Hence, your statements are only true if there is
no warming signal at all.
Not exact matches
You likely deny evolution and global
warming for no other reason than it makes you uncomfortable and hold science to the impossibly high standard of having to explain every conceivable mystery about the natural World before you will accept it, but some moron
at a pulpit doing magic hand
signals of a Sundaymorning is enough to convince you he is communicating with some sky - god and turning grocery store bread and wine into flesh and blood.
What I know is that
at some point I trained myself to like the apricots even when I wanted chowder, until the chowder stopped
signaling the
warm comfort of family and the dairy in it just made my stomach hurt.
Avoid warmth on your breasts
at all, to avoid
signalling your breasts to produce (this includes being careful in the
warm shower).
At two recent meetings of support groups, mothers and one father shared
signals their babies gave: kicking, nose - rubbing, getting loud, getting quiet, hiccuping, feeling
warm to the touch, shivering.
A
warm bath followed by stories or singing will
signal an end to the day, and these same activities can be used
at bedtime for years to come.
«We expect the first heavy precipitation events with a clear global
warming signal will appear during winters in Russia, Canada and northern Europe over the next 10 - 30 years,» said co-author Dr Ed Hawkins from the National Centre for Atmospheric Science
at the University of Reading, UK.
For the first, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) used a statistical analysis of historic rainfall observations that looked
at how the frequency of such an event has changed from the past, before a
warming signal clearly emerged, to the present.
During the last deglaciation, and likely also the three previous ones, the onset of
warming at both high southern and northern latitudes preceded by several thousand years the first
signals of significant sea level increase resulting from the melting of the northern ice sheets linked with the rapid
warming at high northern latitudes (Petit et al., 1999; Shackleton, 2000; Pépin et al., 2001).
And with 2017 likely going down as one of the
warmest years on record worldwide, this year's climate change
signal was amplified
at the Earth's poles.
The point
at which a trend becomes clear within the average temperature data for a given region — known as the «time of emergence» — depends on when the source of the
warming begins, how fast it happens and the amount of background «noise» obscuring the
signal.
It's a
warm afternoon in May in Boston's Dorchester neighborhood, and as the bell
signals the end of the school day
at the Smith Leadership Academy School, kids flood into the halls and burst through the doors outside.
The thing that surprises me is the very low voltage
signal, because the engine coolant temperature shows that the engine is quite
warm (which it should be after 9 minutes of running
at 4000 RPM), so regardless of the O2 heater malfunction that lambda sensor should be hot and triggering the ECU to run in closed loop (which it clearly isn't).
Solo exhibitions include LIFEMORTS
at Interstate Projects, Brooklyn, 2017; Pastoral Emergency
at SIGNAL, Brooklyn, 2018; and IS PATH
WARM?
However, the temperature as an added
signal which is either a cooling or
warming one based on current «weather» influenced by ENSO inter alia and this additional «weather»
signal in the temperature record is only averaged in the models if included
at all.
46 ccpo says, «So, when 9 of the top ten
warmest years have all been in the last 10 or 11 years, that's a very large
signal, particularly since it sits
at the end of a very long upward trend.»
Yet, the
signal of a
warming world is still clearly visible even
at this local scale where changes in climate are actually experienced.
So, when 9 of the top ten
warmest years have all been in the last 10 or 11 years, that's a very large
signal, particularly since it sits
at the end of a very long upward trend.
I think it's worth understanding that the author is assessing climate variability from an entirely regional perspective, a scale
at which the global
warming signal is much harder to detect.
But a strong
signal is found in proportions of both weaker and stronger hurricanes: the proportion of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes has increased
at a rate of ~ 25 — 30 % per °C of global
warming after accounting for analysis and observing system changes.
[Response: Unfortunately, you seem to have conveniently forgotten that Keigwin (and Pickart) published a paper in Science just a few years later in 1999 pointing that the appparent cooling (actually, the oxygen isotopic
signal in question isn't entirely temperature, it is salinity as well, so the quantative 1 deg cooling estimate you cite is not actually reliable) in the Sargasso Sea is diametrically opposed by a substantial
warming at the same time in the Laurentian Fan region of the North Atlantic off the coast of Newfoundland.
If you look e.g.
at the temperature of the last few decades, the clearest
signals are the response to the El Chichon and Pinatubo eruptions in 1983/4 and 1992/94, respectively (cooling) and the El Nino in 1998 (
warming).
According to research by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), based
at the University of Colorado
at Boulder, the decline in summer Arctic sea ice «is considered a strong
signal of long - term climate
warming».
Watts et al. demonstrate that when humans alter the immediate landscape around the thermometer stations, there is a clear
warming signal due simply to those alterations, especially
at night.
Goodman, You need to look
at how well the main anthropogenic and natural factors can be decomposed from the global
warming signal.
In the case of the
warming signal, you have the clearly delineated effects of CO2 and that is not «poor science»
at all.
· You can see the «AGW»
warming signal in the Min / Max temperature records, yet Rise / Fall does not increase
at the same pace.
Thus, we suggest that scientists and modelers who seek global
warming signals should track how much heat the ocean is storing
at any given time, termed global ocean heat content (OHC), as well as sea level rise (SLR).
The global
warming signal itself is a multidecadal feature of the climate, but just like the seasonal example above, it has been possible
at times to take one period of one temperature record - surface air temperatures in most cases - and do a «January - February» job with it, thereby making the claim that temperatures are flatlining or even cooling.
However, despite this, the team reckon to have perhaps isolated a «global
warming»
signal in the accelerated run off of the Greenland Ice Mass — but only just, because the runoff
at the edges is balanced by increasing central mass — again, they focus upon recent trends — a net loss of about 22 cubic kilometres in total ice mass per year which they regard as statistically not significant — to find the «
signal», and a contradiction to their ealier context of air temperature cycles.
To minimise the
warming signal, we will use the simplest method for calculating a global temperature average - the CRU method, which is known to yield poor coverage
at high latitudes and hence underestimate recent
warming.
Th only possibilities consistent with the theory are: (1) if you don't see
warming in a particular metric, it is the result of the lack of good metrics or because it is out there somewhere or, (2) if you don't see
warming and you think the metrics valid, then what you are looking
at is an insignificant trend — just noise amidst the
signal.
Were the hypothesis that
warming will increase
at least 1C / decade averaged over a millennium
at 95 % confidence, nineteen times in twenty, given the noise in the
signal, all other things being equal, we'd first need 17 years
at least to get some kinda sketchy data, and then could begin calculating from the set of subsequent running or independent 17 year spans (a different calculation for each, depending on the PDF) the probability that a -20 C decade would be consistent with a +1 C / decade hypothesis.
Christy claims that California central valley records show a clear
warming signal because
at night higher humidity has a big effect.
Meh, since he said «We also show that a local
warming signal that exceeds past natural variability is emerging
at present, or will likely emerge in the next two decades, in many tropical countries», he has honestly said nothing.
We also show that a local
warming signal that exceeds past variability is emerging
at present, or will likely emerge in the next two decades, in many tropical countries.
In all of the world's ocean basins, the
warming predicted by the models for the upper 700 meters (2,300 feet) of the ocean corresponded to actual measurements obtained
at sea, with confidence exceeding 95 percent... The immediate conclusion is that human influences are largely responsible for the
warming signal,» the authors write.
Plenty of anthropogenic agenda
signal in anything from the NCDC stable, (There's
at least 4 of them based on that farcical not - data) but that is not real
warming.
In truth, the global
warming signal is like the psychological ink blots — you can see almost anything you like in them, and what someone sees tells you far more about the way someone thinks than what they are looking
at.
chrisale says
at July 29, 2012
at 9:52 pm «Even if you are correct (which honestly, I am skeptical that such a huge discrepancy could be made) the fact is the
warming signal has not been magically whisked away.
If you look
at the information closely, there is NO hard causal link between CO2 and global heating, AND there certainly is NO human CO2
signal that can even be detected as a cause for
warming.
The attempt would be similar in principle to the current efforts
at abstracting a believable global
warming signal from the networks of surface - temperature observations.
Members of this group have
signaled their intention to
at least engage in consumer action on global
warming in the near term, but they are less personally involved in the issue and have taken fewer actions than the Alarmed.
The researchers cautioned that this extreme event provides a glimpse into the region's future as greenhouse gases continue to increase, and the
signal of a
warming climate, even
at this regional scale, begins to emerge more clearly from natural variability in coming decades.
«Skinner
at all then argue that the oceans transmitted the
signal from the
warming North (Milancovitch) to the South (by shutting down the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC)-- heat remains in the Southern Hemisphere, which would melt sea - ice, which leads to more mixing / upwelling of the deep ocean as the ocean is not «protected» by sea - ice anymore).
Now consider how those TV
signals from a tower on a mountain
at say some 40 deg south where ice regularly forms on metal gets to your nice
warm home down in the valley.
cyclones 3 - 5 million years ago: http://www.physorg.com/news186250015.html «there were twice as many tropical cyclones during this period, and they lasted two to three days longer on average than they do now» «temperatures were up to four degrees Celsius
warmer than today» on the WMO: ``... we can not
at this time conclusively identify anthropogenic
signals in past tropical cyclone data.»
Watts» claim that AC exhausts, heated buildings and asphalt parking lots, etc. cause a spurious
warming signal has NOT been refuted
at all by Menne, contrary to what you claim.