Not exact matches
Ontario restaurants hiking menu prices after the province raised its minimum
wage this year were likely responsible for
pushing January food
inflation to its highest annualized increase in nearly two years.
In fact, if I were RS, I'd worry more about financial and other sectoral (housing) bubbles ending expansions more than I'd worry about full employment driving
wage -
push inflation.
However, given the weakness in the bargaining power of so many in the workforce, along with some anxiety about price pressures from
wage -
push inflation, such evidence must be scrutinized.
If the Fed were to continue hiking rates based on the current low rate of productivity growth for fear that
inflation would accelerate, that would tend to keep productivity growth permanently depressed by preventing
wage pressures from
pushing businesses to investment in productivity boosting technologies.
Although the unemployment rate is below the estimated rate when
wage increases
push inflation up rapidly, that hasn't happened.
In the past, this structure made it hard to avoid a
wage /
inflation spiral, where higher wages
pushed up costs, which
pushed up prices, which necessitated even higher wages, and so on.
By way of a reminder, the ECB has remained (too) optimistic about core
inflation, largely partly on the view that a decline in potential growth to around 1 % and an increase in the equilibrium rate of unemployment would
push wage growth and core prices gradually higher by 2017.
But the minimum
wage increase backed by Assembly Democrats aligns with de Blasio's
push to hike the minimum
wage in the city to $ 15 by 2018, plus indexing to
inflation future increases.
Combined with other expected rises, such as
wage and cost
inflation, this could
push bills at or near the record # 1,500 mark in certain areas.
Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver, D - Manhattan, had
pushed a bill that raise the
wage to $ 8.50 in New York and tie future increases to the rate of
inflation.
Hawkins also cited the failure of Cuomo to make any public effort to
push for legislation to raise the minimum
wage to the $ 10.10 and indexed to
inflation, which he said last month he supports.
But when you stop and think about it, persistent negative real
wage growth does mean that the BOE will be less likely to tolerate higher
inflation, which may have stopped forex traders from
pushing the pound even lower.
The skills they are looking for are simply not available in sufficient quantity to meet the industry demand and that is now starting to
push up salaries in a number of markets, even when overall
wage inflation remains very low.
Upward pressure on
wage rates associated with tight labor markets, the impact of new fiscal policies, and the threat of rising tariffs on imported goods into the U.S. could very likely
push inflation past the Fed's targeted 2 % goal.