The question for climate change experts is not «Is sea level rising» but rather «
Is sea level rise accelerating?»
Not exact matches
Supposed calamities like the
accelerated rise of
sea level, ocean acidification, more extreme climate, tropical diseases near the poles, and so on
are greatly exaggerated.
Sea level has
been rising slowly and inexorably since the end of the last ice age, and the rate has not
accelerated in a warming climate.
«It turns that what the paper documents
is things we've
been doing there already have started to reveal what one would predict would happen with
accelerated sea -
level rise,» Goodbred said.
Some previous decades displayed similarly fast rates, and longer satellite records will
be needed to determine unambiguously whether
sea -
level rise is accelerating.
While the scientific community has long warned about
rising sea levels and their destructive impact on life, property and economies of some of the United States» most populous cities, researchers have developed a new, statistical method that more precisely calculates the rate of
sea level rise, showing it
's not only increasing, but
accelerating.
This stress can contribute to
accelerated loss of marsh area through erosion in a region where marshes
are already rapidly disappearing, due to high relative
sea level rise.
Geologist Torbjörn Törnqvist of Tulane University, a co-author of the study, said that given
accelerating rates of
sea level rise, losses will likely continue long into the future, and that even the best - designed river diversions won't
be able to prevent more land loss.
In the last few decades, glaciers at the edge of the icy continent of Antarctica have
been thinning, and research has shown the rate of thinning has
accelerated and contributed significantly to
sea level rise.
The subsidence means these areas
are sinking even faster than
sea level is rising because of global warming: currently 3 mm per year and
accelerating.
He says previous predictive models of Greenland's ice loss did not adequately take into account the faster movement of its southern glaciers, which
is accelerating the amount of ice entering the ocean: «Greenland
is probably going to contribute more to
sea level rise, and faster than predicted by these models.»
Many researchers think this
is unrealistic and that the rate of ice loss will
accelerate, which means that
sea level could
rise much faster than predicted.
«There
are suggestions in the literature that
accelerated breakup of ice shelves will lead to
rise of
sea level by several meters by the end of the century,» Godin said.
And in an era of
accelerating rises in
sea levels those effects «may
be catastrophic», says Pethick, «causing inundation of coastal flood defences».
The long - term average rate of
sea -
level rise in Hampton Roads
is about one foot per century, but that pace has
accelerated sharply recently, which makes it challenging to gauge future rates of change.
The net
rise in
sea level associated with this decline
is about 1.3 mm / yr, which will likely
accelerate with further warming.
Stefan Rahmstorf, a German climatologist whose research led scientists to reconsider
accelerated sea -
level rise, said an embattled report by North Carolina experts, recommending that the state prepare for a 39 - inch
rise by 2100,
is a reasonable policy when building homes and infrastructure.
«If you want [new buildings] to
be there in more than 30 years» time, then you better take this factor into account,» Rahmstorf said of
accelerating sea -
level rise in an interview.
Revised tallies confirm that the rate of
sea level rise is accelerating as Earth warms and ice sheets thaw
Global
sea level rise is not cruising along at a steady 3 mm per year, it
's accelerating a little every year, like a driver merging onto a highway, according to a powerful new assessment led by CIRES Fellow Steve Nerem.
Since so much of the ice sheet
is grounded underwater,
rising sea levels may have the effect of lifting the sheets, allowing more - and increasingly warmer - water underneath it, leading to further bottom melting, more ice shelf disintegration,
accelerated glacial flow, and further
sea level rise, and so on and on, another vicious cycle.
The combination of global warming and
accelerating sea level rise from Greenland could
be the trigger for catastrophic collapse in the WAIS (see, for instance, here).
Greenhouse gases
are already having an
accelerating effect on
sea level rise, but the impact has so far
been masked by the cataclysmic 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, according to a new study led by the...
Reports of damaging ocean acidification,
accelerating sea -
level rise or unprecedented decreases of polar and glacial ice
are also mostly myths designed to terrify people into accepting harmful policies that allegedly «save the planet.»
But since climate scientists already expect a wide range of negative consequences from
rising temperatures, including higher
sea level, more weather extremes and increasing risks to human health, anything that
accelerates warming
is a concern.
As glaciers and overland ice sheets shed ice and the warming oceans expand,
sea level rise is accelerating; NASA says the rate of
sea level rise has jumped from 1 millimeter per year 100 years ago to 3 millimeters per year today.
With glaciers thinning,
accelerating and receding in response to ice shelf collapse [20, 21], more ice
is directly transported into the oceans, making a direct contribution to
sea level rise.
That estimate
was based in part on the fact that
sea level is now
rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2
m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at
accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Sea level rise is set to
accelerate the impact of swirling currents.
This
sea level curve
is the integral of the curve in Fig. 1 and thus contains the same information, but when viewed in this way it
is hard to judge by eye whether
sea -
level rise has
accelerated.
Our modelled values
are consistent with current rates of Antarctic ice loss and
sea -
level rise, and imply that
accelerated mass loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic ice sheets may ensue when an increase in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
There
is no evidence for
accelerated sea -
level rise.
I followed Titus's
sea level links for New Zealand and
sea level rise is certainly not
accelerating there.
This seems like particularly important new research: From CNN «Satellite observations show
sea levels rising, and climate change
is accelerating it».
«This uncertainty
is illustrated by Pollard et al. (2015), who found that addition of hydro - fracturing and cliff failure into their ice sheet model increased simulated
sea level rise from 2
m to 17
m, in response to only 2 °C ocean warming and
accelerated the time for substantial change from several centuries to several decades.»
The only specific with which I would disagree
is his claim of
accelerating sea level rise, which could reach 5m this century.
These wildfires release soot into the atmosphere, which
accelerates the rate of melting of glaciers, snow and ice it lands upon, which can lead to less reflectivity, meaning more of the sun's heat
is absorbed, leading to more global warming, which leads to even more wildfires, not to mention greater
sea level rise, which
is already threatening coastal areas around the world.
Torsten Käll, what you
are missing
is that the slope of the curve for
sea level rise over the last century
was concave, meaning
sea level rise accelerated.
From reading the first few paragraphs of this, I
was inclined to conclude that an
accelerating sea level rise from the previous century could
be gradual enough to allow for a natural adaptation to occur.
Is it too much of a stretch to assume that
sea levels will
rise faster than currently predicted, largely because many of the factors that contribute to
sea levels rising are occurring at faster - than - predicted, and possibly
accelerating, rate?
Sea levels are already
rising and
accelerating fast enough to have huge economic impacts.
It
is a sweeping and valuable cross-disciplinary description of ways in which climate and ocean dynamics, pushed by the planet's human - amplified greenhouse effect, could
accelerate sea level rise far beyond the range seen as plausible in the last report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the most recent review of what leading experts on
sea level think, this 2014 paper: «Expert assessment of
sea -
level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300.»
This
is not significant at the 95 % confidence
level, and it
is a factor of 2 — 4 less than that alleged from
accelerated sea level rise along the U.S. Coast north of Cape Hatteras.
«The rate of global
sea level rise is accelerating as ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland melt, an analysis of the first 25 years of satellite data confirms.»
If continental ice melting (Greenland, Antarctic, terrestrial glaciers)
is accelerating and if warming of the 0 - 700
m (and deeper) oceanic layer
is still on, you shoud observe a higher rate of
sea -
level rise.
In New Orleans, geophysical vulnerability
is characterized by its below -
sea level, bowl - shaped location, its
accelerating subsidence,
rising sea level, storm surges, and possible increased frequency of larger hurricanes from climate change.
«The fact that West Antarctic ice - melt
is still
accelerating is a big deal because it
's increasing its contribution to
sea -
level rise,» explained first author Christopher Harig.
And in a world of
accelerating sea level rise and climate change, in which farmland
is being degraded and turned to desert, in which ever more land
is set aside for carbon storage in the form of forest, and in which the strains of survival increase social divisions and social conflict, there
is a new challenge: where will the 2bn climate refugees find new homes?
Satellite gravity measurements show Greenland
is losing ice mass at an
accelerated rate, increasing its contribution to
rising sea levels.
I would like to get some feedback on whether or not this does any damage to the apparently «consensus» view that
sea level rise is accelerating.