Not exact matches
Rep. Lamar Smith (R - Texas), chairman of the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee, has been seeking documents regarding research that
seemed to debunk the notion of a global
warming slowdown or
pause.
Dr. Swanson: Another question — This prediction of a
pause in the
warming seems somewhat similar to the prediction of Keenlyside et al., although, as I understand it, theirs is based simply on a direct model prediction (with an attempt, whether successful or not, to use realistic initial conditions in initializing their model).
That all times of enhanced coupling would tend to cause a
pause in the
warming trend does not
seem likely.
However that is a statistical non-sequitur, based on a poor understanding of frequentist hypothesis testing, unless the test can be shown to have adequate statistical power (which
seems never to be mentioned by those claiming a
pause in
warming).
Lovelock is a rare example of an over-alarmist, who then overreacted to what
seemed to him like a
warming pause in 2012.
Your conclusion
seems to be that a
warming trend continues unabated and the
pause is purely due to short term variation.
it
seems that they interpret your proposal as an explanation for the
pause, not as a questioning on the amplitude of glowal
warming...
However, it
seems to me that when you add the energy involved in the atmosphere and the energy involved in melting arctic sea ice, the surface
warming trend no longer shows a
pause.
warming, or cooling, or a
pause / standstill
seem like the three choices.
There
seems to be significant confusion on the issue of human caused global
warming because some say that the
warming has stopped, or
paused.
Let's hope «the
pause» in global
warming does not last much longer since it unfortunately
seems to project a cooling regime over the U.S.
This strawman rate of
warming that never was that's magically
paused seems contrived simply to allow people to throw around the
pause word, when what is meant about the
warming appears to be «failed to accelerate as much as predicted as soon as predicted» unless one means «accelerated
warming» whenever one says «
warming.»
Everyone
seems to be jumping on the bandwagon to say that internal ocean variability is causing the
pause, but this leads to questions about the role of oceans in the
warming of the last quarter of the 20th century.
The «
pause» discussion continues (see RC for a summary of recent coverage), which
seems a bit silly to me, because it isn't really a «
pause» at all, just a continued anthropogenically - forced
warming with some other (anthropogenic and natural) forcings and internal variability added on, such that the trend is a little lower than most expected.
The bac - to - equilibrium - between - land - and - sea - surface - temperatures
seems to happen whithin few years, escpecially if general
warming / cooling
pauses or reverses.