While the Alps could lose anything between 75 percent and 90 percent of their glacial ice by the end of the century, Greenland's glaciers — which have the potential to raise global sea levels by up to 20 feet — are expected to melt faster as their exposure to
warm ocean water increases.
Not exact matches
Changes in
ocean currents are also lead to upwelling of
warm water, which also
increases evaporation — and thus snow.
After further analysis of the data, the scientists found that although a strong El Niño changes wind patterns in West Antarctica in a way that promotes flow of
warm ocean waters towards the ice shelves to
increase melting from below, it also
increases snowfall particularly along the Amundsen Sea sector.
Southern
Ocean seafloor
water temperatures are projected to
warm by an average of 0.4 °C over this century with some areas possibly
increasing by as much as 2 °C.
They must also deal with a host of challenges tied directly to the environment and potentially amplified by climate change, including
warming waters,
increasing ocean acidity and the spread of diseases that can decimate shellfish stocks.
Climate change, in the form of
warmer waters and
increasing ocean acidity, may exacerbate economic uncertainties.
The glacier is currently experiencing significant acceleration, thinning and retreat that is thought to be caused by «
ocean - driven» melting; an
increase in
warm ocean water finding its way under the ice shelf.
As the
ocean warms and fresh
water from melting ice
increases, scientists have yet to fully know how that will affect fish communities and coral reefs.
Warm ocean water, not warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of research
Warm ocean water, not
warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of research
warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for
increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of researchers.
Invasive species are entering the region with or without shipping, says Ted Scambos of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado;
warming of the Arctic
Ocean's surface temperatures has already
increased mixing with foreign
waters and all the microbes they contain.
As a result of atmospheric patterns that both
warmed the air and reduced cloud cover as well as
increased residual heat in newly exposed
ocean waters, such melting helped open the fabled Northwest Passage for the first time [see photo] this summer and presaged tough times for polar bears and other Arctic animals that rely on sea ice to survive, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
«There are characteristic patterns of
increase and decrease, for example, in response to an El Nino event,» which is a cyclical climate event marked by
warming waters in the western Pacific
Ocean that has global impacts, Zwiers says.
Warmer waters increase fish's need for oxygen but climate change will result in less oxygen in the
oceans.
The north - south gradient of
increasing glacier retreat was found to show a strong pattern with
ocean temperatures, whereby
water is cold in the north - west, and becomes progressively
warmer at depths below 100m further south.
With higher levels of carbon dioxide and higher average temperatures, the
oceans» surface
waters warm and sea ice disappears, and the marine world will see
increased stratification, intense nutrient trapping in the deep Southern
Ocean (also known as the Antarctic
Ocean) and nutrition starvation in the other
oceans.
According to Dr. Kevin Trenberth at NCAR in Boulder, Colo., an
increase in
water vapor floating overhead, triggered by
warming of the atmosphere and
oceans, is already loading the dice.
Increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere not only alters the
ocean's chemistry, it's
increasing the temperature of the atmosphere and
warming waters, too.
It was generally believed that
increased warm ocean water, in contact with the ice, was driving the changes (Shepherd et al., 2001).
This could be do to changes in
ocean circulation, and
warming waters reaching the grounding lines for ice shelves in Arctic and Antarctica, leading to non-linear
increase in melting and sea level rise, impossible to avoid on our current path.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are
increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG,
water vapor, exists in equilibrium with
water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the
oceans cover so much of the planet,
water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere
warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are
increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders
increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs,
increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
Other factors would include: — albedo shifts (both from ice >
water, and from
increased biological activity, and from edge melt revealing more land, and from more old dust coming to the surface...); — direct effect of CO2 on ice (the former weakens the latter); —
increasing, and increasingly
warm, rain fall on ice; — «stuck» weather systems bringing more and more
warm tropical air ever further toward the poles; — melting of sea ice shelf
increasing mobility of glaciers; — sea
water getting under parts of the ice sheets where the base is below sea level; — melt
water lubricating the ice sheet base; — changes in
ocean currents -LRB-?)
Heat can change
ocean dynamics and eventually will
increase glacial melting, which is mainly responding to subsurface
water rather than air
warming.
Geoengineering proposals fall into at least three broad categories: 1) managing atmospheric greenhouse gases (e.g.,
ocean fertilization and atmospheric carbon capture and sequestration), 2) cooling the Earth by reflecting sunlight (e.g., putting reflective particles into the atmosphere, putting mirrors in space to reflect the sun's energy,
increasing surface reflectivity and altering the amount or characteristics of clouds), and 3) moderating specific impacts of global
warming (e.g., efforts to limit sea level rise by
increasing land storage of
water, protecting ice sheets or artificially enhancing mountain glaciers).
A fluctuation in the location of slightly
warmer surface
water could hardly cause the global
increase in
ocean heat content.
For WAIS, the culprit for the rapid thinning of ice shelves is
increased delivery of
warm ocean water to the base of the ice shelves.
In Relationships between
Water Vapor Path and Precipitation over the Tropical Oceans, Bretherton et al showed that although the Western Pacific warmer surface waters increased the water in the atmosphere compared to the Eastern Pacific, rainfall was lower in the Western Pacific compared to the Eastern Pacific for equal amounts of water vapor in the atmospheric column — e.g., about 10mm / day in the Western Pacific, versus ~ 20mm / day in the Eastern Pacific at 55 mm water vapor, the peak of the distribution of water vapor amo
Water Vapor Path and Precipitation over the Tropical
Oceans, Bretherton et al showed that although the Western Pacific
warmer surface
waters increased the
water in the atmosphere compared to the Eastern Pacific, rainfall was lower in the Western Pacific compared to the Eastern Pacific for equal amounts of water vapor in the atmospheric column — e.g., about 10mm / day in the Western Pacific, versus ~ 20mm / day in the Eastern Pacific at 55 mm water vapor, the peak of the distribution of water vapor amo
water in the atmosphere compared to the Eastern Pacific, rainfall was lower in the Western Pacific compared to the Eastern Pacific for equal amounts of
water vapor in the atmospheric column — e.g., about 10mm / day in the Western Pacific, versus ~ 20mm / day in the Eastern Pacific at 55 mm water vapor, the peak of the distribution of water vapor amo
water vapor in the atmospheric column — e.g., about 10mm / day in the Western Pacific, versus ~ 20mm / day in the Eastern Pacific at 55 mm
water vapor, the peak of the distribution of water vapor amo
water vapor, the peak of the distribution of
water vapor amo
water vapor amounts.
If as a result of physical processes (such as El Nino)
warmer water reaches the surface of the
ocean, so less heat is conducted from the atmosphere into the
ocean and the atmopsheric temperature will therefore
increase — on a much shorter — comparatively instantaneous — timescale.
Think of what would happen if you could pump cold deep
water up to the surface,
increasing the air / sea temperature gradient and
warming the
water; that would give you an anomalously large
ocean heat uptake.
But the evidence of a connection between
warming ocean waters and greenhouse gas
increases is compelling and consistent with theory and observations.
• albedo decreases as ice melts (ice is perhaps 80 % reflective, while
ocean albedo can be as low as 3.5 %) •
increased water vapor in a
warmer climate •
warmer oceans absorb less carbon dioxide •
warmer soils release carbon dioxide and methane • plants in a hotter climate are darker
The surface heat capacity C (j = 0) was set to the equivalent of a global layer of
water 50 m deep (which would be a layer ~ 70 m thick over the
oceans) plus 70 % of the atmosphere, the latent heat of vaporization corresponding to a 20 %
increase in
water vapor per 3 K
warming (linearized for current conditions), and a little land surface; expressed as W * yr per m ^ 2 * K (a convenient unit), I got about 7.093.
There is so little understanding about how the
ocean parses its response to forcings by 1) suppressing (local convective scale) deep
water formation where excessive
warming patterns are changed, 2) enhancing (local convective scale) deep
water formation where the changed excessive
warming patterns are co-located with
increased evaporation and
increased salinity, and 3) shifting favored deep
water formation locations as a result of a) shifted patterns of enhanced
warming, b) shifted patterns of enhanced salinity and c) shifted patterns of circulation which transport these enhanced
ocean features to critically altered destinations.
Consenquently, the associated SST pattern is slightly cooler in the deep convection upwelling regions of the Equitorial Pacific and the Indian
Ocean, strongly cooler in the nearest deep convection source region of the South Atlantic near Africa and the Equator,
warm over the bulk of the North Atlantic, strongly
warmer where the gulf stream loses the largest portion of its heat near 50N 25W, and strongly cooler near 45N 45W, which turns out to be a back - eddy of the Gulf Stream with
increased transport of cold
water from the north whenever the Gulf Stream is running quickly.
However, at the same time, there's been the steady
increase in subtropical
ocean surface temperatures in the Atlantic
Warm Pool, leading to record
water temperatures off the US east coast in winter, which tends to fuel more extreme storms (via the
increase in
water vapor pressure over the
warmer ocean).
Water from the melting ice makes the oceans rise, only a fraction of an inch a year but, in the fullness of time, enough to let the currents increase their flow over the northern sill, bringing ever more warm water into the gelid Ar
Water from the melting ice makes the
oceans rise, only a fraction of an inch a year but, in the fullness of time, enough to let the currents
increase their flow over the northern sill, bringing ever more
warm water into the gelid Ar
water into the gelid Arctic.
So does the
warming of the
ocean, or for that matter, even the
water vapor feedback as the
increasing partial pressure
water vapor is both a response to higher temperatures and a cause of higher temperatures — but can raise temperatures only against the thermal inertia of the
ocean.
and how about nasa's recent report of the apparent arctic
ocean gyre reversal to clockwise that is underway — that the counterclockwise gyre of the arctic
ocean rotation (since 1989) which apparently also been largely responsible for centrifigally pushing arctic ice into
warmer waters, speeding melting — should now predictably result in
increasing amounts of ice due to the centripetal pull of the ice toward the north pole?
Consider the possibility that not just millions, but billions face disastrous consequences from the likes of (including but not limited to): Sandy (and other hybrid and out - of - season storms enhanced by the earth's circulatory eccentricities and
warmer oceans); the drought in progress; wildfires; floods (just last week, Argentina had 16 inches of rain in 2 hours *); derechos;
increased cold and snow in the north as the Arctic melts and cracks up, breaking up the Arctic circulation and sending cold out of what was previously largely a contained system, and losing its own consistent cold, seriously interfering with the Jet Stream, pollution of multiple kinds such as in China, the
increase of algae and the like in our
oceans as they heat, and food and
water shortages.
Increased melting in the
warmer summer is causing the internal drainage system of the ice sheet to accommodate more melt -
water, without speeding up the flow of ice toward the
oceans, the journal Nature reports.
The
increased area of
warm water on the surface allows the tropical Pacific
Ocean to discharge more heat than normal into the atmosphere through evaporation.
Though hurricanes strenthen when moving over
warmer water, this is merely due to the fact that the horizontal temperature gradient of the atmosphere is not as steep, i.e. the temperature differential between the
water and the atmosphere
increases as the storm hits tropical
waters; it is not the
ocean temperature per se that drives the hurricane.
Instead, they discuss new ways of playing around with the aerosol judge factor needed to explain why 20th - century
warming is about half of the
warming expected for
increased in GHGs; and then expand their list of fudge factors to include smaller volcanos, stratospheric
water vapor (published with no estimate of uncertainty for the predicted change in Ts), transfer of heat to the deeper
ocean (where changes in heat content are hard to accurately measure), etc..
There is absolutely no reason to believe that this effect will do anything but get stronger from here on as the vast «crops» of oceanic bacteria adapt to both
warmer ocean waters and
increased CO2 and nutrient levels and simply increasingly cool the global atmospheric climate simply by «growing faster»!
Rising temperatures are
warming ocean waters, which expand as the temperature
increases.
Hurricanes draw their energy from the
ocean and
warmer waters provide an
increase in both temperature and moisture content of the tropical atmosphere, which leads to storm intensification.
Likewise, Cazenave 2014 had published according to altimetry data, sea level had decelerated from 3.5 mm / yr in the 1990s to 2.5 mm / yr during 2003 - 2011, and that deceleration could be explained by
increased terrestrial
water storage, and the pause in
ocean warming reported by Argo data.
For instance, if global
warming were to
increase the volume of
water in the
oceans by causing glaciers or other ice bodies to melt, this would cause the weight of
water in the
oceans to
increase.
Warm ocean water, not warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of research
Warm ocean water, not
warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of research
warm air, is melting the Pine Island Glacier's floating ice shelf in Antarctica and may be the culprit for
increased melting of other ice shelves, according to an international team of researchers.
UMaine researchers have also noted an
increase in
warmer -
water species that are turning up in local fishermen's nets, including red hake, turbot, squid, black sea bass, blue crab, butterfish, longfin squid, summer flounder, yellowtail flounder, sea horses and
ocean sunfish.
Increased delivery of
warm ocean water into the sub-ice shelf cavity may therefore cause not only thinning but also structural weakening of the ice shelf, perhaps, as a prelude to eventual collapse.»