A new analysis of the dramatic cycles of ice ages and
warm intervals over the past million years, published in Nature, concludes that the climatic swings are the gyrations of a system poised to settle into a quasi-permanent colder state — with expanded ice sheets at both poles.
Not exact matches
When cake is finished, while still
warm, poke holes all
over cake (about 1 - inch)
intervals using a wooden spoon handle or other similar size object.
Microwave 1 cup reserved chocolate mixture in a microwave - safe bowl in 10 - second
intervals (or heat in a heatproof bowl set
over a saucepan of simmering water), stirring occasionally, until
warmed through.
They occurred
over a very short time
interval immediately following onset of Cretaceous global
warming, suggesting that the
warming destabilized gas hydrates and released a large burb of methane.
Over a simulated
interval of 200 million years, the inner planet slowly migrated even farther inward to become a «
warm Jupiter» orbiting its parent star at about the same distance Mercury does in our solar system, the researchers report online today in Science.
Over the past two million years, Earth has experienced long glacial periods separated by short,
warmer intervals known as interglacials.
For just
over a year, I have spent nearly every Wednesday night and Saturday morning running a
warm up pace that makes me overheat, then starting the
interval workout which involves me sometimes running slower than the «
warm up pace «and watching the lithe people run away from me at incredible speeds, then «slinky - ing «forward while they run back for me on the recovery, watching them sprint away from me some more, and then eventually finding myself labouring up a hill to exit the river valley at the end of the workout to find the group of speedsters waiting to fist pound it out before we run back to the shop at a cool down pace which only makes me sweat even more.
What is of interest, instead, is whether centuries - long
intervals can be found
over which
warm events or cold events tend to cluster.
In contrast to the surface
warming trend of the Indian Ocean, Alory et al. (2007) found a subsurface cooling trend of the main thermocline
over the Indonesian Throughflow region, that is, near EEIO, in 1960 — 99, the
interval using the new Indian Ocean Thermal Archive.
-- we show no statistically significant
warming for the continent as a whole
over 1957 - 2006 (our finding is 0.06 ± 0.08 degrees C / decade, using a standard 95 % confidence
interval; I state all subsequent trends on this basis), whereas S09 showed statistically significant
warming of 0.12 ± 0.08.
Refering to bands where optical thickness is constant
over the
interval of each band, if the atmospheric LW absorption is limited to some band (that doesn't cover all LW radiation), than increases in OLR in response to surface
warming will occur outside that band, so OLR will drop within the band — there will still be some portion of stratospheric or near - TOA cooling that will be transient, but some will remain at full equilibrium.
Thus one might expect larger hurricanes to extend the
interval between hurricanes
over the patches of ocean that spawn them, because they don't spawn until the sea surface
warms sufficiently again.
The spatial mean and dispersion of surface temperatures
over the last 1200 years:
warm intervals are also variable
intervals by Martin P. Tingley and Peter Huybers, both of Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard.
«annual temperatures up to AD 2000
over extra-tropical NH land areas have probably exceeded by about 0.3 °C the
warmest previous
interval over the past 1162 years»
If there are implications, I believe they should be specified by identifying the post-1950
warming influences in addition to anthropogenic ghgs and citing quantitative data on their greater net strength
over the entire course of the
interval.
Although not part of our study, high - resolution paleoclimate data from the past ~ 130 years have been compiled from various geological archives, and confirm the general features of
warming trend
over this time
interval»
Diurnal temperature variation exceeds the 0.74 C twentieth century
warming trend by orders of magnitude, but these variations obviously even out
over long
intervals.
In fact,
warming / cooling reversals may indeed be possible
over very short
intervals (e.g., during a La Nina), whereas it will be the magnitude of
warming that needs to be addressed
over longer
intervals.
«The authors write that «the Mediterranean region is one of the world's most vulnerable areas with respect to global
warming,»... they thus consider it to be extremely important to determine what impact further temperature increases might have on the storminess of the region... produced a high - resolution record of paleostorm events along the French Mediterranean coast
over the past 7000 years... from the sediment bed of Pierre Blanche Lagoon [near Montpellier, France]... nine French scientists, as they describe it, «recorded seven periods of increased storm activity at 6300 - 6100, 5650 - 5400, 4400 - 4050, 3650 - 3200, 2800 - 2600, 1950 - 1400, and 400 - 50 cal yr BP,» the latter of which
intervals they associate with the Little Ice Age.
Note that for each data set, the full - sample (about 30 years) trend is within the confidence
interval of the 10 - year trend — so there's no evidence, from any of the data sets, that the trend
over the last decade is different from the modern global
warming trend.
Second, there are presently only very few millennial length records available for direct comparison between the recent period and the MWP, and these records show trends which are not necessarily coherent
over the latter
interval, resulting in a «'' flattening» of MWP conditions compared to recent
warming in our reconstruction.
The Earth HAS to be in «radiative balance»
over long time
intervals, otherwise it would be
warming up or cooling down.
The answer, Izen, is of course that when Obama held his «5 to 10 years global
warming acceleration» speech, he had not the faintest idea that 5 years is a totally irrelevant
interval when talking about decades long climate trends; and he doesn't have the faintest idea about that because he wouldn't know a physical unit if it crawled up his nose and died there.A trend
over 5 years is not much better than noise, and detecting an ACCELERATION with such a noisy trend is entirely impossible.
However, the Prudent Path authors fail to reference a recent paper (Kaufmann et al. 2009) which analyzed Arctic temperature changes
over a 2000 year period (0 to 1999 AD) and concluded that «the most recent 10 - year
interval (1999 - 2008) was the
warmest of the past 200 decades» and that «4/5 of the
warmest decades occurred during the last century».
This is because oceans occupy about 70 percent of the global surface and their
warming and cooling averaged
over long
intervals dominates the record.
Although not part of our study, high - resolution paleoclimate data from the past ~ 130 years have been compiled from various geological archives, and confirm the general features of
warming trend
over this time
interval (Anderson, D.M. et al., 2013, Geophysical Research Letters, v. 40, p. 189 - 193; http://www.agu.org/journals/pip/gl/2012GL054271-pip.pdf).
The speedometer for the 15 years 4 months January 2001 to April 2016 shows the [1.1, 4.2] C ° / century - equivalent
interval of global
warming rates (red / orange) that IPCC's 1990, 1995 and 2001 reports predicted should be occurring by now, compared with real - world, observed
warming (green) equivalent to less than 0.5 C ° / century
over the period.
The current
warming trend 1998 - 2005, has no precedent in recent Arctic memory, there were a few unique occasions when open water was seen during mid-winter
over Barrow Strait, but this was at roughly 10 year
intervals, now the
intervals are totally irregular, but between Islands ice cover is not the best indication of
warming, monthly temperature readings for the past 4 years or so, have been mostly above normal by 1 to the occasional 4 to 5 degrees.
Debate
over whether the
warming has really «paused» and the statistical significance of a trend
over a short
interval are basically debating points.
It reports that
over the 1998 - 2012
interval 111 out of 114 climate model runs
over-predicted
warming, achieving thereby, as it were, a 97 % consensus.
Now, it doesn't matter how you select / constrain
over the hindcast
interval, the range of forecast
warming still has no supremum because even if B is bounded, d is unbounded due to being a gaussian.
CO2 better than HFC Instead of HFC, the machines use CO2, which in this case they estimate to be 1,300 times less potent a greenhouse gas than HFC (
over a certain
interval of time, the measurement is also known as GWP, or global
warming potential).
Considering that LT trend is supposed to be 10 % to 40 %
over LST during a
warming interval, our results splits the uprights, and supports the work of Klutzbach and Christy.