Not exact matches
Of course, we know TOA fluxes must continue to
warm globally
on a
decadal basis because we have OHC data.
These phases, which last 30 years, giving a 60 - year cycle, must be carefully allowed for: otherwise the error made by many early models would arise: they
based their predictions
on the
warming rate from 1976 - 2001, a period wholly within a
warming phase of the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation.
If the sea ice around Antarctica is growing (
on a
decadal trend
basis)-- which any schoolboy analysis of freely available basic data shows...... what does this tell you about the certainty of global
warming?
On that
basis I think we will see cooling for a couple of decades due to the negative phase of the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation which has just begun then at least one more 20 to 30 year phase of natural
warming before we start the true decline as the cooler thermohaline waters from the Little Ice Age come back to the surface.