With this higher chance of a recession, comes an increased risk of further
weakness in stock prices.
Is
the weakness in the stock price or underlying financial performance a result of forces across the entire sector, industry, or economy, or is it caused by firm - specific bad news?
And with current weakness in the share price, an entry point to this dream is looking more and more attractive — especially since
the weakness in the stock price is more a reflection of rising interest rates than of actual company fundamentals.
Not exact matches
As
stock prices crumbled, traders worried that more
weakness in manufacturing will bite into corporate profits, when fourth quarter earnings are reported beginning next week.
Weakness in the
price of oil hurt the
stock's
price in 2015, but Forbes has predicted a bright future for the company.
Quarter - ending sessions are always tricky affairs
in stocks, as funds are adjusting their holdings, all forms of
price triggers affect the market, and generally, unusual
price action is to be expected, with assets showing strength and
weakness out of the blue, especially around major
price levels.
It's reasonable to view part of the
weakness in gold
stock prices as being the result of spot gold falling close to its marginal production cost (which has gradually escalated over the past 15 years).
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for
stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high
price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and
weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index
in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar
weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic
weakness.
With China's increasing domestic demand for gold, economic growth trends and continued
weakness in the Chinese
stock market, some analysts expect gold
prices to reach new highs.
-- 4 reasons why «gold has entered a new bull market» — Schroders — Market complacency is key to gold bull market say Schroders — Investors are currently
pricing in the most benign risk environment
in history as seen
in the VIX — History shows gold has the potential to perform very well
in periods of
stock market
weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold higher
«It would point to
weakness in the economy, continued volatility and
weakness of
stock prices,» McMahon said.
The current
weakness in global
stock markets provides a buying opportunity, which can be used to increase the exposure to
stocks at more attractive
prices.
As a result, junk bond and
stock prices can at times move
in the same direction based on the market's perception of the companies strength or
weakness.
It's reasonable to view part of the
weakness in gold
stock prices as being the result of spot gold falling close to its marginal production cost (which has gradually escalated over the past 15 years).
What is more important is understanding the
weaknesses of those models because they may weakly explain how
stocks in aggregate are
priced, but they are little good at understanding how corporations operate.
On the contrary, some were dead on by predicting stable short - term interest rates, another strong year for US
stocks, and
weakness in commodity
prices.
It is essential to determine whether the
stock's
price has fallen due to a fundamental shift
in the company's finances or its core business, or because it has been a victim of overall sector or market
weakness.