Sentences with phrase «warming than the long term»

The latest temperature maps, released today, confirm parts of the tropical Pacific are up to 3C warmer than the long term average (dark red in the map below).

Independent analysis seem to indicate that over last half dozen years, the ocean has shown less warming than the long term trend but nevertheless, a statistically significant warming trend.

Not exact matches

The January - to - March quarter was the nation's warmest three - month start since at least 1895, with an average temperature of 42.01 degrees Fahrenheit — six degrees warmer than the long - term average, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

• The stepfather - child relationship is substantially more challenging than the biological - father - child relationship: the relationship is not as close; stepfathers are less affectionate and more coercive with stepchildren; and stepchildren tend to be less warm and affectionate with stepfathers — even in long - term fairly successful stepfamilies (for review see Radhakrishna et al, 2001).

The coverage of living corals on Australia's Great Barrier Reef could decline to less than 10 percent if ocean warming continues, according to a new study that explores the short - and long - term consequences of environmental changes to the reef.

The long - term geological record reveals an early Cenozoic warm climate that supported smaller polar ecosystems, few coral - algal reefs, expanded shallow - water platforms, longer food chains with less energy for top predators, and a less oxygenated ocean than today.

A provocative study of long - term tropical tree growth warns that global warming could happen faster than anticipated.

The same contortions of the polar vortex that blasted more than half of the U.S. allowed unusual warmth to spread north to Alaska, which was 14 degrees Fahrenheit warmer in January than the long - term average.

Following a record warm July, Norway had an August temperature that was 1.8 °F (1.0 °C) higher than the 1961 - 1990 long - term average for the country.

In the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than average — a small effect compared with long - term global warming but a substantial one over a decade.

Rather than using complex computer models to estimate the effects of greenhouse - gas emissions, Lovejoy examines historical data to assess the competing hypothesis: that warming over the past century is due to natural long - term variations in temperature.

«It is true that they do warm climate by strong methane emissions when they first form, but on a longer - term scale, they switch to become climate coolers because they ultimately soak up more carbon from the atmosphere than they ever release.»

They found that because natural gas plants are overall more efficient than coal plants, producing more energy per unit of carbon, they could cause less warming in the long term.

Much of the focus of these side events has been on ways to ratchet up ambition, either through more private - sector engagement or through an emphasis on gaining more traction for a long - term goal of containing warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius below preindustrial levels, rather than the «well below 2» threshold enshrined in Paris.

For instance, a coral growing in a back - reef lagoon — whose restricted waters may warm drastically each afternoon under the blazing sun — may be less susceptible to long - term warming than a coral growing in the more open, temperate waters of the reef face.

«The long - term baseline temperature is about three tens of a degree (C) warmer than it was when the big El Niño of 1997 - 1998 began, and that event set the one - month record with an average global temperature that was 0.66 C (almost 1.2 degrees F) warmer than normal in April 1998.»

January through August of 1998 are all in the 14 warmest months in the satellite record, and that El Niño started when global temperatures were somewhat chilled; the global average temperature in May 1997 was 0.14 C (about 0.25 degrees F) cooler than the long - term seasonal norm for May.

Fact # 1: Carbon Dioxide is a Heat - Trapping Gas Fact # 2: We Are Adding More Carbon Dioxide to the Atmosphere All the Time Fact # 3: Temperatures are Rising Fact # 4: Sea Level is Rising Fact # 5: Climate Change Can be Natural, but What's Happening Now Can't be Explained by Natural Forces Fact # 6: The Terms «Global Warming» and «Climate Change» Are Almost Interchangeable Fact # 7: We Can Already See The Effects of Climate Change Fact # 8: Large Regions of The World Are Seeing a Significant Increase In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen in a Warmer World Fact # 10: Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer Than This Year

Perhaps this is why there are long term warm / cold climatic cycles, rather than runaway heat or cold.

I realize that Gavin is writing for fellow climate researchers rather than such as I who only have a medical doctorate, but surely there is some language, Gavin, that could more clearly, in plain English, describe what his objections, in the main, are, to those who raise some doubts as to the long - term climate record and what may have caused previous warmings.

But even La Nina years now are warmer than El Niño years several decades ago because of the long - term warming caused by carbon dioxide and other heat - trapping gases emitted into the atmosphere.

In this map, blue areas were cooler than their long - term average temperature; reddish ones were warmer.

(1) The warm sea surface temperatures are not just some short - term anomaly but are part of a long - term observed warming trend, in which ocean temperatures off the US east coast are warming faster than global average temperatures.

So the actual (very) long term warming should be higher than what you would get from sensitivity alone.

To keep to 350 ppm, which already means a long - term warmer world, we may have to go to zero or less - than - zero human emission levels.

Because human - made warming is more rapid than natural long - term warmings in the past, there is concern that methane hydrate or peat feedbacks could be more rapid than the feedbacks that exist in the paleoclimate record.

A «heatwave» in mid-November caused some parts of the Arctic to be 15C warmer than usual, with average temperatures for November and December across the Arctic as a whole a full 5C above the long term average, according to the quickfire analysis of this year's unusual winter.

Since the science and theory linking global warming in the short term is much weaker than the underlying rationale for long - term global warning, arguing about short term trends is dangerous.

Given that warming over the next 50 years seems inevitable, some serious long - term planning is needed — but financial centers seem to have a hard time looking beyond next quarter's results, and the politicians don't seem to look much farther than the next election cycle.

I don't reject the belief that increased CO2 levels result in global warming, only that the long - term environmental arguments are weaker than the short - term economic ones.

This doesn't address longer causal connections, but if the net impact of temperature on CO2 can be shown to be neutral or in the negative direction over then long term, than cointegration probably means that CO2 is causing global warming.

Ice - sheet responses to decadal - scale ocean forcing appear to be less important, possibly indicating that the future response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet will be governed more by long - term anthropogenic warming combined with multi-centennial natural variability than by annual or decadal climate oscillations.»

Given that the cryosphere and oceans are far better long - term indicators of changes in Earth's energy balance than the much more «noisy» troposphere, for anyone to suggest that the warming of the Earth system has slowed or stopped over the past 10 years, means they are purposely ignoring the far bigger heat sinks of the cryrosphere and oceans, or they simply want to spout nonsense.

* Global temperature for 2007 is expected to be 0.54 °C above the long - term (1961 - 1990) average of 14.0 °C; * There is a 60 % probability that 2007 will be as warm or warmer than the current warmest year (1998 was +0.52 °C above the long - term 1961 - 1990 average).

But it's the long - term temperature that provides this constraint, and if we're both saying that it takes more carbon than you would get from methane to drive the long - term warming, than we agree.

The actual prevailing view of the paleoclimate research community that emerged during the early 1990s, when long - term proxy data became more widely available and it was possible to synthesize them into estimates of large - scale temperature changes in past centuries, was that the average temperature over the Northern Hemisphere varied by significantly less than 1 degree C in previous centuries (i.e., the variations in past centuries were small compared to the observed 20th century warming).

Referring to the 15 - year span from 1992 — 2006 when the rate of surface warming was greater than the long - term trend,

Over the last ten years, global temperatures have warmed more slowly than the long - term trend.

If I follow him, the author here is suggesting that recently there has been some longer - term coherence to the noise, in a sense — that the repercussions of that El Nino are still being felt, that we've been warmer than the mean trend since 1998, and that we're only now coming back to the trend mean.

More background from Dr. Schmidt on why it's easier to forecast long - term warming than short - term variations: / / j.mp / KWHIW

This correction is naturally small (less than a tenth of a degree) and hardly changes the long - term trend of global warming — but if you look deeper into shorter periods of time, it can make a noticeable difference.

I know some here will decry that I am not talking about the issues because I do not try to obsfuscate with a discussion of the spot market price of coal vs long - term contracts, or use of coal in locations other than Kansas, or Al Gore's footprint, but the issue of Global Warming IS politics (non-ratification of Kyoto and negative flag - waving ads about politicians who oppose coal), it IS public relations («Clean Coal», cleanest coal - fired plants, surface mining and mountain - top reoval rather than strip mining, etc.), and it IS about misrepresentation (Peobody framing the debate as coal vs NG when it is really coal vs every other energy source), and it IS about greed (the coal industry doing everything it can to scuttle every other energy alternative).

From what I see from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) of land temperatures and the Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) of SST data, temperatures there were higher around the 1930's than now, and there is not much long term warming trend, except for the past few years.

Honestly, anybody who claims that «there has been global cooling or that global warming has halted since 2000 (or whatever)» really does not understand climatic trends nor the difference between a long - term underlying trend vs. short - term fluctuations which have a larger magnitude (in both directions) than the trend.

By 2027, increasing long - term trend (forced by tuning to RCP8.5) overwhelms solar cycle such that every year is warmer than the last (again, no accounting for volcanoes, PDO etc..)

After using satellite data and a smart statistical method to fill gaps in the network of weather stations, the global warming trend since 1998 is 0.12 degrees per decade — that is only a quarter less than the long - term trend of 0.16 degrees per decade measured since 1980.

Habitable, of course, but it would appear that the world will be changing quite substantially — and the long - term effects may be more significant than «global warming.»

Efforts to solve global warming by GHG emissions reductions strategies, rather than GHG replacement strategies, can not realistically succeed over the short - term or the long - term or any term, ever - unless the mandated reductions are so drastic that in effect they would require carbon - free alternatives for nearly all GHG sources.

MW found recent warmth to be unusual in a long - term context: they estimated an 80 % likelihood that the decade 1997 - 2006 was warmer than any other for at least the past 1000 years.

The scientific community has also known for some time that the predicted future global warming in most climate models (more than 2 degrees C.) would probably be well above the long - term average temperature present at any time during the Holocene.