial lead in both votes and seats.

Here it has come at the expense of the Liberal Democrats and the SNP, who now once again trail Labour in Westminster voting intentions (though they continue to hold a, now much shrunken, lead at Holyrood).

Since the Scottish referendum we've had Scottish polls from MORI, Panelbase, YouGov and Survation and they've been consistent in showing large leads for the SNP over Labour in Westminster voting intentions.

The topline voting intention figures are CON 43 % (+2), LAB 27 % -LRB--1), LDEM 18 % (+1), so a slight shift to the Conservatives, but that's taken from a poll that had a much lower Conservative lead than that shown by other pollsters.

Cameron's eight percentage point lead among «enthusiastic voters» just before the May 2015 election seen in Figure 2 contrasts with the much less clear - cut picture given by «voting intention» alone (Figure 3, below).

In one poll on voting intention last week the Tory lead was trimmed to 7 % with Labour up two to 32 %, the Conservatives on 39 % and the Liberal Democrats on 18 %, leaving the Tories 25 seats short of a Commons» majority.

In the constituencies surveyed, Labour lead the voting intention poll, at 38 %, three point ahead of the Tories at 35 % with the Lib Dems in third at 21 %.

A separate ICM poll for the Sun on Sunday gives the Conservatives a 10 % lead over Labour on voting intentions.

The latest YouGov polling from London gives Labour a 16 point lead in Westminster voting intentions, but shows Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone are... (Comments: 0)

Despite the 10 - point Labour lead in voting intention the majority of voters in these seats said either that they were satisfied with David Cameron's performance as Prime Minister (29 %) or that they were dissatisfied but would rather he were PM than Ed Miliband (29 %).

In Greece, Syriza has been around for longer, and now leads the opinion polls, attracting 30 % of voting intentions.

One recent opinion for YouGov / Times poll on voting intentions forecast a 21 - point lead for the Conservatives.

Before the revelation that Milly Dowler's phone had been hacked brought the phone hacking story to its height our daily voting intention tracker was showing a steady Labour lead of around 5 - 7 points.

The important figures for the Conservatives next year will be firstly the voting intention figures — the Conservatives need a substantial lead to have any chance whatsover of forming a government and if David Cameron wants to keep the support of his party he needs to show he has the potential to deliver.

There have been a few ups and downs, with the Labour lead temporarily widening to six, seven points or more in the Spring and after Hackgate in July, but most of the time voting intentions have rumbled onwards regardless of day - to - day politics.

Our latest figures on voting intention in the referendum on the Alternative Vote show a significant narrowing of the No campaign's lead, with the... (Comments: 0)

The second piece of bad news is that again Labour has lost its lead with ComRes when it comes to voting intention, finding itself level pegging with the Conservatives.

Their position on issues is now similar to their position at the end of last summer when they enjoyed a much larger lead in voting intentions (The Conservatives are ahead by 20 on law and order, 24 on immigration, 7 on education, 10 on tax, 4 on unemployment (traditionally a «Labour issue»), 8 on the economy.

The Labour lead would be 7 points under David Davis, but only 3 points under David Cameron (bear in mind that these figures are not adjusted for turnout, so aren't comparable to MORI's normal voting intention figures).

On these figures, you might expect Ken Livingstone to have a solid lead in voting intentions for the Mayoral election in 2012, but in fact he is running significantly behind his party.

Voting intention with Johnson was CON 42 %, LAB 25 %, LDEM 22 % — a 17 point Tory lead, compared to 13 points in the normal voting intention question in the same Populus poll.

Still, for those getting rather bored with the voting intention figures, we can look ahead to several potentially significant events — many commentators have suggested Gordon Brown is putting great weight in the G20 summit this week to give his premiership a boost, beyond that is the budget, which could work either way, and past that we have the local and european elections, which often lead to realignments in the national opinion polls.

If the leaders remain as they are now at the next election (which YouGov ask as a control question) people's voting intentions would be CON 34, LAB 41, LDEM 9 (when asked this way it consistently shows a slightly smaller Labour lead than usual — probably the effect of mentioning Ed Miliband in the question).

The narrow two point lead held by the Conservatives would be enough to deprive Labour of an overall majority, but it is nowhere near the sort of lead the Conservatives would require to win a majority at an election — still, on voting intention Cameron does seem to have made a difference.

Since Cameron became leader, every time a hypothetical poll about voting intention with Gordon Brown as leader has been asked, it has shown either the parties neck and neck or a Tory lead, and the majority have shown Brown doing worse than Blair.

Topline voting intention is CON 32 %, LAB 44 %, LDEM 8 %, UKIP 8 % (so towards the higher end of the normal variation around a ten point lead).

All of this suggests Labour should enjoy some healthy leads in national voting intention polls and the way the vote was distributed in the UK at the last election, that should translate into an easy Labour majority if repeated at an election....

Our latest figures on voting intention in the referendum on the Alternative Vote show a significant narrowing of the No campaign's lead, with the Yes and No campaigns now virtually neck and neck.

A YouGov poll carried out for the Sun which took the views of more than 10,000 people gave the Tories a 12 - point lead over Labour, by 42 % to 30 %, on voting intentions if there were a general election tomorrow.

Although the Times (and other Scottish news media) lead on the poll's findings in respect of independence and devolution (anti-independence, pro-devo-max which was also the most popular in a 3 - way choice), the poll's findings on Westminster voting intentions are rather more spectacular.

Although the Times (and other Scottish news media) lead on the poll's findings in respect of independence and devolution (anti-independence, pro-devo-max which was also the most popular in a 3 - way choice), the poll's findings on Westminster voting intentions are rather -LSB-...]