When Hans von Storch writes, ``... we find that the continued
warming stagnation over fifteen years, from 1998 -2012, is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2 % confidence level» (see, Ibid.)
Can models explain the global
warming stagnation?»
Dr. Judith Curry notes «The most recent climate model simulations used in the AR5 indicate that
the warming stagnation since 1998 is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2 % confidence level» This means the hypothesis upon which these models have been built is wrong and should be abandoned.
No, it translates to climate models can not accurately represent natural climate variability, which is why they can't project future global temperature at even the 2 % confidence level: «we find that the continued
warming stagnation of fifteen years, 1998 - 2012, is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2 % confidence level» — vonStorch (2013)
«Just model - based rubbish» «we find the continued
warming stagnation of fifteen years, 1998 - 2012, is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2 % confidence level» — vonStorch (2013) When a model can't do what it purports to do at even a 2 % confidence level, it IS RUBBISH!
Look at this link for information on global
warming stagnation since 2002: LINK The site is run by Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo.
Not exact matches
While cardamom is
warming, it also has the ability to move any sort of
stagnation in the gut.
Discrepency between data & models as per Hans von Storch, http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/interview-hans-von-storch-on-problems-with-climate-change-models-a-906721.html «At my institute, we analyzed how often such a 15 - year
stagnation in global
warming occurred in the simulations.
Now that the chinook winds have begun to blow, allowing us to shed our black, down - filled coats to reveal our pale, doughy winter flesh, we know it's time to shed the clutter, dust and
stagnation that kept us
warm and comforted during the long Winter.
The Role of Atmospheric Nuclear Explosions on the
Stagnation of Global
Warming in the Mid 20th Century — Fujii (2011)
The
stagnation in greenhouse
warming observed over the past 15 + years demonstrates that CO2 is not a control knob that can fine tune climate variability on decadal and multi-decadal time scales.
the
stagnation in greenhouse
warming... As a result of the hiatus in
warming,...
In the 20th century to the 21st century, global
warming occurred from the ~ 1900s to ~ 1940s, then slight cooling (or temperature
stagnation) from ~ 1940s to the ~ 1970s, and then global
warming from the ~ 1970s onwards.
Another paper discusses how atmospheric humidity increased during the recent period of pronounced global
warming (from about the late 1970s to the present), with a humidity decrease during the cooling / temperature
stagnation period of ~ 1940s to the 1970s:
This little test measures the collector internal temperatures and glazing temperatures for our $ 2K system collector during a
stagnation event on a clear,
warm, sunny day in September.
It proves that CO2 is NOT the driving «force» that caused «Global
Warming» [Global Temperature
Stagnation] from 1979 until 2012.
For those wanting a closer look at the more recent wiggles and trends, the second graph starts in 1998, which was the start year used by von Storch et al (2013) Can climate models explain the recent
stagnation in global
warming?
Weyl (1968), speculating that the «temporary
stagnation» of the bottom water would end because of
warming by the interior heat of the Earth; the role of glacial meltwater suppressing North Atlantic Deep Water production was also pioneered by Worthington (1968); a neat explanation of the entire circulation in terms of water evaporating from the North Atlantic more than from the cooler North Pacific was indicated by Warren (1983).
A sluggish
warming with
stagnation after 2000 (though not significant) is the result.
While objective temperature data show there has been no global
warming since sometime last century, the USCRN data confirm this ongoing
stagnation in the United States, also.
He poses the question: «How many more years of
stagnation are needed before scientists rethink their predictions of future
warming?»
This study suggests that the cause of the
stagnation in global
warming in the mid 20th century was the atmospheric nuclear explosions detonated between 1945 and 1980.
The estimated GST drop due to fine dust from the actual atmospheric nuclear explosions based on the published simulation results by other researchers (a single column model and Atmosphere - Ocean General Circulation Model) has served to explain the
stagnation in global
warming.
The role of atmospheric nuclear explosions on the
stagnation of global
warming in the mid 20th century
And the»
stagnation in greenhouse
warming observed over the past 15 + years demonstrates that CO2 is not a control knob that can fine tune climate variability on decadal and multi-decadal time scales.»