He shows how
warming ocean waters gave Hurricane Katrina the added strength to blow right through Florida and on to New Orleans, and he documents worst - case scenarios for accelerated change.
He shows how
warming ocean waters gave Hurricane Katrina the added strength to...
Record and near - record
warm ocean waters gave Florida even more of a heat boost, he said.
Not exact matches
Velicogna and her colleagues also measured a dramatic loss of Greenland ice, as much as 38 cubic miles per year between 2002 and 2005 — even more troubling,
given that an influx of fresh melt
water into the salty North Atlantic could in theory shut off the system of
ocean currents that keep Europe relatively
warm.
The
warm waters give up their heat in the bitterly cold regions monitored by OSNAP, become denser, and sink, forming
ocean - bottom currents that return southward, hugging the perimeter of the
ocean basins.
Lead author, Dr Michael Singer from School of Earth and
Ocean Sciences at Cardiff University, said: «In drylands, convective (or short, intense) rainfall controls
water supply, flood risk and soil moisture but we have had little information on how atmospheric
warming will affect the characteristics of such rainstorms,
given the limited moisture in these areas.»
Understanding how carbon flows between land, air and
water is key to predicting how much greenhouse gas emissions the earth, atmosphere and
ocean can tolerate over a
given time period to keep global
warming and climate change at thresholds considered tolerable.
As the
warm water reaches high North Atlantic latitudes, it
gives up heat and moisture to the atmosphere, leaving cold, salty, dense
water that sinks to the
ocean floor.
Many of these large mammals migrate back to the
warm Pacific
Ocean waters of Banderas Bay for the winter months to feed, mate or
give birth and include, among others:
Regardless, I would posit the worsening winter ice formation is as expected
given the poles suffer first and winters
warm faster than summers, BUT that this is happening within two years of the EN peak, which was my time line in 2015, one wonders if the combination of
warm EN - heated Pacific
waters (
oceans move slowly) and
warm air are a trailing edge of the EN effect OR this is signallibg a phase change driven by that EN, or is just an extreme winter event.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG,
water vapor, exists in equilibrium with
water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the
oceans cover so much of the planet,
water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere
warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which
gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
Think of what would happen if you could pump cold deep
water up to the surface, increasing the air / sea temperature gradient and
warming the
water; that would
give you an anomalously large
ocean heat uptake.
The
oceans gave up their last big bank of
warm water last fall.
Corresponding time for surface + tropospheric equilibration:
given 3 K
warming (including feedbacks) per ~ 3.7 W / m2 forcing (this includes the effects of feedbacks): 10 years per heat capacity of ~ 130 m layer of
ocean (~ heat capacity of 92 or 93 m of liquid
water spread over the whole globe)
The picture I
gave neglects the effect of
ocean dynamics — cooling by upwelled
water entering the mixed layer and
warming by imported
warm water from the side.
(I think that an anomalously
warm ocean surface heated from below would lead to more evaporation, and the additional
water vapor would
give a positive greenhouse effect that would partially offset the effect of a drop in greenhouse gas concentrations.)
Taking
water out of this, i.e., leaving the practically 100 % nitrogen and oxygen
ocean of gas, this blanket
warming would
give a temp of 67 °C.
El Niño is the name assigned when shifting trade winds over the Pacific
Ocean give rise to
warmer water temperatures further east, fomenting stormy conditions in parts of the Americas and concomitant droughts in parts of Asia and Australia.
Scientists in New York are blaming global
warming for upsetting the Nenana Ice Competition stating that a recent navel survey clearly indicated that the heat energy that would normally cause the river to release its life
giving waters to the downstream environment had been redirected to deep
ocean sequestation where it was being used by the oil industry to kill sharks.
To point out just a couple of things: —
oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because
water is more difficult both to
warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the
water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands»
warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have
waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to
give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better
waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small
warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very
warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
The relevant factor may therefore not be how
warm the
water is in a
given ocean basin, but how
warm it is relative to other
ocean basins.
Just one question Jarvis, how will
giving Greenpeace money change the Arctic temperature, or change the
ocean currents such that
warmer waters don't reach the Arctic?
Other feared effects — such as the sudden release of large volumes of methane from thawing Arctic tundra or the disruption of the Atlantic
Ocean currents that carry
warm water into the northern latitudes — were
given a low chance of occurring on a rapid scale.
An interesting paper has now been issued which shows support for the idea that the
oceans and not the greenhouse effect are responsible for
warming (and by implication) cooling of the atmosphere thereby
giving some mainstream credence to my Hot
Water Bottle Effect.
Scientists have uncovered more evidence for a dramatic weakening in the vast
ocean current that
gives Britain its relatively balmy climate by dragging
warm water northwards from the tropics.
In the face of climate change and
ocean warming, this study
gives managers hope that maintaining high
water quality can spare corals.»
As the
warm water reaches high North Atlantic latitudes, it
gives up heat and moisture to the atmosphere, leaving cold, salty, dense
water that sinks to the
ocean floor.
Hurricanes can be thought of, to a first approximation, as a heat engine; obtaining its heat input from the
warm, humid air over the tropical
ocean, and releasing this heat through the condensation of
water vapor into
water droplets in deep thunderstorms of the eyewall and rainbands, then
giving off a cold exhaust in the upper levels of the troposphere (~ 12 km / 8 mi up).
Soon, the mathematics of the UCSB researchers will help reveal that
given differences in
ocean temperature, for example, in an especially a real world example of the Earth rotating on its axis with
warm water at the bottom of an
ocean of colder
water on the top, that the cold
water will sink.
Though polar amplification — which is another term for how global
warming spurs the poles to heat up faster than the rest of the world — helped to generate the upper level features in the atmosphere that would consistently generate storms running across the U.S. East Coast, widespread
warmer than normal
ocean waters helped to
give these storms more fuel.