Local heat capacity — Differing surfaces cool and
warm at different rates for the same heat flux.
The «radiation only» equilibrium models do not address the other issue that the layers of the surface and atmosphere can
warm at different rates because they have a different mix of cooling mechanisms.
The different parts will
warm at different rates, but no part will have a temperature lower than the initial temperature.
But that would be a very brave assumption, because different parts of the world's oceans probably
warm at different rates due to global warming.
But different parts of the world
warm at different rates.
Ocean and land surfaces
warm at different rates, and land covered by vegetation absorbs and reflects solar energy differently than do deserts or ice - caps.
Locally, knowing what the global sensitivity to whatever forcing is not too important, as the earth
warms at different rates depending on the latitude and partly of the location (combination of the longitude and latidtude).
The difference lies in the absence of water vapour in the descending column which then
warms at a different rate to the cooling in ascent.
An advantage of compiling temperature records in this manner is that one could more easily see whether various areas of the globe (northern, southern hemishpere, equatorial or polar) are
warming at different rates which would give further insight into wher the warming anthropogenic.
Tamino has pointed out that the change in the distribution of surface temperatures may not be due to increased variability, as Hansen et al. conclude, but rather simply due to a combination of different regions
warming at different rates, and when their data are combined, the result looks the same as it would if temperature variability were increasing.
Locally, knowing what the global sensitivity to whatever forcing is not too important, as the earth
warms at different rates depending on the latitude and partly of the location (combination of the longitude and latidtude).
Okay, I should be slightly careful here, as the expectation is really that the feedback response is not exactly linear as we double CO2, but this is thought to be because of different regions
warming at different rates (polar amplification, for example) than because the response is actually non-linear.
Not exact matches
At the same time, increasing depth and duration of drought, along with
warmer temperatures enabling the spread of pine beetles has increased the flammability of this forest region — http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n9/full/nclimate1293.html http://www.vancouversun.com/fires+through+tinder+pine+beetle+killed+forests/10047293/story.html Can climate models give
different TCR and ECS with
different timing / extent of when or how much boreal forest burns, and how the soot generated alters the date of an ice free Arctic Ocean or the
rate of Greenland ice melt and its influence on long term dynamics of the AMOC transport of heat?
«The fact remains that the
rate of
warming in the early 20th century is comparable to that in the late 20th century whether you look
at the Arctic in isolation or the globe as a whole and since CO2 levels were markedly
different»
The fact remains that the
rate of
warming in the early 20th century is comparable to that in the late 20th century whether you look
at the Arctic in isolation or the globe as a whole and since CO2 levels were markedly
different in the 2 periods there must be another significant factor.
While RealClimate has called into question the soundness of the paper's quite narrow conclusions of discrepancy between model predictions and measurements of the relative
rate of
warming of
different levels of the atmosphere over the tropics, this paper is being touted by the deniers as showing that the models are wrong to predict any
warming at all, and that predictions of future
warming and climate change can be entirely discounted.
One solution which has
different assumptions than what is used to define the HadCRUT4 global values, would be to calculate the zonal means first and then area weight those — which assumes that missing data
warms at the same
rate as the local zonal average as opposed to the global means.
Re my 441 — competing bands — To clarify, the absorption of each band adds to a
warming effect of the surface + troposphere; given those temperatures, there are
different equilibrium profiles of the stratosphere (and
different radiative heating and cooling
rates in the troposphere, etc.) for
different amounts of absorption
at different wavelengths; the bands with absorption «pull» on the temperature profile toward their equilibria; disequilibrium
at individual bands is balanced over the whole spectrum (with zero net LW cooling, or net LW cooling that balances convective and solar heating).
Climate models indicate that the Arctic
warms at a faster
rate than the rest of the planet, and hence it is of interest to compare the
warming at the
different latitudes (eg.
Yes, and I suppose when they do they will understand you can't ignore a troposphere that isn't
warming at the appropriate
rate to the surface; you can't ignore a stratosphere that isn't cooling
at the appropriate
rate per decade; you can't ignore an ocean that isn't
warming despite an assumed large energy imbalance; you can't ignore that if you declare a long lag time or a large long term climate sensitivity then previous forcings are subject to the same principles; and you can't ignore that the
rate of
warming was no
different this last time then the time before it and the time before that.
If I understood Armour's paper correctly, he claimed that all feed - backs were close to linear in response to temperature over time, but that
different regional
warming rates (specifically, slow
warming at high latitudes) could make the feed - backs and sensitivity appear to increase with time.
Warming now is occuring at different rates in different places, but the whole planet is w
Warming now is occuring
at different rates in
different places, but the whole planet is
warmingwarming.
The authors teased out the effects of climate
warming from other factors by looking
at eight
different systems for
rating forest aridity; these included the Palmer Drought Severity Index, the MacArthur Forest Fire Danger Index and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating S
rating forest aridity; these included the Palmer Drought Severity Index, the MacArthur Forest Fire Danger Index and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger
Rating S
Rating System.
Under rapid greenhouse
warming, the
different parts of the planet have
warmed at very
different rates, leading to the scatter in the zonal anomalies since 1980.
The underlying issue is this: While the planet was subject primarily to natural changes, the
different parts of the planet were
warming and cooling
at similar
rates, thus the zonal anomalies run fairly parallel.
It looks likely that the rapid
warming of the Arctic has broken the thermometer temperature record in two
different ways - firstly by violating the assumption that unobserved regions of the planet
warm at a broadly similar
rate to observed regions, and secondly by violating the assumption that neighbouring regions of the planet's surface
warm at a similar
rate.
Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two
different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the
rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean
warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.
Because that is a proper measure of the change in
rate of
warming which is
different from saying the noughties are
warmer; of course they are because we are in a
warming period which began in 1850; compared with an anomaly base in the 50's or 60's, succeeding decades will be absolutely
warmer but whether they are
warming at the same
rate is really the test.
The age of melting ice
at the
different ice caps will be dependent on their slope, aspect and situation, which will affect the amount of ice accumulated during the late Holocene and the melt
rate in the current
warm period.
If we have measures of volcanic activity, solar activity and greenhouse gas forcing, then it is straightforward assign similar
warming rates at different times to the dominating forcing
at those times.
However, it means that David's headline «Global
warming is just HALF what we said» and standfirst «Leaked report reveals the world is
warming at half the
rate claimed by IPCC in 2007» are based on a comparison of two
different quantities.
Let's have a look
at some
warming rates for the
different indices in Table 2.
As the U.S. corn belt reveals, every regional climate is
different - they experience major
warming and cooling periods for
different reasons,
at different times, and
at different rates, regardless of the global atmospheric CO2 levels.
From 1993 to 2012, the «global mean surface temperature... rose
at a
rate of 0.14 ± 0.06 °C per decade,» and the observed
warming over the last 15 years of the period was, «not significantly
different from zero.»
As TreeHugger has long documented, changing food availability due to climate change as species adapt to a
warming world
at different rates, threatens many more species than boreal ducks.
Quigley: «In contrast, if CO2 increases
at a BAU
rate,
warming will be near 3 °C
at century's end, producing a
different planet.»
The current
warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is extremely likely (greater than 95 percent probability) to be the result of human activity since the mid-20th century and proceeding
at a
rate that is unprecedented over decades to millennia.1 Earth - orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many
different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale.
Obviously, any insulator, between two objects
at different temperatures will decrease the
rate of energy exchange and slow down the temperature decline of the
warmer object.