Sentences with phrase «warming models predict»

Meanwhile, the NOAA report shows that climate alarmists (and NOAA belongs in this category) are still, as the Climategate emails revealed very clearly, willing to lie with statistics to get the warming the models predict.

Since 1970 we have seen exactly what global warming models predict — more rainfall in the North - West and some desert areas and less in the major agricultural regions.

Not exact matches

But all 54 climate models the team examined predicted that this wind will weaken as the world warms.

No model, however, has predicted the global warming hiatus which climate researchers have observed since the turn of the millennium.

In recent years, scientists have worked to understand why this «pause» in warming has occurred and was not predicted by models (ClimateWire Nov. 1, 2013).

According to Greg Okin, a professor of geography at the University of California, Los Angeles, «Climate models predict that the Southwest should get warmer and drier, and that by 2050 soil moisture could be lower than the US Dust Bowl Era.»

Similar conclusions were reached about impacts of climate change on wheat in the UK, where climate change models are predicting warmer, wetter winters for the country.

But one large section — the outermost of the large, main rings, called the A ring — was much warmer than the models predicted.

If global warming causes strong storms to grow even more fierce, as some climate models predict, that could trigger a self - feeding cycle that unleashes still more heat - trapping CO2 into the atmosphere.

Climate models have always offered a range of possible temperature rises, but it turns out the ones that best fit what's happened so far all predict even greater warming

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

A U.S. Forest Service (USFS) study found that between 53 and 97 percent of natural trout populations in the Southern Appalachian region of the U.S. could disappear due to warmer temperatures predicted by global climate change models.

To find out if global warming might skew the sex ratio of hatchlings, Rory Telemeco and his colleagues at Iowa State University in Ames developed a mathematical model to predict the sex ratio of eggs laid at different temperatures.

These models currently predict that as a result of today's global climate change, Antarctica will warm twice as much as the rest of the planet, though it won't reach its peak for a couple of hundred years.

They found no significant trends, but when they put the data into computer models and simulated a rise in temperature — as predicted through global warming — the results were striking.

«Climate models predict that the Southwest should get warmer and drier,» he says.

Climate models, it says, «can neither confirm that global warming is occurring now, or predict future climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate».

It will never be possible to substantiate such a claim about an individual climatic event, but most climate models predict that the frequency and intensity of such events will increase as the world warms.

James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City and a vociferous advocate for lowering global greenhouse gas emissions, was chosen for his work modeling Earth's climate, predicting global warming, and warning the world about the consequences.

According to his models, if the sea warms to predicted levels, the most intense hurricanes will be 40 to 50 percent more severe than the most intense hurricanes of the past 50 years.

Under the model they developed, the scientists say the likelihood of Bd occurrence is predicted to decrease during warmer periods, and when precipitation exceeds an annual rainfall threshold above 1,800 mm per year.

Weather models are predicting some warming of the stratosphere this week, she adds, but probably not enough to halt the ozone destroying brew.

«Climate models predict really, really high warming for Spain, particularly during the summer.

Data from BOREAS allows researchers to estimate how much carbon dioxide trees pull out of the atmosphere and store within their structures, a value used in some models to predict the role of forests in a future, warmer world.

The group also used a general circulation model to predict what might be expected to happen in the world's wine locales in the next 50 years and determined that an average additional warming of two degrees C may occur.

The model had a fairly high climate sensitivity to begin with, predicting a warming of 5.15 °C.

Climate models predict that as the world warms, heat in inner Asia will continue to rise substantially faster than the global mean.

Cheung and his colleague used modeling to predict how 802 commercially important species of fish and invertebrates react to warming water temperatures, other changing ocean properties, and new habitats opening up at the poles.

The panel reported that the world is warming throughout the lower atmosphere, as climate models had predicted, and acknowledged «clear evidence of human influences on the climate system.»

These models can then be mapped against climate forecasts to predict how phenology could shift in the future, painting a picture of landscapes in a world of warmer temperatures, altered precipitation and humidity, and changes in cloud cover.

Today's climate models predict a 50 percent increase in lightning strikes across the United States during this century as a result of warming temperatures associated with climate change.

For example, in a simulated world where the atmospheric CO2 levels were double today's values — a scenario many scientists believe likely — models predict that Earth will warm by more than 2 °C.

«Models predict where lemurs will go as climate warms.»

«Climate sceptics like to criticize climate models for getting things wrong, and we are the first to admit they are not perfect, but what we are finding is that the mistakes are being made by those models which predict less warming, not those that predict more,» said Prof. Sherwood.

The other model about hurricanes, recently published in Icarus, predicts that the warming of the northern hemisphere could also bring hurricanes, also known as tropical cyclones.

Climate models do not predict an even warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and ocean currents can change the way heat is distributed, leading to some parts warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.

Instrumental measurements are also too short to test the ability of state - of - the - art climate models to predict which regions of the hemisphere will get drier, or wetter, with global warming,» says Charpentier Ljungqvist.

Despite the strong warming trend of the past 15 years, worldwide temperatures have risen less than models predict, given the build - up of carbon dioxide in the air to 25 per cent above pre-industrial levels.

Spencer and Braswell had drawn on NASA satellite data to try to show that the atmospheres in climate models retain more heat than the real atmosphere does, causing the models to predict too much warming under a strengthening greenhouse.

Dr Nikolaos Skliris, a Research Fellow at the University of Southampton who led the study, said: «Our findings match what has been predicted by models of a warming climate; as the world gets warmer wet regions will continue to get wetter and dry regions will continue to get drier.

Climate change models predict that the Arctic sea ice will continue to shrink in a warming world (as much as 40 % of the ice is expected to be gone by midcentury), and the resulting changes — including later formation of ice in the autumn, rain falling on the snow, and decreasing snow depths — will make it increasingly difficult for the seals to construct their snow caves, NOAA says.

Models predict that warming in the Andes is likely to contribute both to more flooding and more drought in the region as mountain environments change.

The updated model predicted sea - surface warming of up to two degrees Celsius because of light absorption.

Project leader and Director of the Cabot Institute, Professor Richard Pancost said: «These results confirm what climate models have long predicted — that although greenhouse gases cause greater warming at the poles they also cause warming in the tropics.

In the Arctic, sea ice is vanishing, even faster than models of global warming have predicted.

The new numbers will be used in models created by economists, environmentalists, and governments who use population estimates to predict pollution and global warming levels; prepare for epidemics; determine road, school, and other infrastructure requirements; and forecast worldwide economic trends.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, an international organization created by the United Nations that produces climate change models, has predicted that sea levels could rise as much as 21 feet (6.4 meters) in the next century if global warming continues unabated.

Kröpelin says that the new findings will help climatologists fine - tune their computer models — which he says were wrong about what happened to the Sahara — to more accurately predict the effect of global warming.

Models predict how much the world will warm depending on how much we emit in future.

Past calculations of the cooling effect of aerosols have been inferred from «missing» global warming predicted by climate models.