Despite monthly variability, the long - term trend due to global warming is clear and now punctuated by the unusually
warm data point for February 2016.
One new
warm data point raises all past blanks that gives a new higher average that raises all past blanks?
Not exact matches
Paleoclimate
data point to a
warm tropical ocean with a clear east - west temperature gradient during the
warm climates of the Pliocene and Miocene.
The research adds one important
data point to the ongoing question of how much methane, a greenhouse gas with a
warming potential 25 times that of carbon dioxide, is emitted in the life cycle of natural gas production, transport and use.
The engineering «housekeeping»
data that were retrieved were good: The lander was
warm and receiving plenty of sunlight, which will increase up until 13 August, when 67P reached its closest
point to the sun.
The people who are against global
warming at this
point have not looked at the
data or care to.
Analyzing tens of thousands of
data points, Schatz and Kucharik found the urban heat island effect peaked in summer, when downtown Madison averaged 7 degrees Fahrenheit
warmer at night and 3 degrees
warmer during the day when compared to rural Dane County.
But our main
point does not depend on that and is robust: with any model and any reasonable
data - derived forcing, the observed 20th Century
warming trend can only be explained by anthropogenic greenhouse gases, while other factors can explain the shorter - term variations around this trend.
From his own research in chemical oceanography, along with
data from a number of recent studies, Weber
points out that some negative consequences of greenhouse gas emissions and
warming «are manifesting faster than previously predicted,» including ocean acidification and oxygen loss, which are expected to affect «a large fraction of marine species if current trends continue unchecked.»
Re: 98 Satellite
data: Some weeks ago I had a discussion with my American «Deny - aleban» nephew about global
warming, and I came across some
points of interest, which I think somebody should take a closer look into: I wrote this to him: https://www.dropbox.com/s/b9m66ktqf28mghs/Pil1.pdf?dl=0 and the
point of interest starts at page 6, where I write about the 98 - thing.
The
point at which a trend becomes clear within the average temperature
data for a given region — known as the «time of emergence» — depends on when the source of the
warming begins, how fast it happens and the amount of background «noise» obscuring the signal.
2016 is a «
data point at the end of many
data points that indicates» long - term
warming, Deke
Climate - change skeptics have
pointed to the emails as evidence that researchers were manipulating
data to make global
warming look more serious than it is.
The original cohort of KIPP students attended college at more than double the rate of their demographic peers: bracing, affirming, «It's Being Done»
data points to
warm the gap - closing hearts of ed reform hawks.
You could argue the
data on 30's arctic
warming is too sparse both spatially and temporally to be a realistic test of model performance, but then you start to weaken your
point about «well characterized» global surface temperature.
My
point, however, is that neither the trend
data, nor the underlying theory give any support for the (90 %) certainty that most of the
warming during the last century was anthropogenic.
Another important
point that is often forgotten in the discussion: The
data hole in the Arctic that explains part of the reduced
warming trend (maybe even more than previously thought).
Re Fred Staples: «My
point, however, is that neither the trend
data, nor the underlying theory give any support for the (90 %) certainty that most of the
warming during the last century was anthropogenic.»
The main
point I was trying to suggest is for a limited measure of N / S 8 Deg., covered by the NOAA Triton / TAO buoy
data sets, the visual indication since 1998 does not appear to support large scale
warming in either heat content or isotherms.
The changes seen in the MSU 4
data (as even Roy Spencer has
pointed out), are mainly due to ozone depletion (cooling) and volcanic eruptions (which
warm the stratopshere because the extra aerosols absorb more heat locally).
I think Rasmus
points out that model simulations where the available temp
data is plugged into the models (i.e., the re-analysis) provide support for a
warming Artic and GISS's interpolation / extrapolation method.
I do not think anyone, has claimed that they can tell the world's temperature anomolies from just 2
data points by one particularly
warm or cool month.
If there is a hard
data gap for this period, then Cato has done a positive service (for once) by
pointing out that
Warming Island might also have been disconnected from the land in this period... thus deflating the landmark's «poster child» status as an indication of unusual climate change.
I've seen other comments that
point out the variability of the
data points, in terms of uncertainties, and also the recent study about removing temporary negative and positive influences on temperature, showing a definite continuing
warming trend.
We therefore repeated the calculation excluding this
data point, using the 1910 — 2009
data instead, to see whether the temperature
data prior to 2010 provide a reason to anticipate a new heat record.With a thus revised nonlinear trend, the expected number of heat records in the last decade reduces to 0.47, which implies a 78 % probability -LSB-(0.47 − 0.105) ∕ 0.47] that a new Moscow record is due to the
warming trend.
A regional
warm period and the LIA gives you less than two
data points.
But obviously the two 1940 & 2013
data points prove that global
warming is a fraud, Al Gore is fat and we should be preparing for a new ice age.
>... there are still ways of discovering the temperatures of past centuries,... tree rings... Core samples from drilling in ice fields... historical reconstruction... coral growth, isotope
data from sea floor sediment, and insects, all of which
point to a very
warm climate in medieval times.
But our main
point does not depend on that and is robust: with any model and any reasonable
data - derived forcing, the observed 20th Century
warming trend can only be explained by anthropogenic greenhouse gases, while other factors can explain the shorter - term variations around this trend.
Now Ferdinand can explain how this
data is fraudulent (a little tough to do since the author is the leading scientist in the field) or how the record melting is really beside the
point since we can be confident that Greenland isn't
warming anyway.
it's interesting because he analyzed the
data for the last decade or so and experimented with taking out the extremely
warm 98
data point.
Point being, the more one examines the
data and reads the studies, the more difficult it is to deny the significant human impact on global
warming.
As a result, I hardly expect such visuals to shift many views, particularly given that responses to the science
pointing to substantial, enduring greenhouse
warming are shaped far more by divergent values, and feelings of risk, than the
data.
Two days after the talk, Mr. Gore was sharply criticized for using the
data to make a
point about global
warming by Roger A. Pielke, Jr., a political scientist focused on disaster trends and climate policy at the University of Colorado.
[Response: I would
point out that if you look at the combined ocean and land
data for the tropics (available at the GISS web site), the ocean (still part of the surface after all) shows significant and widespread
warming.
I also
pointed you to
data for Arctic temperature which shows that it has
warmed considerably over just the last decade, so that presently the Arctic is far
warmer than it ever was in the 20th century.
The station where a bias or shift is know to exist in the
data record may still be used in estimation of missing reports at nearby high quality stations for non-critical
points (i.e not a recent,
warm or cold value.
The so - called «
warming skeptic» crowd seems quite pleased to accept an individual
data point that seems to support their position, but they put their collective fingers in their ears for the bulk of the
data.
-- tendency of the * planet to
warm — The UAH
data is v5.4, v5.5 limits the recent deviance — «no hidden either
warming or cooling jumps» reads awkwardly — «But despite the fact that August 1997 was shamelessly cherry - picked by David Rose because it gives the lowest
warming trend to the present of any
point before 2000» — It was picked to show 15 years, not the lowest trend.
So as you can see, Muller is acknowledging that his claim of a declining trend is not supported by the
data, but his main
point, that claims of a
warming - driven rise in tornado numbers are not justified, holds up.
As a comparison it took analysis of millions of
data points collected over decades before climatologists were able to show that the atmosphere was
warming.
But you can NOT support your claims with empirical
data, because just as I
pointed out, and you have failed to refute, there isn't a single peer reviewed paper that empirically shows that anthropogenic CO2 was the primary cause of the late 20th century
warming like your climate alarmist religion claims.
We made the narrower
point that, using correct principal components calculations on their
data, they could not conclude that the 1990s were the
warmest decade and 1998 the
warmest year.
Based on new research, federal scientists suggest that an apparent recent slowdown in global
warming — a common talking
point for many people who dispute human - caused climate change — did not occur, but only seemed so based on incorrect
data.
It is very simple to explain: Since the ACC (anthropomorphic climate change, aka «Man - caused global
warming») is a by a series of cherry - picked
data points represented by constantly flawed and failing models, it was decided to remove the PC motivated opinion aspect.
Gallup's trend
data show that Republicans have become less likely to accept the idea of human contributions to global
warming over the past half - decade — the percentage believing that global
warming is due more to «the effects of pollution from human activities» has declined by 10 percentage
points, from 52 % in 2003 to 42 % in 2008.
Longer term measures are up, but most of the
warming comes at the
point the old metrics were spliced to the ARGO
data, a real red flag to any serious
data analyst.
The
point I made is that at the time of the Mann paper (MBH98) in the satellite
data there was no statistically significant
warming between 1979 and the run up to the Super El Nino of 1997/98.
For a couple years I have been
pointing out (along with Judith Curry and others) that the latest fad — which puts a lot of
warming in recent
data — is to extend high - latitude land weather station
data far out over the Arctic Ocean.
Are you saying that the predicted global
warming curve was obtained simply by cloning the
data points of the observed
warming curve?