The current Landsea / Trenberth / Emanuel discussion has been parsed by many to mean that Landsea claims that the number of hurricanes is constant, and Trenberth is claiming that their intensity should increase as global
warming heats the ocean surface.
The current Landsea / Trenberth / Emanuel discussion has been parsed by many to mean that Landsea claims that the number of hurricanes is constant, and Trenberth is claiming that their intensity should increase as global
warming heats the ocean surface and these claims can both be true.
Not exact matches
Increasing
heat is also
warming up the
ocean, and hotter air holds onto more moisture, increasing the available energy for hurricanes.
Divers from the Rothera Research Station in Antarctica monitor
heated panels, designed to mimic
ocean warming, on the seabed near Adelaide Island.
While it is still possible that other factors, such as
heat storage in other
oceans or an increase in aerosols, have led to cooling at the Earth's surface, this research is yet another piece of evidence that strongly points to the Pacific
Ocean as the reason behind a slowdown in
warming.
The
warming also indicates that a large amount of
heat is being taken up by the
ocean, demonstrating that the planet's energy budget has been pushed out of balance.
Gerald Meehl, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research who was also an author on the paper, said this research expanded on past work, including his own research, that pointed to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation as a factor in a
warming slowdown by finding a mechanism behind how the Pacific
Ocean was able to store enough
heat to produce a pause in surface
warming.
Scientists can measure how much energy greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is how much other factors — the response of clouds to
warming, the cooling role of aerosols, the
heat and gas absorbed by
oceans, human transformation of the landscape, even the natural variability of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that effect.
In this case, though, the
heat produced not volcanoes but a
warm ocean sloshing beneath Europa's icy crust.
Global climate models need to account for what Meehl calls «slowly varying systems» — how
warmer air gradually
heats the
ocean, for example, and what effect this
warming ocean then has on the air.
Last year, a study published in Science Advances found that the
oceans have been steadily storing more
heat since the 1980s and that deeper layers of the
ocean are starting to
warm up, as well.
The more
heat in the Pacific, the bigger the El Niño, and right now, 150 metres below the surface, a ball of
warm water is crossing that
ocean.
Some glaciers on the perimeter of West Antarctica are receiving increased
heat from deep,
warm ocean currents, which melt ice from the grounding line, releasing the brake and causing the glaciers to flow and shed icebergs into the
ocean more quickly.
Models used to project conditions on an Earth
warmed by climate change especially need to consider how the
ocean will move excess
heat around, Legg said.
These findings from University of Melbourne Scientists at the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, reported in Nature Climate Change, are the result of research looking at how Australian extremes in
heat, drought, precipitation and
ocean warming will change in a world 1.5 °C and 2 °C
warmer than pre-industrial conditions.
«Considering the Southern
Ocean absorbs something like 60 % of heat and anthropogenic CO2 that enters the ocean, this wind has a noticeable effect on global warming,» said lead author Dr Andy Hogg from the Australian National University Hub of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Sci
Ocean absorbs something like 60 % of
heat and anthropogenic CO2 that enters the
ocean, this wind has a noticeable effect on global warming,» said lead author Dr Andy Hogg from the Australian National University Hub of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Sci
ocean, this wind has a noticeable effect on global
warming,» said lead author Dr Andy Hogg from the Australian National University Hub of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science.
«If the winds continue to increase as a result of global
warming, then we will continue to see increased energy in eddies and jets that will have significant implications for the ability of the Southern
Ocean to store carbon dioxide and
heat,» said Dr Hogg.
«Even if we stopped all greenhouse gas emissions today, we'd still have an
ocean that is
warmer than the
ocean of 1950, and that
heat commits us to a
warmer climate,» Gille said.
Solar
heat or
warm ocean waters fit the bill.
According to the new findings, Earth may be able to significantly reduce global
warming by releasing some of the
heat through a «vent» in the cloud cover over the Pacific
Ocean.
Charlie's research told him that during El Niño weather cycles, the surface seawaters in the Great Barrier Reef lagoon, already
heated to unusually high levels by greenhouse gas — induced
warming, were being pulsed from a mass of
ocean water known as the Western Pacific
Warm Pool onto the reef's delicate living corals.
So, for example, a big part of what drives a hurricane is the fact that you've got a lot of
warm water near the surface of the
ocean that is transferring
heat into the air, and that's what's moving up, and that is a big part of then what's propelling the entire bigger storm system.
It takes a long time for the
ocean to respond to increasing
heat, so even if greenhouse gas emissions dropped to zero tomorrow, the world's seas would continue to rise for centuries because of the
warming that's already happened.
We've narrowed the uncertainty in surface
warming projections by generating thousands of climate simulations that each closely match observational records for nine key climate metrics, including
warming and
ocean heat content.»
Conversely, when there is less Arctic sea ice, the
ocean absorbs more
heat from the sun, adding to global
warming.
As the world's climate
warms, will the Pacific
Ocean make matters worse by dumping extra
heat into the atmosphere?
Extreme weather does not prove the existence of global
warming, but climate change is likely to exaggerate it — by messing with
ocean currents, providing extra
heat to forming tornadoes, bolstering
heat waves, lengthening droughts and causing more precipitation and flooding.
If it is permanent, «it is logical to suggest that the winds and
ocean currents change accordingly and switch us into a new regime where
heat is not buried so deeply, and we jump to the next level in global
warming,» Trenberth said.
Another principal investigator for the project, Laura Pan, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., believes storm clusters over this area of the Pacific are likely to influence climate in new ways, especially as the
warm ocean temperatures (which feed the storms and chimney) continue to
heat up and atmospheric patterns continue to evolve.
The team chose the specific area examined in the study because it is Earth's
warmest open
ocean region and a primary source of
heat and water vapor to the atmosphere.
The
warm waters give up their
heat in the bitterly cold regions monitored by OSNAP, become denser, and sink, forming
ocean - bottom currents that return southward, hugging the perimeter of the
ocean basins.
As the atmosphere
warms,
heat is transferred to the
oceans, which causes water expansion and rising sea levels.
As the storm moves forward over these eddies, the
warm ocean waters below help fuel the storm's intensity through enhanced and sustained
heat and moisture fluxes.
Their studies strengthen the theory that a
warmer climate
heats the
ocean surface and fuels massive storms.
He proposed that the bottom layers of Europa's ice shell would be slightly
warmer than the ice on top, due to
heating from both the
ocean below and the crushing pressure of the miles - thick ice above.
Some scientists have tied the phenomenon, called the global
warming «pause,» to the deep
oceans» taking up more
heat.
The
oceans are major players in the climate system, absorbing about 90 percent of the
heat of global
warming.
Faster flow is more turbulent, and in this turbulence more
heat is mixed into AABW from shallower,
warmer ocean layers — thus
warming the abyssal waters on their way to the Equator, affecting global climate change.
If the
heat is weaker (right), Europa might have a thick layer of
warm ice atop its
ocean.
The continued top ranking for 2016 may be due in part to El Niño, a cyclical climate event characterized by
warmer - than - average waters in the equatorial Pacific
Ocean, which generated some of the global
heat that year.
Climate models do not predict an even
warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and
ocean currents can change the way
heat is distributed, leading to some parts
warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.
«There is evidence for global
warming on a number of levels, and the planet has been
warming, the
oceans have been taking up
heat, sea levels have been rising, land snow has been melting, glaciers are melting, and all these other things, so the reality of global
warming is uncontroversial.»
A low - altitude flow of
warm, moist air from an
ocean area combined with a flow of cold, dry polar air high up creates maximum instability, which means that parcels of air
heated near the surface rise rapidly, creating powerful updrafts.
As a result of atmospheric patterns that both
warmed the air and reduced cloud cover as well as increased residual
heat in newly exposed
ocean waters, such melting helped open the fabled Northwest Passage for the first time [see photo] this summer and presaged tough times for polar bears and other Arctic animals that rely on sea ice to survive, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
Ocean circulation drives the movement of
warm and cold waters around the world, so it is essential to storing and regulating
heat and plays a key role in Earth's temperature and climate.
That could allow
heat from the
ocean to be released into the atmosphere — causing a jump in atmospheric global
warming, Trenberth says: «This could be a very important year.»
And the
warming of the upper 2 kilometers of the world
ocean — a huge
heat sink relative to the atmosphere — continued apace through the 2000s.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered
warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra
heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
«Extra
heat means extra sea level rise, since
warmer water is less dense, so a
warmer ocean expands.»
What scientists discovered in 2014 is that since the turn of the century,
oceans have been absorbing more of global
warming's
heat and energy than would normally be expected, helping to slow rates of
warming on land.