Sentences with phrase «warming over the coming century»

[Response: it would be odd to worry about cooling in 10,000 years time, when we have warming over the coming century to worry about first.

[Response: it would be odd to worry about cooling in 10,000 years time, when we have warming over the coming century to worry about first.

Current research suggests that the Earth will probably warm over the coming century; Climateprediction.net should, for the first time, tell us what is most likely to happen.

However, if CO2 emissions aren't drastically reduced temperatures will get a lot warmer over the coming centuries and even millennia than during the previous interglacial.

Not exact matches

Drier conditions, more thunderstorms and warming in the Arctic over the coming century, he says, will make this more likely.

They then projected how global warming would alter these patterns over the coming century.

The strongest evidence for global warming comes from physics and chemistry, not from records of past temperatures, which is why scientists were predicting warming long before the rise in temperature over the 20th century was obvious.

They then looked at what that meant for the temperature rise over the coming few decades, and found that global warming this century will indeed be slower than thought.

How will heat and cold deaths change over the coming century with global warming?

A new study takes this concept into the realm of weather and climate, finding that global warming might sharply increase the odds of grey swan hurricanes and storm surge over the coming century.

«suggesting that Arctic warming will continue to greatly exceed the global average over the coming century, with concomitant reductions in terrestrial ice masses and, consequently, an increasing rate of sea level rise.»

Another riddle was that previous research indicated that under global warming scenarios Pacific Equatorial Trade winds would slow down over the coming century.

Both Judith Curry and Gavin Schmidt have acknowledged that even if Trenberth is right about global warming being sequestered in the deep ocean it doesn't matter because that sequestered heat can not undilute itself to warm the atmosphere quickly — it comes out over a 10x longer period at 1 / 10th the orginal power i.e. what when in at 0.5 W / m2 in a decade comes out at 0.05 W / m2 over a century which is insignificant.

For policy - makers, the speed of climate change over the coming decades matters as much as the total long - term change, since this rate of change will determine whether human societies and natural ecosystems will be able to adapt fast enough to survive.New results indicate a warming rate of about 2.5 C per century over the coming decades (assuming no attempt is made to reduce GHG emissions).

Choices regarding emissions of other warming agents, such as methane, black carbon on ice / snow, and aerosols, can affect global warming over coming decades but have little effect on longer - term warming of the Earth over centuries and millennia.

But how the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets respond to warmer temperatures is the biggest unknown by far in trying to predict how fast the waters will rise over the coming century and beyond.

The IPCC AR4 «projected» that it is «very unlikely» that warming would be less than 1.1 deg.C over the coming century, and said it is «very likely» that the rate of warming would be «2 deg.C per decade».

In fact, the ocean has absorbed so much heat — about 20 times as much as the atmosphere over the past half - century — that some models suggest that it is likely to warm the air another degree Fahrenheit (0.55 ° Celsius) worldwide over the coming decades.

Then along came modern man who gradually, over the centuries, figuree out how to use the stuff to coat the bottom of his boats or mine it to warm his hearth.

Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most of Australia over the coming decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise at high rates, 19 more severe droughts are projected for eastern Australia in the first half of this century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb global warming emissions, most regions of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture at almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to change rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22

The «over 50 %» comes from tinkering with computer models, in which this value did a great job of corresponding with the warming of the second half of the 20th century.

«Quantifying the role of solar radiative forcing over the 20th century -LSB-...] However, we also find that the largest contribution to the 20th century warming comes from anthropogenic sources.»

The pre-Holocene climate shifts seem to be well accounted for by dynamics of glacial meltoff, freshwater discharge, and the impact on the ocean circulation... all of which is less of an issue in an initially warm climate, and the AR5 generation models give no indication that the overturning circulation will be significantly impacted over the coming century.

Climate models have proven remarkably accurate when it comes to reproducing the long - term warming we've observed over the last half century, and were never expected to reproduce the exact timing of natural events.

(06/02/2013) Rainforests in South America have endured three previous extreme global warming events in the past, suggesting they will survive a projected 2 - 6 degree rise in temperatures over the coming century, reports a study published in the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Science.

It's also one of the reasons that I linked to Hoffman et al at Bart's in the first place... None of this changes the fact that global warming is going to be a huge hit on planetary biodiversity further into this century, and over coming centuries, both through direct effects and through exacerbation of other non-climate-change impacts.

The modest global warming seen to - date (around 0.13 degrees Celsius per decade) is likely to accelerate over the coming century - and models have even the US Corn Belt in the firing line.

Over that time, the globally averaged temperature difference between the depth of an ice age and a warm interglacial period was 4 to 6 °C — comparable to that predicted for the coming century due to anthropogenic global warming under the fossil - fuel - intensive, business - as - usual scenario.

How confident are scientists that Earth will warm further over the coming century?

Do model projections tend to show us areas that will see more storm activity over the coming century as global temperatures warm?

Neither do I think it likely that advances in climate science will give us great certainty about exactly how bad global warming will be over the coming centuries.

Even if we limit warming to 1.5 °C, as a number of low - lying island nations recently called for, sea levels will rise by two meters in coming centuries — with one meter rise by 2100 and up to five meters over the next 300 years.

At long last, the actual levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere were revisited: Callendar found they had increased by some 10 %, which he suggested may have caused the warming, and he went on to add that over the coming centuries there could be a climate shift to a permanently warmer state.

This is because the warming over the past century is much larger than what could have come about due to natural variation.

An implication of the GFDL studies is that if the frequency of tropical cyclones remains the same over the coming century, a greenhouse - gas induced warming may lead to an increasing risk globally in the occurrence of highly destructive category - 5 storms.

During that time, net global surface temperatures changes haven't exceeded 1 °C from the coldest to the hottest climates, though we're now approaching that degree of change, with 1 °C warming since the LIA, 0.8 °C of that over the past century, with much more to come.

Steve S beats me to it, but here's a Myles Allen quote anyway: I have argued for years that the odds on a high climate sensitivity are largely irrelevant to the warming we should expect over the coming century, and I certainly never suggested to David that my assessment of the odds on any particular level of warming by 2100 had changed.

That means that anthropogenic aerosols have been a mitigating factor when it comes to the warming of the globe over the past century.

Yet the heat - induced disaster may come as little surprise to Russian climate scientists, who have warned for years that the country is experiencing rapid warming that will only accelerate over the course of the 21st century.