Not exact matches
Warm sea surface temperature
anomalies persist off to W and SW of San Diego, but are smaller than in previous weeks
over the past month.
And a third found that climate - induced sea - surface temperature
anomalies over the northeast Pacific were driving storms (and moisture) away from California, but the
warming also caused increased humidity — two competing factors that may produce no net effect.
The «bounce» seen in November 2010 was driven by record -
warm temperature
anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere, particularly
over land.
While periods of increased and decreased
warming exist
over the 132 - year period, the linear rate is still ~ 0.6 C / century, and the most recent monthly GISS values fall right on the linear trend (the linear trend value for the Feb. 2012 temperature
anomaly is +0.38 C, while the last two months have been +0.35 and +0.40 C.)
Namely a February cyclone which
warmed up South Baffin to +5 to 9.5 C above zero (something like a +40 C
anomaly), which stopped moving
over Ellesmere,
warming it up enormously before fading away.
For example,
anomalies are correlated
over fairly large distances: If it was
warmer than average in NYC this year, it was also likely
warmer than average in Boston and Montreal and Philadelphia even though the actual average value in this different cities might be fairly different.
Yes, the paper is interesting but very speculative with unmeasured processes (cold water
over warm can only be «stable» for very strong salinity
anomalies — I still believe in buoyancy).
Analysis showed that the AMV
warming drives a modification of the Walker Circulation that creates precipitation
anomalies over the whole tropical belt.
The NINO3.4 index is defined as the average of sea surface temperature (SST)
anomalies over the region 5 ° N - 5 ° S and 170 ° -120 ° W. El Niño (a
warm event) is considered to occur when the NINO3.4 index persistently exceeds +0.8 °C.
The
warming rate
over the 40 years 1694 - 1733, demonstrated by the Central England Temperature Record, a reasonable proxy for global temperature
anomalies, was considerably greater than in any subsequent 40 - year period.
For example, some «skeptics» who don't understand
anomalies are worried that the dropout of lots of cold weather stations in Siberia
over the last few decades has biased the record
warm.
The annual
anomaly of the global average surface temperature in 2014 (i.e. the average of the near - surface air temperature
over land and the SST) was +0.27 °C above the 1981 - 2010 average (+0.63 °C above the 20th century average), and was the
warmest since 1891.
The interesting 2nd plot of Berkeley TAVG temperature
anomalies over the same time frame, also plotted as a 21 - year running average, shows anomalous global
warming since 1975 appears unrelated to group sunspot activity.
Temperature
anomalies and political polarization
over global
warming in the American public.»
At interannual time scales, a
warming of the equatorial Atlantic and Pacific / Indian Oceans results in rainfall reduction
over the Sahel, and positive SST
anomalies over the Mediterranean Sea tend to be associated with increased rainfall.
Map of air temperature
anomalies for December 2009, at the 925 millibar level (roughly 1,000 meters [3,000 feet] above the surface) for the region north of 30 degrees N, shows
warmer than usual temperatures
over the Arctic Ocean and cooler than normal temperatures
over central Eurasia, the United States and southwestern Canada.
Your «standstill» here is just the fact that one can't statistically detect a
warming trend in the mentioned temperature
anomaly over the short time period of the recent decade.
Sea surface temperature
anomalies that persist
over many years can be signals of regional or global climate change, such as global
warming.
I'm very convinced that the physical process of global
warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically significant increase of the global surface and tropospheric temperature
anomaly over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends in other climate variables (e.g., global ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
In particular, a stronger southern center - of - action of the NAO (i.e., a stronger high pressure
anomaly) and a northward shift of the SLP dipole nodal line is associated with greater precipitation deficits
over southern and central Europe; and a southward shift of the nodal line accompanied by stronger anomalous westerly flow across northern Europe and Russia favors enhanced precipitation and
warming in these regions (Fig. 4).
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced global radiative heating distribution can force significant changes in atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter
warming at middle and high latitudes
over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002, 2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
X
Anomaly says: February 3, 2012 at 3:43 pm I think a good way to conceptualize the pools of
warm and cool water is that when there are stronger trade winds, all the
warm water is bunched up
over in the west.
The period of increased
warming from 1987 to 1997 loosely coincided with the divergence of the global average temperature
anomalies over land, which are derived from observation station recordings, and the global average
anomalies in sea surface temperatures.
Over ocean stretches with a positive SST
anomaly air convection is higher (as the temperature difference between the
warm sea surface and the cool air higher up in the troposphere is greater), so a higher likelihood for the formation of depressions exists and more precipitation is to be expected.
The best way to envision the relation between ENSO and precipitation
over East Africa is to regard the Indian Ocean as a mirror of the Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature
anomalies [much like the Western Hemisphere
Warm Pool creates such a SST mirror with the Atlantic Ocean too]: during a La Niña episode, waters in the eastern Pacific are relatively cool as strong trade winds blow the tropically Sun -
warmed waters far towards the west.
(i) The observation that the earlier SSTs, expressed as
anomalies from recent averages, are not only too cold relative to NMATs similarly expressed (Barnett, 1984), but also, outside the tropics, show enhanced annual cycles, presumably because more heat is lost from uninsulated buckets in winter when stronger, colder winds blow
over relatively
warm water (Wright, 1986; Bottomley et al., 1990);
This so - called «North American dipole» (highlighted by Wang et al., 2014) has resulted in persistent
warm / dry
anomalies along the West Coast and persistent cool / wet
anomalies over the Midwest and Eastern Seaboard.
Warming causes CO2 rise «Differentiating the CO2 measurements
over the last thirty years produces a pattern that matches the temperature
anomaly measured by satellites in extreme detail.
When you base your robust disbelief of the link between recent prodigious crop failures and realized
warming on what you call the «relatively minor» global average mean
anomaly you are demonstrating either less than full appreciation of what nine tenths of a degree could mean for regional weather
over shorter periods, or what such weather could mean for agriculture.
Over the past few decades,
warming temperatures have been linked to changes in the percentage of precipitation falling as rain or snow, and snow melt
anomalies showing a trend towards earlier and faster stream flow.
Though SAG and SRM can achieve significant cooling
anomalies over large areas, it comes at a cost of a far worse overall global
warming.
«Incidentally, the Nino34 temperature
anomaly is absolutely flat
over the period from 1982 to present — there is only apparent atmospheric
warming during this period due to the natural recovery from two major volcanoes — El Chichon and Mt. Pinatubo.»
When it is
warmer than the climatological average (and therefore a positive temperature
anomaly) in a particular location, it is generally also
warmer than average
over hundreds of kilometres — corresponding to the mean synoptic weather pattern — even though the actual temperature may be quite different from location to location.
What we — and other competent researchers — have all found is that the warmth was far more regional than modern warmth, with some large regions, like the tropical Pacific, having been unusually * cold * at the time, and when you average
over the globe, the warmth of the medieval
warm period / medieval climate
anomaly simply doesn't reach modern warmth.
The correlation between CO2 levels and
anomalies is statistically significant, but that shouldn't be a surprise considering there's a statistically significant
warming trend
over time and CO2 levels have been increasing smoothly year on year.
37) would show a positive trend
over the previous 40 yr in a regression analysis, even though the main feature was a single decadal
warming episode in the 1980s that was followed by cool
anomalies.»
Over the last month or so
warm sea - surface temperature [SST] and upper - ocean heat content
anomalies have increased in the near - equatorial central Pacific, while the SST cool tongue in the near - equatorial far - eastern Pacific has weakened, with
warm anomalies now evident there.
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced global radiative heating distribution can force signifi cant changes in atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter
warming at middle and high latitudes
over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002,2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
In July, the Arctic Dipole
Anomaly (DA) pattern that was dominant in June (which promotes clear skies,
warm air temperatures, and winds that push ice away from coastal areas and encourages melt) was replaced by low sea level pressure (SLP)
over the Arctic Ocean, leading to ice divergence (ice extent «spreading out») and cooler temperatures.
The next satellite / radar animation shows yet more
anomalies of
warm rain cells «turning
over to snow» as moisture continues to migrate north.
Temperature
anomalies are generally predicted to be
warmer than the 1961 — 1990 baseline period
over much of the globe, particularly in Northern latitudes and
over the African and Asian continents, with
anomalies above 1.6 K in some regions.
... then why do the vertical mean temperature
anomalies (NODC 0 - 2000 meter data) of the Pacific Ocean as a whole and of the North Atlantic fail to show any
warming over the past decade, a period when ARGO floats have measured subsurface temperatures, providing reasonably complete coverage of the global oceans?