Sentences with phrase «warming during the past decade»

As a consequence, their results are strongly influenced by the low increase in observed warming during the past decade (about 0.05 °C / decade in the 1998 — 2012 period compared to about 0.12 °C / decade from 1951 to 2012, see IPCC 2013), and therewith possibly also by the incomplete coverage of global temperature observations (Cowtan and Way 2013).
They find about 0.25 °C less Arctic warming during the past decade than in the GISS analysis, a difference that they attribute to our method of interpolating and extrapolating data, especially into the Arctic Ocean regions where no station data are available.
Nor has it warmed during the past decade.
The IPCC based the lowered bound on one narrow line of evidence: the slowing of surface warming during the past decade — yes, the faux pause.
There is a solid body of research now showing that any apparent slow - down of warming during the past decade was likely due to natural short - term factors (like small changes in solar output and volcanic activity) and internal fluctuations related to e.g. the El Niño phenomenon.

Not exact matches

A crop - yield analysis reveals that warming temperatures have already diminished the rate of production growth for major cereal crop harvests during the past three decades
Greenland's ice sheet has been losing mass during the past two decades, a phenomenon accelerated by warming temperatures.
In response, lakebed temperatures of Arctic lakes less than 1 meter (3 feet) deep have warmed by 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.3 degrees Fahrenheit) during the past three decades, and during five of the last seven years, the mean annual lakebed temperature has been above freezing.
Arctic warming has caused a rapid decline in sea ice cover during the past decade that could seriously affect everything from Arctic ecosystems to shipping and oil drilling.
This continues the trend of warming winters over the past few decades as the climate warms from increasing greenhouse gases, with the eastern two - thirds of the country warming the most during the winter.
Temperature during the winter as a whole have generally decreased over the past two decades, likely as a result of climate change, but the sensitivity of ozone loss to the exact timing of March warming events makes ozone depletion a much more variable quantity.
The study finds that almost all of the very cold winters in central Asia during the past decade have coincided with particularly warm conditions in the Arctic.
We then examine climate impacts during the past few decades of global warming and in paleoclimate records including the Eemian period, concluding that there are already clear indications of undesirable impacts at the current level of warming and that 2 °C warming would have major deleterious consequences.
Thus it appears that, provided further satellite cloud data confirms the cosmic ray flux low cloud seeding hypothesis, and no other factors were involved over the past 150 years (e.g., variability of other cloud layers) then there is a potential for solar activity induced changes in cloudiness and irradiance to account for a significant part of the global warming experienced during the 20th century, with the possible exception of the last two decades.
11) In Pacific Ocean Heat Content During The Past 10,000 Years Rosenthal 2013 found Pacific water masses that were ~ 0.65 ° warmer than in recent decades.
In the next 50 years, even the lower limit of impending climate change — an additional global mean warming of 1 degree Celsius above the last decade — is far beyond the range of climate variability experienced during the past thousand years and poses global problems in planning for and adapting to it.
In Pacific Ocean Heat Content During The Past 10,000 Years Rosenthal 2013 found Pacific water masses that were ~ 0.65 ° warmer than in recent decades.
Extrapolating from their forest study, the researchers estimate that over this century the warming induced from global soil loss, at the rate they monitored, will be «equivalent to the past two decades of carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning and is comparable in magnitude to the cumulative carbon losses to the atmosphere due to human - driven land use change during the past two centuries.»
During the past decade, most years ranked among the warmest since record keeping began in the mid-1800s.
Try flight of the penguins: As if our flightless - fowl friends haven't had enough to deal with of late, the warming of the Antarctic Peninsula during the past few decades is also forcing penguin populations to migrate south.
[Response: And note that the abstract linked says «Although the rarity of the current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong warming during the past three decades
Steve: I think the results from Hoyos et al. fit nicely with our GRL results — SSTs are only part of the equation (at least in the North Atlantic — and neither paper makes it clear that anthropogenic effects are the primary cause of the warming of Atlantic SSTs during the past few decades.
«we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong warming during the past three decades»
and so I will not be accused of cherry picking from the same paper ``... we (Solanki et al.) point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominate cause of the strong warming during the past three decades (3).»
In the United States, the average temperature during the past decade was 0.8 ° Celsius (1.5 ° Fahrenheit) warmer than the 1901 - 1960 average, according to the latest National Climate Assessment.
Based on data from past climate changes, when sea level rose to +5 — 9 m, including the occurrence of extreme storms — during a time when temperatures were less than 1 ◦ C warmer than today, experts warn of similar consequences in coming decades.
Eight out of the 10 warmest years in India were during the recent past decade (2001 - 2010), making it the warmest decade on record with a decadal mean temperature anomaly of 0.49 °C.
Additionally, the observed surface temperature changes over the past decade are within the range of model predictions (Figure 6) and decadal periods of flat temperatures during an overall long - term warming trend are predicted by climate models (Easterling & Wehner 2009).
At the same time, during the past decade, Republicans have become much more likely to believe that news of global warming is «generally exaggerated» (from 34 % in 1997 to 59 % this year), while Democrats» agreement with that view have been fairly stable, at 23 % in 1997 and 18 % in 2008.
The empirical evidence from the past two decades reveals that declining sea ice cover and thickness have been great enough to enhance Arctic warming during most of the year.
The Marcott et al. conclusions that «Current global temperatures of the past decade... are warmer than during ~ 75 % of the Holocene temperature history» and «Global mean temperature for the decade 2000 - 2009....
During the past few decades the Arctic has warmed approximately twice as rapidly as has the entire northern hemisphere, a phenomenon called Arctic Amplification (AA).
The correlation between Greenland ice core data and solar flux, is also seen in Scandinavian tree ring data.15 Tree rings suggest the warmest decade in the past 2000 years, happened during the warm spike of the Roman Warm Period between 27 and 56warm spike of the Roman Warm Period between 27 and 56Warm Period between 27 and 56 AD.
When doing so we see the actual anthropogenic greenhouse warming of the lower troposphere continues at somewhere around.14 C to.17 C during the past decade.
Increases in GrIS melt and runoff during this past century warm period must have been significant and were probably even larger than that of the most recent last decade (1995 - 2006).»
A new study, to be published in the journal Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, found that a weakening polar vortex, potentially set in motion by the rapidly warming and melting Arctic, has become more common during the past four decades.
And so, over the decade, alarmist climate scientists tried to fool the public by stonewalling («it's the warmest decade on record,» which doesn't mean the decade was warming), denying the facts («the allegation that annual global mean temperatures stopped increasing during the past decade has no basis in reality»), or outright lying («the world is warming even more quickly than we had thought»).
«It is exceptionally unlikely that we would be seeing a record year, during a record warm decade, during a multi-decadal period of warmth that appears to be unrivaled over at least the past millennium — if it were not for the rising levels of planet - warming gases produced by fossil fuel burning.»
Most people, including myself and Spencer, estimate the («global») warming during the past 38 years at about 0,14 degrees C per decade.
· Globally, it is very likely that the 1990s was the warmest decade and 1998 the warmest year in the instrumental record, since 1861... the increase in temperature in the twentieth century is likely to have been the largest of any century during the past 1000 years.
That situation changed during recent weeks when two scientific papers broke the news that some of West Antarctica's glaciers had lost upwards of a half a kilometer of ice thickness due to contact with warm ocean waters over the past decade.
«bserved increases in ocean heat content (OHC) and temperature are robust indicators of global warming during the past several decades.
We then examine climate impacts during the past few decades of global warming and in paleoclimate records including the Eemian period, concluding that there are already clear indications of undesirable impacts at the current level of warming and that 2 °C warming would have major deleterious consequences.
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology says the rate of warming in global surface temperature during the past century has not been uniform, with some decades warming more rapidly than others.
The widespread change detected in temperature observations of the surface, free atmosphere and ocean, together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system, strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant cause of warming during the past several decades.
However, Solanki et al made the same point as we do: «This comparison shows without requiring any recourse to modeling that since roughly 1970 the solar influence on climate (through the channels considered here) can not have been dominant» (Solanki et al., 2003), and: «Although the rarity of the current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong warming during the past three decades
Responding to and in the manner of KK Tung's UPDATE (and, you can quote me): globally speaking the slowing of the rapidity of the warming, were it absent an enhanced hiatus compared to prior hiatuses, must at the least be interpreted as nothing more than a slowdown of the positive trend of uninterrupted global warming coming out of the Little Ice Age that has been «juiced» by AGW as evidenced by rapid warming during the last three decades of the 20th Century, irrespective of the fact that, «the modern Grand maximum (which occurred during solar cycles 19 — 23, i.e., 1950 - 2009),» according to Ilya Usoskin, «was a rare or even unique event, in both magnitude and duration, in the past three millennia [that's, 3,000 years].»
Along with an annual - mean trend during the past 50 years of about 0.1 °C / decade averaged over Antarctica, there is a distinct seasonality to the trends, with insignificant change (and even some cooling) in austral summer and autumn in East Antarctica, contrasting with warming in austral winter and spring.
It is exceptionally unlikely that we would be seeing a record year, during a record warming decade, during a multi-decadal period of warmth that appears to be unrivaled over at least the past millennium if it were not for the rising of planet - warming gases produced by fossil fuel burning.»
However, the Prudent Path authors fail to reference a recent paper (Kaufmann et al. 2009) which analyzed Arctic temperature changes over a 2000 year period (0 to 1999 AD) and concluded that «the most recent 10 - year interval (1999 - 2008) was the warmest of the past 200 decades» and that «4/5 of the warmest decades occurred during the last century».
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