Given all the independent lines of evidence pointing to average surface
warming over the last few decades (satellite measurements, ocean temperatures, sea - level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts in the ranges of temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the observed
warming over the last few decades may be manifest as a change in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2 and 7) and there is now considerable interest in testing the ability of climate models to simulate such weather regimes (Chapter 8) and to see whether the greenhouse gas forced runs suggest shifts in the residence time or transitions between such regimes on long time - scales.
Two - thirds of Americans (67 %) say there is solid evidence that the earth has been getting
warmer over the last few decades, a figure that has changed little in the past few years.
Certainly some parts of the world have shown little or
no warming over the last few decades and some appear to be cooling.
Not exact matches
«I would say it is significant that temperatures of the most recent
decade exceed the
warmest temperatures of our reconstruction by 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit, having
few — if any — precedents
over the
last 11,000 years,» Marsicek says.
However, one of the panel's reservations was that ``... a statistical method used in the 1999 study was not the best and that some uncertainties in the work «have been underestimated,»...» The panel concluded «Based on the analyses presented in the original papers by Mann et al. and this newer supporting evidence, the committee finds it plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was
warmer during the
last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period
over the preceding millennium.
A globally
warm medieval period could be a simple forced response to increased solar, in which case it doesn't imply any larger intrinsic variability than already assumed, and since solar has been pretty much constant
over the
last 50 years, improvements to our understanding of solar forced climate changes are irrelevant for the
last few decades.
Computer model simulations tend to capture the slow rate of
warming in the western Pacific
over the
last few decades, but they show the
warm pool heating rapidly in the future.
Attitudes won't change the fact that the Earth has already
warmed about 0.7 C
over the past century and mostly in the
last few decades, and the
warming has been accelerating.
I would say it is significant that temperatures of the most recent
decade exceed the
warmest temperatures of our reconstruction by 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit, having
few — if any — precedents
over the
last 11,000 years.
If anything, nature has been pushing to cool the climate
over the
last few decades, but
warming has occurred.
For example, some «skeptics» who don't understand anomalies are worried that the dropout of lots of cold weather stations in Siberia
over the
last few decades has biased the record
warm.
Despite the extreme cold of the
last ice age, the BRT reported «more than 20 so - called Dansgaard - Oeschger oscillations have been documented... each with rapid
warming to near inter-glacial temperatures
over just a
few decades.»
-LSB-...] blog by global
warming advocate Michael Mann, creator of the now - discredited «hockey stick» graph that purported to show a sharp spike in global temperatures
over the
last few decades.
Doe this mean that the National Research Council should / will revisit their conclusion: «Based on the analyses presented in the original papers by Mann et al. and this newer supporting evidence, the committee finds it plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was
warmer during the
last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period
over the preceding millennium»???
Kev, I think that the Earth has been
warming slightly
over the
last few decades and also that soon (sooner rather than later) the Earth will drastically cool.
The scientific pivot to cooling confirms what many have thought and said
over the
last few decades: human CO2 emissions do have a
warming influence on global temperatures but, with that said, it is a minor factor that is easily overwhelmed by both solar / cosmic and natural earthly forces.
Following a
warming trend early in the 20th century and mid-century cooling, surface air temperatures in the Arctic have shown a strong increase
over the
last few decades,
warming at about twice the global average.
He thinks most of the
warming is caused by reduced cloud cover
over the
last few decades.
However, mounting evidence against climate change theory and the «consensus» is unlikely to stem the tide of policy designed to combat global
warming, thanks to the sheer size of the climate change industry that has built up
over the
last few decades.
Over the
last few decades of global
warming, sun and climate have been moving in opposite directions.
While surface temperature show a significant
warming over western Himalayas in the
last few decades, the observed regional precipitation changes are irregular and not spatially coherent.
If you want even more info about the study and want to know how the NOAA team came to its conclusion that there has not been a slowdown in
warming over the
last decade or so, you will find links to a
few places where you can start your reading below the chart.
I presume that's why he posted the comment he did: if a reconstruction of the temperature record fails to show
warming for the Arctic
over the
last few decades, it's probably suspect.