Sentences with phrase «warming scenarios of»

If today's worst - case global warming scenarios of catastrophic melting of glaciers and ice sheets come to pass, sea levels could rise rapidly, wreaking all sorts of geological havoc «comparable with the most rapid increases in sea level that we've seen in the last 15,000 years,» McGuire said.
Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.
As even the most optimistic warming scenario of 1.5 °C would lead to a doubling of global flood risk, effective adaptation plans must be implemented to keep the flood risk rates at or below current levels, according to the authors.
Aquaria in the short - term experiment were held in a seawater bath at a constant temperature (Titan 1500 chiller unit, Aqua Medic) to reflect either the annual mean temperature of the study site (10.24 ± 0.02 °C; see electronic supplementary material, figure S2) or a warming scenario of +4 °C (14.36 ± 0.12 °C; see electronic supplementary material, figure S2).

Not exact matches

Current projections of global warming in the absence of action are just too close to the kinds of numbers associated with doomsday scenarios.
The odds are against that exact scenario happening, even considering the imbalanced schedule, but the very potential of it has to warm hearts around Texas.
No, wait, don't sit at a vista point drinking warm beer out of a paper bag and sighing loudly, this is just a hypothetical scenario.
Mathieu Flamini vs David Silva The Frenchman hasn't been at his very best in recent times when he has had to warm the benches for long periods and, as and when Arteta breaks down now and then, always finds himself in a catch - 22 scenario of whether he wants to play for his spot in the side or deputize for Arteta efficiently.
However, since the arrival of new boss Jurgen Klopp, the highly rated Belgian international has found himself in a complex scenario and mostly warms the bench.
Scientists may also become able to distinguish between different scenarios sooner by studying the physics of local ice - sheet changes and refining reconstructions of changes during warm periods in geological history.
Headed toward an 8 F rise in warming Other such low - probability but high - risk scenarios mentioned in the report include ecosystem collapses, destabilization of methane stored in the seafloor and rapid greenhouse gas emissions from thawing Arctic permafrost.
In an ideal SRM geoengineering scenario, even as humans warm the Earth by releasing increasing amounts of heat - trapping gases, that warmth would be counterbalanced, since more heat - causing radiation would also be reflected.
The long - term warming over the 21st century, however, is strongly influenced by the future rate of emissions, and the projections cover a wide variety of scenarios, ranging from very rapid to more modest economic growth and from more to less dependence on fossil fuels.
He cited several studies showing that a large number of species on the planet would become extinct in a «business as usual» global warming scenario.
Combining the asylum - application data with projections of future warming, the researchers found that an increase of average global temperatures of 1.8 °C — an optimistic scenario in which carbon emissions flatten globally in the next few decades and then decline — would increase applications by 28 percent by 2100, translating into 98,000 extra applications to the EU each year.
The IPCC's climate report says that the most extreme scenarios of future warming are looking less likely — but this doesn't change the big picture
In a highly nuanced exchange of ideas, these researchers weighed the various scenarios and laid out a road map for navigating the warmer world to come.
Worst - case warming scenario may bring totally new kinds of tropical climate and cause others to disappear
A couple of weeks ago, an article in New York magazine laid out a horrific scenario of global warming.
In the model scenarios, the pool of warm water (greater than 82 degrees Fahrenheit) in the tropical Atlantic grew to twice its actual size.
Under the worst - case scenario (RCP 8.5), which assumes that greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century, the authors show the potential for extremely large net increases in temperature - related mortality in the warmer regions of the world.
The study used simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) run at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and examined warming scenarios ranging from 1.5 degrees Celsius all the way to 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century.
Their optimistic goal: keep global warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius to avoid doomsday scenarios of rising seas, widespread droughts and melting ice.
Both scenarios offer hopes that beneath Ceres's barren surface there may be regions warm, wet and accessible enough to investigate for signs of past or even present extraterrestrial life.
A team at British Antarctic Survey (BAS) examined the potential distribution of over 900 species of shelf - dwelling marine invertebrates under a warming scenario produced by computer models.
With these scenarios in mind, the researchers identified what measures can be taken to slow the rate of global warming to avoid the worst consequences, particularly the low - probability high - impact events.
It's an odd scenario — death by freezing in a warming world — but one that could have profound impacts on one of the most culturally and economically important trees in Alaska as it dies out and other, less valuable trees take its place.
However, considerable increase in flood risk is predicted in Europe even under the most optimistic scenario of 1.5 °C warming as compared to pre-industrial levels, urging national governments to prepare effective adaptation plans to compensate for the foreseen increasing risks.
Even in the moderate warming scenario, there are predictions of big changes in the delta habitat as this century unfolds.»
ECS is shorthand for the amount of warming expected, given a particular fossil - fuel emissions scenario.
Europe is expected to see a considerable increase in flood risk in coming years, even under an optimistic climate change scenario of 1.5 °C warming compared to pre-industrial levels.
A study assesses flood impacts for three scenariosof 1.5 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C warming — and finds that most of Central and Western Europe will experience substantial increase in flood risk at all warming levels, and the higher the warming, the higher the risk.
At the same time, he says scientists shouldn't shy away from painting «scary scenarios» — such as deadly heat waves in New York City and a dried - up Mississippi River as possible results of global warming — to get a message across.
The second simulation overlaid that same weather data with a «pseudo global warming» technique using an accepted scenario that assumes a 2 - to 3 - degree increase in average temperature, and a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide.
In the most extreme scenarios, with the planet warming by almost 10 °C, the oceans could be starved of oxygen for 8000 years.
The analysis follows previous studies that show that a business - as - usual scenario, which assumes a continued growth of global emissions, would deliver a warming increase of 4.5 °C by 2100.
The researchers find that «ocean - driven melt is an important driver of Antarctic ice shelf retreat where warm water is in contact with shelves, but in high greenhouse - gas emissions scenarios, atmospheric warming soon overtakes the ocean as the dominant driver of Antarctic ice loss.»
They argue that there is something wrong with a world in which carbon - dioxide levels are kept to 450 parts per million (a trajectory widely deemed compatible with a 2 degree cap on warming) but at the same time more than a billion of the poorest people are left without electricity, as in one much discussed scenario from the International Energy Agency.
Hamilton noted that the commission's report is not the first time The Lancet has taken a stab at climate change, but previous reports focused on the worst - case scenarios of global warming and their devastating health consequences, whereas the current report highlights the benefits of addressing climate change and touts «no regrets» actions that benefit the environment and health.
«Under scenarios of moderate warming, 1 or 2 degrees Celsius globally, crops in tropical regions will suffer in terms of yield, whereas at mid - to higher latitudes, they might benefit from a little bit of warming.
Including the elevation effects in the model increases the estimated sea - level rise by a small but significant amount (5 % enhancement of melt by 2100 and 10 % by 2200 for a climate warming scenario).
In other scenarios, CO2 emissions were curbed significantly to the extent that the target of limiting warming to below 2 degrees by 2100 is achieved.
Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.
Carbon dioxide emissions continue to track the high end of emission scenarios, eroding the chances to keep global warming below 2 °C, and placing increased pressure on world leaders ahead of the United Nations Climate Summit on the 23rd September.
Using low - and high - warming scenarios, the team predicted declines in acidity and the concentration of a compound called anthocyanin, which gives red wine color.
Although the scientific credibility of the film drew criticism from climate scientists, the scenario of an abrupt collapse of the AMOC, as a consequence of anthropogenic greenhouse warming, was never assessed with a state - of - the - art climate model.
And this is only a third of what the conservative scenarios are for future warming,» said St. Pierre.
A moderate warming scenario would avert half of that increase.
Early used a moderate climate change scenario of 2 degrees Celsius warming by the end of the century.
«You have scenarios assuming very strong decisions, very quick and sharp reduction of greenhouse gases, and you have other scenarios with business as usual, where you end up with predictions of additional warming of 5, 6 degrees, maybe even more.
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