The hockey stick - shape temperature plot that shows modern climate considerably
warmer than past climate has been verified by many scientists using different methodologies (PCA, CPS, EIV, isotopic analysis, & direct T measurements).
When asking about whether recent decades have been
warmer than some past period such as the Medieval Warm Period, it is helpful to know whether a given set of data are capable of detecting a given difference.
Much
warmer than the past decade (similar to IPCC projections)?
The period from 1939 - 1941 all had average temperatures that were more than 3 °F
warmer than the past 3 years.
That is 5 °F
warmer than the past December.
Every adjustment serves to change the gradient of the curve making today
warmer than the past.
Even if next winter is
warmer than this past winter, which is not a guarantee, as soon as the Pacific Ocean returns to normal and El Niño resides, unusually cold and snowy winters will return.
Not exact matches
The report found, among other things, that 43 of the lower 48 U.S. states have set at least one monthly heat record since 2010, sea levels are expected to rise between one and four feet by the end of this century, winter storms have increased in intensity and frequency, and the
past decade was
warmer than every previous decade in every part of the country.
Warm sea surface temperature anomalies persist off to W and SW of San Diego, but are smaller
than in previous weeks over the
past month.
I left a couple on the plant, just in case, because the
past couple of days have been a little
warmer than usual... maybe we will get another red tomato or two to enjoy before the season is officially over.
For instance, we know that say, targeting a supporter who's responded to your
past global -
warming emails with a climate - themed fundraiser is likely to yield better results
than a less - targeted appeal.
Given the shared urban and historical pattern, the researchers also predicted that scale insects would be more abundant in rural forests today
than in the
past, as a result of recent climate
warming.
Around 3 million years ago, when temperatures were just 1 to 2 °C higher
than the average of the
past couple of millennia before humans began
warming the climate, sea level was at least 25 metres higher
than present.
In comparable interglacials in the
past half million years, when temperatures were less
than 1 °C
warmer than they are now, sea level was around 5 metres higher.
(Im) permafrost According to a 2007 global outlook from the U.N. Environment Programme (UNEP), the frozen soil of the Tibetan plateau has
warmed about 0.3 degree Celsius over the
past 30 years — after the poles, faster
than anywhere else on the planet.
First, sea - surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico have been higher
than normal in the
past couple of months, due to global
warming, which means the air that flowed north would have been
warmer to start with.
Although the ice cover has increased over the
past few years, the Arctic's sea ice is now much thinner
than it was just a few years ago, making it more vulnerable to future
warming.
They reported in the January 2010 edition of the journal Geophysical Research Letters that global
warming does increase flood risk significantly, and that large floods have occurred more frequently in recent years
than in the
past.
This is happening because humans have been producing carbon dioxide (for example, by running cars on gasoline) faster
than plants can absorb it, which makes the Earth
warmer — and much faster
than has happened naturally in the
past.
«The research shows that climate sensitivity was higher during the
past global,
warm climate
than in the current climate.
By reconstructing
past global
warming and the carbon cycle on Earth 56 million years ago, researchers from the Niels Bohr Institute among others have used computer modelling to estimate the potential perspective for future global
warming, which could be even
warmer than previously thought.
The results — along with a recent Dartmouth - led study that found air temperature also likely influenced the fluctuating size of South America's Quelccaya Ice Cap over the
past millennium — support many scientists» suspicions that today's tropical glaciers are rapidly shrinking primarily because of a
warming climate rather
than declining snowfall or other factors.
The statewide average temperature for the first six months of 2014 was 1.1 degree F
warmer than it has been for the
past 120 years of records
In response, lakebed temperatures of Arctic lakes less
than 1 meter (3 feet) deep have
warmed by 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.3 degrees Fahrenheit) during the
past three decades, and during five of the last seven years, the mean annual lakebed temperature has been above freezing.
According to his models, if the sea
warms to predicted levels, the most intense hurricanes will be 40 to 50 percent more severe
than the most intense hurricanes of the
past 50 years.
In the
past few decades, average Arctic temperatures have
warmed roughly 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius); average temperatures in Antarctica have
warmed slightly less
than 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius).
Causes of
warming trends at higher latitudes have gained more widespread attention from researchers in the
past few decades, but the idea that the Arctic would
warm faster
than the rest of the planet has been around for more
than 100 years.
Rather
than using complex computer models to estimate the effects of greenhouse - gas emissions, Lovejoy examines historical data to assess the competing hypothesis: that
warming over the
past century is due to natural long - term variations in temperature.
Some show far more variability leading up to the 20th century
than the hockey stick, but none suggest that it has been
warmer at any time in the
past 1000 years
than in the last part of the 20th century.
Over the
past ten years, the Gulf of Maine has
warmed faster
than 99 % of the global ocean.
The Berkeley Earth analysis shows that over the
past 50 years the poor stations in the U.S. network do not show greater
warming than do the good stations.
«The climate changed quite often from
warmer to colder, and vice versa, but at all times it was much colder
than the interglacial period that we have lived in for the
past 10,000 years.»
«Someplace different» will be a lot
warmer; 11 of the
past 12 years were
warmer than any since 1850, and 2007 tied 1998 as the second -
warmest since instrument - based records began, according to NASA.
Durack and his colleagues at LLNL found that the Southern Hemisphere's oceans have
warmed at a higher rate over the
past 35 years
than previously thought.
An argument over the «nitty - gritty» The Durack paper suggests that the upper oceans have been
warming much more rapidly over the
past 35 years
than previously thought.
Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to
past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid
warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity
than current projections suggest.
Despite the strong
warming trend of the
past 15 years, worldwide temperatures have risen less
than models predict, given the build - up of carbon dioxide in the air to 25 per cent above pre-industrial levels.
The authors write that their observation that the modern collapse of the LIS - B is a unique event supports the hypothesis that the current
warming trend in the northwestern Weddell Sea is longer and bigger
than past warm episodes.
«And we've
warmed more
than a degree Fahrenheit over the
past century.
Peter Stott, the head of climate monitoring at the U.K. Met Office, agreed, noting in an email that, «The slowdown hasn't gone away, however, the results of this study still show the
warming trend over the
past 15 years has been slower
than previous 15 year periods.
Studies of
past climate changes suggest the land and oceans start releasing more CO2
than they absorb as the planet
warms.
``... From this we conclude that the elimination of carbon dioxide emissions leads to little or no further climate
warming; that is, future
warming is defined by the extent of future emissions, rather
than by
past emissions.»
In fact, even La Niña years now are
warmer than El Niño years of the
past, because of the boost provided by global
warming.
The five
warmest years have all occurred since 2010, according to NOAA, and every year of the
past 40 years has been
warmer than the 20th century average.
The draft report says it is «very likely» that the
past three decades have all been
warmer than any time in the
past 800 years; that we could see almost 9 °C of
warming by 2300; and that «a large fraction of climate change is largely irreversible on human timescales».
If this rapid
warming continues, it could mean the end of the so - called slowdown — the period over the
past decade or so when global surface temperatures increased less rapidly
than before.
According to the AAAS What We Know report, «The projected rate of temperature change for this century is greater
than that of any extended global
warming period over the
past 65 million years.»
But there were countless
warm periods in the
past that resulted from quite different conditions
than those prevailing today (see this link on the Medieval period, or this link on the «mid-Holocene» period).
Spring, as measured by the appearance of the first leaves on trees, is arriving sooner
than in the
past as the planet continues to
warm from greenhouse gases
In his Figure 5 under a section entitled «A New Northern Hemisphere Summer Temperature Record» he shows that the mid to late 20th century temperature as determined from tree ring analysis is far
warmer than any period in the
past that his analysis includes (this only goes back to 1400 AD).