I have written for quite a while that the most important issue in evaluating catastrophic
global warming forecasts is feedback.
Even if the highest
warming forecast comes true and the temperature rises by 3 - 6 degrees, no more than 20 meters of frozen ground will melt.
This descriptive model has been shown to be quite robust and we relied on it to
convert warming forecasts to economic growth rates.
Given this reality — and the fact these highly polluting power plants will be on line for 40 to 75 years — current
global warming forecasts are «overly optimistic,» they warn.
Lindzen's comparison of the validity of
warming forecasts for the year 2040 with the weatherman's forecast for next week is very misleading.
Those numbers caused a stir, because they were substantially higher than HFC
warming forecasts made by other climate models, including those underpinning the massive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Although they provide a plausible range
of warming forecasts for a century from now, the calculations are reliable only on the broadest scales, such as average temperatures or seasonal changes across the entire world.
Documents reveal Exxon's early CO2 position, its global
warming forecast from the 1980s, and its involvement with the issue at the highest echelons.
Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no - change model forecasts with IPCC
dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no - change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons.
This High Dive by ModCloth halter top features a print of maneki neko aplenty along with steely blue accents — matching today's
warm forecast with equally «haute» style!
Referring to the IPCC
AR4 warming forecasts, project manager Terje Berntsen, a geoscience professor at the University of Oslo, commented: «The Earth's mean temperature rose sharply during the 1990s.
I am using a simple feedback amplification model as an abstraction to represent the net results of the models in a way layman might understand, and backing into an implied fraction f from
published warming forecasts and comparing them to the 1.2 C non-feedback number.
I want to discuss the recent Kaufman study which purports to reconcile flat temperatures over the last 10 - 12 years with high -
sensitivity warming forecasts.
Determining the exact balance of the cloud - climate feedback will help decrease uncertainty margins for 21st
century warming forecasts.
But skiing and snowboarding could disappear from our collective culture in about 50 years, if global -
warming forecasts ring true.
Most studies conducted before the current infatuation with showing
cataclysmic warming forecasts came up with this same 1ºC, and peer - reviewed work is still coming up with this same number.
Documents reveal Exxon's early CO2 position, its global
warming forecast from the 1980s, and its involvement with the issue at the highest echelons.
Because it could dramatically change those dire global
warming forecasts that everybody claims are based on «settled science.»
It will be the height of irony if it turns out that the IPCC models are right, but that Kaser et al are also right, that the Kilimanjaro glacier therefore begins to advance again AND that proves to help confirm the validity of the global
warming forecasts!
Then we simply looked
the warming forecast in the graphs.
Farmers risk wasting billions of dollars if they trust
the warming forecast; Crikey urges them to wait with sowing until it is clear that summer temperatures have indeed arrived.
Gernot Wagner, an economist at the Environmental Defense Fund and Co-author of «Climate Shock,» which focuses on why uncertainty in
warming forecasts is no reason to relax, sent these thoughts:
Documents reveal Exxon's early CO2 position, its global
warming forecast from the 1980s, and its involvement with the issue at the highest echelons.
Nic Is it not true that the harsh reality is that the output of the climate models which the IPCC rely's on on their dangerous global
warming forecasts have no necessary connection to reality because of their structural inadequacies.
Phrases with «warming forecasts»