In other words natural variability dominates the observed record making it impossible to detect any human - caused global
warming signal even if one were to exist (which there is no proof of).
Not exact matches
What I know is that at some point I trained myself to like the apricots
even when I wanted chowder, until the chowder stopped
signaling the
warm comfort of family and the dairy in it just made my stomach hurt.
So
even if we accept a lower ECS value, it hardly
signals the end of global
warming or
even a pause.
Other research
signals that the albedo effect «causes so much
warming that permafrost thaws
even despite the cooling from shrubs,» he said.
Nonetheless,
even if the substantial recent trend in the AO pattern is simply a product of natural multidecadal variability in North Atlantic climate, it underscores the fact that western and southern Greenland is an extremely poor place to look, from a
signal vs. noise point of view, for the large - scale polar amplification signature of anthropogenic surface
warming.
It's been argued a significant trend is expected under a
warming climate, but the
signal - to - noise ratio is still too low in most places in Antarctica,
even where the
warming trend (e.g. WAIS) is quite large.
Yet, the
signal of a
warming world is still clearly visible
even at this local scale where changes in climate are actually experienced.
and, «The observed drying well exceeds that predicted in any of the GCMs as a consequence of
warming,
even though we have not accounted for the impact of UT / LS moistening on the UTH
signal.
Nonetheless,
even if the substantial recent trend in the AO pattern is simply a product of natural multidecadal variability in North Atlantic climate, it underscores the fact that western and southern Greenland is an extremely poor place to look, from a
signal vs. noise point of view, for the large - scale polar amplification signature of anthropogenic surface
warming.
Also worth noting that if the the «hiatus» is so fragile that
even those small changes make it disappear, so is the
warming signal.
That was a very extreme
signal — far outside the previous variation — yet its also rather hard to fit into std GW theory, because it would be extreme
even under
warming to be expected in the next few decades (I think).
Does the pause
signal a longer - term halt to global
warming or
even a long - term cooling trend?
-- Data prior to ARGO (2003) are dicey and spotty — just prior to ARGO the few expendable XBT devices were known to introduce a false
warming signal — before that data are
even more unreliable
The global
warming signal itself is a multidecadal feature of the climate, but just like the seasonal example above, it has been possible at times to take one period of one temperature record - surface air temperatures in most cases - and do a «January - February» job with it, thereby making the claim that temperatures are flatlining or
even cooling.
So
even if we accept a lower ECS value, it hardly
signals the end of global
warming or
even a pause.
As we discussed in Going Down the Up Escalator, Part 1, it's a very common mistake -
even amongst some climate scientists - to confuse short - term climate noise with long - term global
warming signal.
Natural variability is much smaller than the long - term global
warming signal, and smaller
even than the global
warming signal over the past two decades.
... In short, if CM3's internal variability is realistic, there is some chance that a rapid underlying
warming rate of 0.2 K decade − 1 could be ongoing as of 2015, but that this
warming signal has been substantially masked (and may continue to be masked for
even another decade or more) by an internal variability cooling episode.
If you really have a
warming signal in climate (and I believe there is one), then that means air conditioners will be on more often, asphalt will absorb more heat and hold it longer, and maybe
even the barbecues will be used more often.
Even if you are correct (which honestly, I am skeptical that such a huge discrepancy could be made) the fact is the
warming signal has not been magically whisked away.
chrisale says at July 29, 2012 at 9:52 pm «
Even if you are correct (which honestly, I am skeptical that such a huge discrepancy could be made) the fact is the
warming signal has not been magically whisked away.
The «
warming signal» is largely carried by leaving Campbell Island in the baseline but taking it out of the present... Couple this with the Airports Percentage and I'd
even hazard a guess that New Zealand may well be actually cooling over time.
If you look at the information closely, there is NO hard causal link between CO2 and global heating, AND there certainly is NO human CO2
signal that can
even be detected as a cause for
warming.
The researchers cautioned that this extreme event provides a glimpse into the region's future as greenhouse gases continue to increase, and the
signal of a
warming climate,
even at this regional scale, begins to emerge more clearly from natural variability in coming decades.
«When the data are adjusted to remove the estimated impact of known factors on short - term temperature variations (El Nino / southern oscillation, volcanic aerosols and solar variability), the global
warming signal becomes
even more evident as noise is reduced.»