The impacts of
warming on crop yields are not automatically assumed, for instance, though they can be modelled by the user.
Not exact matches
The form of phosphate plants can use is in danger of reaching its peak — when supply fails to keep up with demand — in just 30 years, potentially decreasing the rate of
crop yield as the as the world population continues to climb and global
warming stresses
crop yields, which could have damaging effects
on the global food supply.
The new study, published in Nature Geoscience, takes the theory a step further — not only linking a
warm Arctic to unusual weather patterns in North America, but also to the impacts
on plant growth and
crop yields.
In fact, the I.P.C.C. WGII report, in the chapter
on North America says «Research since the [last IPCC report] supports the conclusion that moderate climate change will likely increase
yields on North American rain fed agriculture... Most studies project likely climate - related
yield increases of 5 - 20 % over the first decades of the century... Major challenges are projected for
crops that are near the
warm end of their suitable range or depend
on highly utilized water resources.»
The Mail
on Sunday says the Summary warns of negative impacts
on crop yields, with
warming responsible for lower
yields of wheat, maize, soya and rice.
Focusing
on specialty fruit production, Houston et al. (2018) find that overall
warmer conditions and reduced water availability may reduce net returns
on crops due to increasing farming costs, affecting
yields and altering product quality.
At a time when global
warming is projected to produce more extreme weather, the study provides the most comprehensive look yet at the influence of such events
on crop area,
yields and production around the world.
Moderate climate change in the coming decades is projected to increase overall
yields by 5 - 20 %
on agricultural lands that rely of rainfall, although major challenges are projected for
crops that are near the
warm end of their suitable range.
As far as
crops go, the problem is this: Changes to the hydrological cycle as a result of global
warming may be neutral
on a 100 - year timescale, as far as
crop yields are concerned.
You are unable to demonstrate based
on empirical data that these temperatures will be harmful — and there are some indications that a slightly
warmer temperature (especially in the higher latitudes, where GH
warming is supposed to oiccur) will increase arable land surface across N. America, and Eurasia, lengthen growing seasons and result in higher overall
crop yields.
On the other hand, elevated CO2 and a
warmer climate provide unheralded benefits to the biosphere (i.e., a greener planet and enhanced
crop yields).