The geographic distribution of ocean warming is consistent with natural variability superimposed on
a warming background state forced by the increased greenhouse effect.
Not exact matches
It is this
background warming from the heat trapped by greenhouse gases that actually accounts for most of the predictability in future temperature change, said Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Penn
State.
It also provides the
background state against which El Niño events take place, and so changes in the Walker circulation should form an intrinsic part of thinking about how global
warming will affect El Niño.
This, it says, «is against the
background of the IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]
stating that there is a 90 % certainty that the causes of global
warming are man - made, it follows that there is a 10 % uncertainty.
When I rephrased my question and gave some
background to my reason for asking it, you went way outside your area of expertise and turned to
stating your opinions (based on you ideological beliefs) about how much your tool says the planet will
warm by 2100 (4.4 C you said based on 3.2 C equilibrium climate sensitivity).
In other words, what we are seeing is probably natural variability in this circulation against a
warming background ocean
state forced by the increased greenhouse effect.
I would probably generally
state it as «human CO2 activity has a measurable
warming impact on global average temperature that can be readily discerned from the
background of natural climate change and other human effects that may cause cooling, and this
warming impact will be, in general, neutral in impact for humanity and the biosphere».