Sentences with phrase «warming decades trends»

The only way, the last decade could not have been the «warmist ever», is if a cooling trend had set in over the whole decade, that was equal or greater than the previous warming decades trends.

Not exact matches

While this is bad news for the planet, it's good news for climate change scientists who have — for the last two decades — puzzled over warming trends in ocean surface temperatures for nearly 20 years.

There is also evidence that the warming trend has stopped, for example, a slight cooling trend in the last decade, and that the sun's cycles have more to do with climate warming and cooling than anything we are capable of doing But none of that matters.

And now, a study published online March 13 in Nature Communications reports a strong correlation between the severe winter weather experienced in the northeastern United States over the last decade and the warming trend in the Arctic.

«This trend to have even more dramatic numbers of overnight lower temperatures being exceedingly warm is consistent with what we have seen in recent decades,» he said.

When they corrected the error, Wentz and Schabel derived a warming trend of about 0.07 °C per decade, more in line with surface thermometers and climate models.

«It's fair to say that over the next couple of decades, we would expect to see the trend reverse, and internal variability accelerating the warming.»

Causes of warming trends at higher latitudes have gained more widespread attention from researchers in the past few decades, but the idea that the Arctic would warm faster than the rest of the planet has been around for more than 100 years.

The cooling trend was reversed during the 20th century, with four of the five warmest decades of our 2000 - year - long reconstruction occurring between 1950 and 2000.

«We conclude there has been no reduction in the global warming trend of 0.15 (to) 0.20 ºC (per) decade that began in the late 1970s.»

Models suggest that it is perfectly possible for a decade or two of cooling to occur even when there is a long - term warming trend.

However, Goddard said the results don't fully show the slowdown has disappeared when comparing the past 15 years to the decades preceding that period and that understanding the natural fluctuations in climate on a year - to - year (or even decade - to - decade) basis provides important context to the warming trends driven by carbon dioxide.

If greenhouse gas emissions continue on their current trend, the rate of warming will reach 0.7 °F per decade and stay that high until at least 2100.

This continues the trend of warming winters over the past few decades as the climate warms from increasing greenhouse gases, with the eastern two - thirds of the country warming the most during the winter.

Although a significant natural influence on weather patterns, the temperature effects of the cycle smooth out over years and decades, and aren't linked to the overall warming trend.

He predicts an acceleration of warming trends to take place in coming decades but what that means for cloud formation, hydrological cycles and other events that affect albedo is unknown.

Much of this change has occurred over the last several decades indicating that the warming trend accelerated over the 1925 — 2016 period.

But trends over the past 40 years have been decidedly up, with warming approaching 0.4 °F per decade.

Interestingly, this trend was weaker than the global SST warming trend (+0.16 °C per decade, p < 0.01; Fig. 1l).

Even if we focus exclusively on global surface temperatures, Cowtan & Way (2013) shows that when we account for temperatures across the entire globe (including the Arctic, which is the part of the planet warming fastest), the global surface warming trend for 1997 — 2015 is approximately 0.14 °C per decade.

The aforementioned Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) found a 0.16 °C per decade warming trend since 1979 after filtering out the short - term noise.

The Western Antarctic Peninsula has been rapidly cooling since 1999 -LRB--0.47 °C per decade), reversing the previous warming trend and leading to «a shift to surface mass gains of the peripheral glacier» (Oliva et al., 2017).

For example, the borehole data show warming since about 1500 AD which clearly was not anthropogenic, and in the latest decade, since the very warm 1998, the temperature trend is downward even in the Hadley Center compilations; the most ardent supporters of anthropogenic global warming.

Seasonal decreases in land precipitation since the 1950s are the main cause for some of the drying trends, although large surface warming during the last two to three decades has also likely contributed to the drying.

Data analysis, physical observations and basic arithmetic all show ENSO can not explain the long term warming trend over the past few decades.

However, it is unable to explain the long term warming trend over the past few decades.

This year fits into the long - term trend of global warming with more hot years set to come over the next decade or two.

This animation shows how the same temperature data (green) that is used to determine the long - term global surface air warming trend of 0.16 °C per decade (red) can be used inappropriately to «cherrypick» short time periods that show a cooling trend simply because the endpoints are carefully chosen and the trend is dominated by short - term noise in the data (blue steps).

Isn't it strange how six periods of cooling can add up to a clear warming trend over the last 4 decades?

Still, given that the last decade has not seen a significant amount of warming (although any trend is swamped by noise), 20 years of little warming would give skeptics a little wiggle room.

I often see the warming trend of the last few decades explained away as «It's the PDO» or something similar.

Climate experts know that the long - term warming trend has not abated in the past decade.

It is now clear that, for thirty years, we have been in a strong global warming trend at a rate of about 0.2 Celsius per decade for the past 30 years, [meaning] there has been 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.56 degrees Celsius) global warming in the past 30 years.

Still, given that the last decade has not seen a significant amount of warming (although any trend is swamped by noise), 20 years of little warming would give skeptics a little wiggle room.

Finally, to show that cosmic rays were actually responsible for some part of the recent warming you would need to show that there was actually a decreasing trend in cosmic rays over recent decades — which is tricky, because there hasn't been (see the figure)(Missing step # 5).

Future topics that will be discussed include: climate sensitivity, sea level rise, urban heat island - effects, the value of comprehensive climate models, ocean heat storage, and the warming trend over the past few decades.

«Finally, subtropical drying trends predicted from the warming alone fall well short of those observed in recent decades.

You can also see in this graph that the warming trend in the global data for the low troposphere, if we consider the whole set of data, i.e. from the average between 1980 - 1982 till now, with now meaning the average of the last three years, the warming trend is, AT MOST, 0.115 ºC / decade (0.3 ºC in 26 years), but the graph is going down recently, so it should be even less.

... and there is a second impossibility compounding the first one: during the last few decades of accelerating global warming, the Sun has been very precisely monitored from space, and its brightness hasn't shown any discernable trend.

«The overall warming trend declines from the «observed» rate of 0.116 °C / decade to a «corrected» rate of 0.092 °C / decade.»

Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of global temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.

The report touches on the «temperature hiatus» of the last 15 years, but notes (as in the graphic above) that the basic trend in warming is unrelenting when looked at decade by decade.

cherry pick the internal / natural variability with a negative trend and then argue that 2010 is significantly warmer than the rest of the decade??

If only half the warming over 1976 - 2000 (linear trend 0.18 °C / decade) was indeed anthropogenic, and the IPCC AR5 best estimate of the change in anthropogenic forcing over that period (linear trend 0.33Wm - 2 / decade) is accurate, then the transient climate response (TCR) would be little over 1 °C.

It seems a bit odd that no warming trend at all this decade is confirming to high confidence a warming trend.

Also, James Hansen successfully predicted in 1981 the trend of the past several decades of global warming, including a good approximation of the noise around the trend.

He predicts an acceleration of warming trends to take place in coming decades but what that means for cloud formation, hydrological cycles and other events that affect albedo is unknown.

Yes, the oceans are warming but these trends are 10 % to 20 % of the predicted surface warming trend of about 0.2 C per decade.

What does happen in a giben month, year and sometimes decades is faster or slower warming for the given time period, but this does not reverse the warming trend or do anything to refute the dangers to health that GHG's present with.

-- Given these constraints on climate forcing trends, we predict additional warming in the next 50 years of 3/4 + / - 1/4 °C, a warming rate of 0.15 + / - 0.05 °C per decade.