Engineers rely on accurate
weather and climate predictions to design roadways, bridges, and other major projects: climate conditions of the future will no longer resemble those of the past.
Certain aspects of capitalism may be morally questionable, but making a business out of
weather and climate predictions?
The Seasonal and Climate Applications group of the Finnish Meteorological Institute is composed of internationally known experts who do research on the post-processing possibilities and usage of different scale
weather and climate predictions models.
Fundamentally, therefore, therefore we should think of
weather and climate predictions in terms of equations whose basic prognostic variables are probability densities ρ (X, t) where X denotes some climatic variable and t denoted time.
They said there's a difference between
weather and climate predictions, but climate is an average of the weather and therefore only as valid as it.
Knowledge that all official
weather and climate predictions come from computer models and are consistently wrong.
Promote the development of data assimilation methods for application to numerical
weather and climate predictions, and for the estimation of derived climatological quantities.
Chief we should think of
weather and climate predictions in terms of equations whose basic prognostic variables are probability densities ρ (X, t) where X denotes some climatic variable and t denoted time.
The paper (DOI 10.1038 / ngeo2957), published May 29 in Nature Geoscience, is the first to look at biosphere - atmosphere interactions using purely observational data and could greatly improve
weather and climate predictions critical to crop management, food security, water supplies, droughts, and heat waves.
The Met Office
weather and climate prediction model is one of the most advanced models of its kind.
As NASA prepares for the Journey to Mars,
weather and climate prediction are key concerns for the surface operations of the human crews.
Edwards» book is brilliant — a must read for anyone interested in appreciating the complexities of the data collection and analysis systems that underpin
weather and climate prediction.
From the conclusions of: Simulating regime structures in
weather and climate prediction models
The potential benefits of this commonality are significant and include improved predictions on all time scales and stronger collaboration and shared knowledge, infrastructure, and technical capabilities among those in
the weather and climate prediction communities...
Julia Slingo, Tim Palmer (2011)-- Uncertainty in
weather and climate prediction
Slingo and Palmer 2011 Uncertainty in
weather and climate prediction
But the difficulty is summarized by:» Ensemble methods now play a central role in simulation - based
weather and climate prediction.
This meeting follows on from the 2010 Anniversary Discussion Meeting on «Handling Uncertainty in Science» but with a focus on
weather and climate prediction and downstream applications.
Foundation Science brings together those areas of Research and Development which are fundamental to Met Office excellence across
both weather and climate prediction.
Foundation Science provides the underpinning science and model development critical to
both weather and climate prediction.
APPLICATE brings together an international and multidisciplinary team of experts in
weather and climate prediction in order to improve climate and weather forecasting capacity and to provide guidance on the design of the future observing system in the Arctic.
If you wish to subscribe to
[email protected], the joint mailing list for polar
weather and climate prediction and predictability by CliC and PPP, please send an e-mail to
[email protected]
Seems that hurricane prediction is as difficult as
weather and climate prediction...
Not exact matches
In a new paper in npj
Climate and Atmospheric Science, the CSU researchers describe a breakthrough in making accurate
predictions of
weather weeks ahead.
Regardless of what
climate models find, investigating these long - distance links in
weather could also pay off by improving risk
prediction and forecasts.
Predictions of weather and climate for months, seasons and decades ahead lie between normal weather forecasts and climate projections for the coming century — concerning both what influences the climate on these time - scales, and the methods required to make such p
Predictions of
weather and climate for months, seasons
and decades ahead lie between normal
weather forecasts
and climate projections for the coming century — concerning both what influences the
climate on these time - scales,
and the methods required to make such
predictionspredictions.
It's also useful in cosmology
and charting the far reaches of the Milky Way,
weather prediction and climate change modeling or even aerial reconnaissance missions for national defense.
Small, low - cost satellites may vastly improve future
predictions of
weather and climate change
NASA is preparing to launch a duo of cloud - monitoring satellites that could help produce more accurate
weather predictions and improve our understanding of how clouds affect
climate.
Gabriel Vecchi, head of the
climate variations
and predictability group at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab
and another author on the paper, says decades of
weather prediction data show that forecasts have improved —
and will improve — as scientists learn more about hurricanes.
Scientists looked at modeled
predictions of
climate change
and reproductive data from lesser prairie - chickens from 2001 - 2011 to determine how
weather conditions affect reproductive success in the Southern High Plains.
«Hotspots show that vegetation alters
climate by up to 30 percent: Engineers find strong feedbacks between the atmosphere
and vegetation that explain up to 30 % of precipitation
and surface radiation variance; study reveals large potential for improving seasonal
weather predictions.»
Number one:
climate - related extreme
weather events have become far more serious
and frequent, validating the
predictions of the scientific community.
Even now, the world's most powerful computers are pushed to their limits extracting
predictions of future
weather and climate from the equations he wrestled with using pencil
and paper.
Scientists are involved in the evaluation of global - scale
climate models, regional studies of the coupled atmosphere / ocean / ice systems, regional severe
weather detection
and prediction, measuring the local
and global impact of the aerosols
and pollutants, detecting lightning from space
and the general development of remotely - sensed data bases.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical
weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future
climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless
prediction», in which
predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale
and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «
weather forecasts» «seasonal
predictions»
and «
climate scenarios».
This understanding will help scientists improve global
climate projections
and predictions of extreme
weather and climate change.
Now that has been destabilized, along with many other aspects of both
climate and weather prediction.
Because the monsoon drives
weather patterns around the world
and affects the stratosphere globally, this research will also improve our understanding of
climate processes worldwide
and will improve
climate predictions where we live.»
A few
climate models have been tested for (
and shown) capability in initial value
predictions, on time scales from
weather forecasting (a few days) to seasonal forecasting (annual).
But some ocean patterns in the
climate system can persist much longer,
and understanding them can help make useful
predictions for regional
and global averages that don't depend so much on specific
weather patterns.
The statistics of the
weather make short term
climate prediction very difficult — particularly for
climate models that are not run with any kind of initialization for observations — this has been said over
and over.
The purpose of NASA's Earth science program is to develop a scientific understanding of Earth's system
and its response to natural or human - induced changes
and to improve
prediction of
climate,
weather,
and natural hazards.
By cherry - picking a few successful (mostly) long range
weather forecasts, you neatly imply that
climate predictions are just a really, really long range
weather forecast,
and so while possibly right, most likely they will fall prey to all this «uncertainty» you wave around.
These services include:
weather forecasting;
climate prediction; natural hazard assessment,
prediction,
and response;
and environmental management, including air quality forecasting
and land use assessment.
This is quite subtle though —
weather forecast models obviously do better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations,
and one might argue that for particular
climate model
predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.
Specializing in the parameterization of land - atmosphere exchange for use in Global
Climate, Regional Mesoscale,
and Local Cloud - Resolving numerical
weather prediction models.
I received an e-mail yesterday from Judah Cohen, a commercial
weather and climate analyst who made a
prediction in late December for a particularly cold pattern of North American temperatures through the remainder of the winter — based on his hypothesized link between autumn snow cover in Siberia
and winter conditions on this continent.
The researchers compared
predictions of 22 widely used
climate «models» — elaborate schematics that try to forecast how the global
weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered by surface stations,
weather balloons
and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.