You stated that if the Byrd station data is merged as a single station that
the warming trend with your method and parameter settings from increased from 0.10 to 0.16 C / decade.
The ENSO variations are well understood and can be excised from
the warming trend with ease:
The chart starts in 1988 (5 - years ending 1988) when NASA's chief global warming alarmist predicted (at a U.S. Senate hearing) that the U.S. would also suffer from the global
warming trend with dire consequences.
Of course if one does this, the GCM predicted climate sensitivity plunges from the totally statistically fraudulent 2.5 C / century to a far more plausible and stillpossibly wrong ~ 1 C / century, which — surprise — more or less continues the post-LIA
warming trend with a small possible anthropogenic contribution.
... GCM predicted climate sensitivity plunges from the totally statistically fraudulent 2.5 C / century to a far more plausible and stillpossibly wrong ~ 1 C / century, which — surprise — more or less continues the post-LIA
warming trend with a small possible anthropogenic contribution.
Hence the temperature trends over the past 135 years can be synthetized the superposition of a background linear
warming trend with a triangular shape fluctuation, whose slope is +0.06 + / - 0.11 °C per decade.
So this model will produce a linear
warming trend with two natural oscillations superimposed on top of it.
The above graph, by Gavin Schmidt of NASA GISS, provides a vivid illustration of an inexorable
warming trend with 2016 as the hottest year yet.
Climate models show an increasing
warming trend with altitude, but balloon data shows a slight cooling with altitude in the tropics.
«None of the [most recent] 10 - year trends is «statistically significant» but that's only because the uncertainties are so large — 10 years isn't long enough to determine
the warming trend with sufficient precision.
Overall, these high record numbers are quantitatively consistent with those expected for the observed climatic
warming trend with added stationary white noise.
Based on physical modelling taking into account measured and astrophysically plausible variations in solar spectral luminosity, and on consistent physical models of the response of he climate system to solar forcing, you can't explain away the 20th / 21st net
warming trend with solar effects.
It is very plausible that the coupling of a steep
warming trend with less than normal variability is simply due to chance (especially since not only does the uptick start at a historically low point, the magnitude itself is not that great.
What remains is
a warming trend with less variability:
Figure 8: Comparison of modern
warming trends with interglacial long - term trends.
«Note that the change in spread shouldn't be automatically equated with a change in climate variability, since a similar pattern would be seen as a result of regionally specific
warming trends with constant local variability»
Experiment with the package a bit, and if you are successful in getting it up and running, you will see how amazingly easy it is to replicate the NASA / GISS global -
warming trends with both raw and adjusted data.
One recent study that examined the patterns in warming and coral bleaching between 1985 and 2012 found that 97 percent of the sites it studied had
warming trends with 60 percent showing severe conditions.
According to last month's paper, it makes more sense to compare recent
warming trends with the 30 - year period from 1972 - 2001, when temperatures rose more rapidly.
Not exact matches
Two years ago, Asness and an AQR colleague raised hackles
with a research paper that argued that the global temperature
trends over the last 125 years do not, on their own, support an alarmist view of global
warming.
Thinking of himself as a grand world - historical figure, attuned to the latest intellectual
trend (preferably one
with a tinge of futurism and science, like global
warming), demonstrating his own incomparable depth and farsightedness.
There is also evidence that the
warming trend has stopped, for example, a slight cooling
trend in the last decade, and that the sun's cycles have more to do
with climate
warming and cooling than anything we are capable of doing But none of that matters.
Watch for the new
trend: I predict that, as the visit of Pope Benedict XVI to Britain draws nearer, the line of attack will be to contrast this «harsh, overbearing» Pope
with the «gentle,
warm - hearted» John Paul II.
Tumeric has a bright yellow color and a
warm, bitter taste which is just in line
with the flavor
trends.
We made #ubp09 a
trending topic Twitter on the UBP 09 opening night
with our Site
Warming party hosted by Resourceful Mom.
Rag & Bone has exceptional and on -
trend jeans that will look perfect
with your favorite fall boots now and tuck neatly into your
warm Sorel boots when the snow comes.
While it has long been police lore that crime rises
with warmer weather, the
trend is even more disturbing because it is not confined to the two eye - catching categories — murder and shootings — that Mayor Bill de Blasio and police brass have blamed on localized gang activities.
«This
trend to have even more dramatic numbers of overnight lower temperatures being exceedingly
warm is consistent
with what we have seen in recent decades,» he said.
With documented
warmer air temperatures in eastern Canada since the 1970s, there has been a
trend of earlier ice melting and less ice in general, explained Lavery.
Redmond said current
warming trends could reduce the number of areas
with microclimates favorable for future pinyon pine recovery, not if but when the next drought happens.
When they corrected the error, Wentz and Schabel derived a
warming trend of about 0.07 °C per decade, more in line
with surface thermometers and climate models.
With consumption growing, oil supplies tight, and the world in a
warming trend, the search is on for better energy sources — clean coal, safe nuclear reactors, and more far - reaching ideas like artificial photosynthesis.
That fits
with global
warming trends.
Looking ahead, he wants see if the same
trends hold up in other regions, starting
with the southeast of the United States, where people may be more acclimatized to
warmer temperatures.
«But in 2001, the cooling
trend stopped abruptly
with an extremely
warm weather event.
The researchers said various climate factors are associated
with the
warming trend.
And while the scientists who conducted the study are still investigating the atmospheric mechanisms behind this change, the
trend seems consistent
with a
warming climate.
The
trend, spotted by Leif Asbjørn Vøllestad of the University of Oslo and colleagues, coincides
with warming in the North Atlantic between 1991 and 2005 (Ecology and Evolution, DOI: 10.1002 / ece3.337).
According to Dr. Natali, «Our results show that while permafrost degradation increased carbon uptake during the growing season, in line
with decadal
trends of «greening» tundra,
warming and permafrost thaw also enhanced winter respiration, which doubled annual carbon losses.»
The cooling
trend was reversed during the 20th century,
with four of the five
warmest decades of our 2000 - year - long reconstruction occurring between 1950 and 2000.
With ever - faster
warming, small natural variations have less impact and are unlikely to override the
warming trend.
Carbin and his colleague Harold Brooks, a senior scientist
with the National Severe Storms Laboratory and a reviewer of the paper, have both been working on looking for
trends in tornado data and the possible explanations behind them, including
warming.
And it finds that, while this winter's unusually strong Arctic Oscillation - which funnels cold northern air to the East Coast and pulls
warm mid-latitude air up to the Arctic - is predicted as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rise, seasonal temperature anomalies associated
with it aren't enough to blunt long - term
warming trends.
With this
warming trend, and temperatures were in the high 80s in Kuujjuaq recently.»
By comparing the small oscillations in cosmic ray rate and temperature
with the overall
trends in both since 1955, Sloan and Wolfendale found that less than 14 percent of the global
warming seen during this period could have been caused by solar activity.
That puts it more in line
with warming trends since the 1950s, though some researchers said there were still some periods of faster
warming on record since the 1950s.
At least half of current vegetated areas are predicted to shift to a different type of vegetation class,
with a general
trend of now - present grasses and small shrubs yielding to larger shrubs and trees as the climate
warms, the scientists said.
The
trend in these responses changed course last year,
with slightly fewer Americans saying global
warming would have a significant effect in their lifetimes.
That this is not inconsistent
with an overall global
warming trend is (on statistical grounds) not I think disputed.
Velders says his team came up
with higher
warming estimates than IPCC because their model accounts for
trends that others don't, such as the faster - than expected adoption of HFCs driven by the Montreal Protocol, and an air - conditioning boom in the developing world.